Melco Resorts & Entertainment Limited (MLCO) Dividend Safety Gauge & 10-Year DRIP Compounder

$3.84 +2.95% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $3.85

Melco Resorts & Entertainment Limited (MLCO) carries a Roarable Rating of C (Hold) with 62/100 RQD Confidence. The composite score sits in the neutral Hold band (59–69), meaning current holders don’t need to panic-sell while prospective buyers can wait for a move into the 70+ Buy zone.

ROARABLE C • HOLD / WATCH Cap $1.51B
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $3.85 (+0.34%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-1.52% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 9/20 (D) • 15.8% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 62/100 (C) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+0.7% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 54.3% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERHOLD / WATCH • C
025507510062
JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D+ · Rk C+
Cash (9)Whales (13)SEC (12)Macro (15)CEO (13)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE+1.8% Base Target
$10 Bull$4 Base$3 Bear
📬 FREE MLCO RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for MLCO)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±8.1%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (62/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY MLCO SCORES 62/100 (C) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+15/20 pts (24% of score)

FRED Regime × Technicals: 3% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 39.6 (NEUTRAL RANGE)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Whale & Options Positioning+13/20 pts (21% of score)

20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (±8.1% realized swing band)

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Cash Engine Quality9/20 pts (-11 pt drag)

Capital intensity & 11.6% operating margin leave 11 pts on the table

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
70
Grade B$4.23-1.9% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
67
Grade B-$4.15-10.1% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
65
Grade C+$3.73+2.9% Next Q
Current
62
Grade C$3.84+0.7% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: B (70) → C (62)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the MLCO Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 62/100 (C) score, MLCO faces multiple-compression risk if 8.2x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-1.52% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 49.5% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($4.57) or 200D SMA ($5.39) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($3.91) toward Bear Floor ($3.05).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $MLCO• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “MLCO Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
CASH DIVIDEND + BUYBACK YIELD
1.81% Total Yield
0.01% Cash ($0.00/yr) + 1.8% Buybacks
PAYOUT SAFETY SPEEDOMETER
88/100 • REINVESTING IN GROWTH + BUYBACKS
FREE CASH FLOW PAYOUT RATIO
0% (100% Reinvested)
8 consecutive years of payout growth
INTERACTIVE DRIP & SHAREHOLDER-YIELD COMPOUNDER (8% EST. ANNUAL)

$10,000 Compounded Over 10 Years → $21,589

Est. Year-10 Shareholder Yield: $391/yr
$10.8K
Yr 1
$11.7K
Yr 2
$12.6K
Yr 3
$13.6K
Yr 4
$14.7K
Yr 5
$15.9K
Yr 6
$17.1K
Yr 7
$18.5K
Yr 8
$20.0K
Yr 9
$21.6K
Yr 10
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher + Cash-Flow & Quality Compounder Desk

Cash-Fortress Compounders: Auditing Free Cash Flow & Yield Safety in MLCO & A-Rated Leaders

  • ✓12-month Bull/Base/Bear fair-value walkthrough on MLCO and its top sector peer
  • ✓Top Roarable A-Rated cash compounders with verified executive & 13F accumulation
  • ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
Want Custom AI PineScript / Python Indicators & Priority Rating-Change Alerts?
MLCO // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -33.45%🛡️ HOLDING TREND SUPPORT
2026-10-30O $3.83H $3.95L $3.83C $3.84VOL 1.74M
RES: $5.46SUP: $3.64SMA50: $4.57SMA200: $5.39
$7.91$6.76$5.61$4.46$3.31RES $5.46SUP $3.64$3.842026-04-302026-06-152026-07-312026-09-162026-10-30
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

MLCO Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
-5.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +11.3% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on MLCO today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for MLCO. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for MLCO today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (MLCO)

Consumer Discretionary Rank #359 of 1011 ⚔️ TH vs MLCO Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Consumer Discretionary Peer Comparison (MLCO vs. TH, XHR, MCRI, PENN)

Industry: Hotels/Resorts (35 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Melco Resorts & Entertainment Limited (MLCO) ranks #359 by composite RQD confidence (62/100, grade C) and #455 by equity capitalization ($1.51B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, MLCO leads on earnings valuation at 8.2x trailing P/E, while MCRI leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 18.9% ROIC and 23.4% gross margin. MCRI currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 69/100 (C+) compared with MLCO at 62/100 (C).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
MLCO ACTIVE
Melco Resorts & Entertainment Limited
C 62/100 8.2x — 10.6% +2.95% $1.51B Benchmark Subject
TH
Target Hospitality Corp.
D 48/100 — 15.5% -7.2% +0.92% $1.42B /th-vs-mlco →
XHR
Xenia Hotels & Resorts Inc.
D+ 53/100 30.3x 30.6% 8.5% +0.14% $1.91B /xhr-vs-mlco →
MCRI
Monarch Casino & Resort Inc.
C+ 69/100 19.8x 23.4% 18.9% -0.44% $2.00B /mcri-vs-mlco →
PENN
PENN Entertainment Inc.
D+ 57/100 — — -13.3% +4.14% $2.06B /penn-vs-mlco →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001381640

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Melco Resorts & Entertainment Limited (MLCO) reported GAAP revenue of $5.16B (+11.3% vs. FY2024 revenue of $4.64B , and +36.8% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $185.0M, operating cash flow of $818.1M, and free cash flow of $818.1M (+30.6% YoY). On the balance sheet, MLCO closed FY2025 with $7.60B in total assets against $6.75B in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 0.35, Piotroski F-Score: 7/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $5.16B $185.0M $818.1M $818.1M $7.60B $6.75B
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $4.64B $43.5M $626.7M $626.7M $7.99B $7.14B
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $3.78B -$326.9M $622.7M $622.7M — —

3. MLCO Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is MLCO stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-01, Melco Resorts & Entertainment Limited (NASDAQ: MLCO) is rated C (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 62/100 at a spot price of $3.84 (+2.95% 1D, market cap $1.51B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 9/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 13/20, Executive Insider Alignment 12/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 15/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 13/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, MLCO ranks #359 in composite RQD confidence.

How does MLCO compare to TH and XHR in the Consumer Discretionary sector?

Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Hotels/Resorts), MLCO carries a Roarable C (62/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 8.2x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 10.6%. By comparison, TH (Target Hospitality Corp.) holds a D grade (48/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -7.2%, cap $1.42B) and XHR (Xenia Hotels & Resorts Inc.) posts a D+ grade (53/100 RQD, P/E 30.3x, ROIC 8.5%, cap $1.91B). Among the 5-stock peer group, MLCO leads on earnings multiple (8.2x) while MCRI leads on capital efficiency (18.9% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for MLCO?

Per MLCO's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001381640), Melco Resorts & Entertainment Limited generated $5.16B in revenue (+11.3% YoY), $185.0M in net income, and $818.1M in free cash flow against $7.60B in total assets and $6.75B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is MLCO trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

MLCO last traded at $3.84 (+2.95% on volume of 1,765,257 shares), positioning the stock -15.97% below its 50-day simple moving average ($4.57) and -28.76% below its 200-day simple moving average ($5.39). Across its 52-week range of $3.67 to $9.53, MLCO sits at the 2.9% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 39.6 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±8.1% ($3.53 to $4.15).

MLCO Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

Does MLCO pay a dividend and is it safe?

Melco Resorts & Entertainment Limited (MLCO) offers a 0.01% cash dividend yield ($0.00 annualized) and 1.81% total shareholder yield including buybacks. Roarable rates its payout coverage as REINVESTING IN GROWTH + BUYBACKS.

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