Stock Ratings / Energy / MNTK / financials

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Montauk Renewables Inc. (MNTK) Revenue-to-Profit Sankey Flow & SEC XBRL Financials

$2.37 +5.33% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot)

Montauk Renewables Inc. (MNTK) carries a Roarable Rating of D- (Sell) with 43/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE D- • SELL / AVOID Cap $337.3M

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D-

2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D- · Rk D

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE-6.8% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for MNTK)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±12.5%

VISUAL REVENUE-TO-PROFIT SANKEY WATERFALL • FY 2025 (10-K)

How MNTK Turns Every Dollar of Sales Into Real Bottom-Line Profit

Free Cash Flow:$0 (0% FCF Margin)

Multi-Year SEC EDGAR XBRL Revenue, Net Profit & Free Cash Flow Trajectory

■ Revenue■ Net Profit■ Free Cash Flow

FY23

Rev $174.9M

FY24

Rev $175.7M

FY25

Rev $176.4M

Fiscal Year	Revenue	Gross Margin	Op Margin	Net Profit	Free Cash Flow	ROIC %
FY 2025	$176.4M	52%	0.5%	$1.7M	-$86.2M	0.2%
FY 2024	$175.7M	52%	9.2%	$9.7M	-$18.5M	5%
FY 2023	$174.9M	52%	13.5%	$14.9M	$41.1M	0.2%

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Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring MNTK)

✓Walkthrough of MNTK's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
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MNTK // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +62.33%▲ ASCENDING CHANNEL

2026-10-30O $2.36H $2.40L $2.15C $2.37VOL 511.1K

RES: $3.58SUP: $2.08SMA50: $2.32SMA200: $1.74

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

MNTK Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 MNTK Butterfly Map → + Track MNTK →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)

-12.3%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +0.4% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on MNTK today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for MNTK. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

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DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (MNTK)

Energy Rank #178 of 211 ⚔️ CLNE vs MNTK Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Energy Peer Comparison (MNTK vs. CLNE, OPAL, SMC, TGS)

Industry: Natural Gas Distribution (25 Tracked Issuers)

Across 211 tracked Energy securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Montauk Renewables Inc. (MNTK) ranks #178 by composite RQD confidence (43/100, grade D-) and #163 by equity capitalization ($337.3M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, MNTK leads on earnings valuation at N/A trailing P/E, while OPAL leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 41.1% ROIC and — gross margin. SMC currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 57/100 (D+) compared with MNTK at 43/100 (D-).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
MNTK ACTIVE Montauk Renewables Inc.	D-	43/100	—	—	0.2%	+5.33%	$337.3M	Benchmark Subject
CLNE Clean Energy Fuels Corp.	D	51/100	—	—	-20.0%	+4.20%	$328.5M	/clne-vs-mntk →
OPAL OPAL Fuels Inc. (Class A)	D	49/100	—	—	41.1%	+5.84%	$284.7M	/opal-vs-mntk →
SMC Summit Midstream Corporation	D+	57/100	—	73.5%	0.5%	+0.45%	$637.5M	/smc-vs-mntk →
TGS Transportadora de Gas del Sur SA TGS	D+	52/100	—	—	—	-1.11%	$3.77B	/tgs-vs-mntk →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001826600

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Montauk Renewables Inc. (MNTK) reported GAAP revenue of $176.4M (+0.4% vs. FY2024 revenue of $175.7M , and +0.8% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $1.7M, operating cash flow of $30.3M, and free cash flow of -$86.2M (-365.3% YoY). On the balance sheet, MNTK closed FY2025 with $435.5M in total assets against $126.0M in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 1.78, Piotroski F-Score: 5/9).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2025-12-31	$176.4M	$1.7M	$30.3M	-$86.2M	$435.5M	$126.0M
FY2024 (FY)	2024-12-31	$175.7M	$9.7M	$43.8M	-$18.5M	$349.0M	$43.8M
FY2023 (FY)	2023-12-31	$174.9M	$14.9M	$41.1M	$41.1M	—	—

3. MNTK Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is MNTK stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-01, Montauk Renewables Inc. (NASDAQ: MNTK) is rated D- (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 43/100 at a spot price of $2.37 (+5.33% 1D, market cap $337.3M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 4/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 12/20, Executive Insider Alignment 8/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 12/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 7/20. Across 211 tracked Energy issuers, MNTK ranks #178 in composite RQD confidence.

How does MNTK compare to CLNE and OPAL in the Energy sector?

Within the Energy sector (Natural Gas Distribution), MNTK carries a Roarable D- (43/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 0.2%. By comparison, CLNE (Clean Energy Fuels Corp.) holds a D grade (51/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -20.0%, cap $328.5M) and OPAL (OPAL Fuels Inc. (Class A)) posts a D grade (49/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC 41.1%, cap $284.7M). Among the 5-stock peer group, MNTK leads on earnings multiple (N/A) while OPAL leads on capital efficiency (41.1% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for MNTK?

Per MNTK's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001826600), Montauk Renewables Inc. generated $176.4M in revenue (+0.4% YoY), $1.7M in net income, and -$86.2M in free cash flow against $435.5M in total assets and $126.0M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Energy with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is MNTK trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

MNTK last traded at $2.37 (+5.33% on volume of 590,218 shares), positioning the stock +2.16% above its 50-day simple moving average ($2.32) and +36.21% above its 200-day simple moving average ($1.74). Across its 52-week range of $1.07 to $3.28, MNTK sits at the 58.8% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 46.4 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±12.5% ($2.07 to $2.67).