MARKET WIREReuters • 2h ago
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Why LPTH Stock advanced +0.36% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
$8.31 +0.36% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot)
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $8.30
LightPath Technologies Inc. (Class A) (LPTH) carries a Roarable Rating of D- (Sell) with 42/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.
ROARABLE D- • SELL / AVOID
Cap $582.4M
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🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief)
Is LPTH stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-01, LightPath Technologies Inc. (Class A) (NASDAQ: LPTH) is rated D- (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 42/100 at a spot price of $8.31 (+0.36% 1D, market cap $582.4M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 7/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 11/20, Executive Insider Alignment 11/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 10/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 3/20. Across 714 tracked Technology issuers, LPTH ranks #519 in composite RQD confidence.
✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief)
How does LPTH compare to ARRY and CSIQ in the Technology sector?
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Within the Technology sector (Semiconductors), LPTH carries a Roarable D- (42/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 27.2%, and ROIC of -32.1%. By comparison, ARRY (Array Technologies Inc.) holds a D grade (45/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -11.0%, cap $548.3M) and CSIQ (Canadian Solar Inc. (ON)) posts a E grade (27/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC 2.4%, cap $634.1M). Among the 5-stock peer group, LPTH leads on earnings multiple (N/A) while CSIQ leads on capital efficiency (2.4% ROIC).
✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief)
What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for LPTH?
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Per LPTH's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-06-30, CIK 0000889971), LightPath Technologies Inc. (Class A) generated $37.2M in revenue (+17.3% YoY), -$14.9M in net income, and -$9.6M in free cash flow against $148.6M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Technology with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $8.30 (-0.13%)🧬 Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 7/20 (D-) • 0% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (42/100 · D-) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-7.0% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record →RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D-
2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning
Cash
SEC
Whale
Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer
5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D- · Rk D+
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-7.2% Base Target
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for LPTH)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±12.5%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (42/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY LPTH SCORES 42/100 (D-) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Whale & Options Positioning+11/20 pts (26% of score)
20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (±12.5% realized swing band)
▲ #2 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+11/20 pts (26% of score)
Altman Z-Score 7.89 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 4/9
▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution4/20 pts (-16 pt drag)
Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 16 pts from alignment
📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)Grade C-$9.72-21.2% Next Q
50
Q2 (-2Q)Grade D$7.66-4.8% Next Q
47
Q3 (-1Q)Grade D$7.29+14% Next Q
45
CurrentGrade D-$8.31-7% Hist 90D α
42
Trajectory: C- (50) → D- (42)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER
⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a LPTH Turnaround Squeeze
While LPTH currently carries a cautious 42/100 (D-) rating due to Insider Conviction & Share Dilution (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.
🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1
Established market leader in Technology with deep daily trading liquidity.
🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2
Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($9.77) and Max Pain ($8.73) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $19.89.
🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3
Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.
🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $LPTH• $4.8M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “LPTH Beats Next Quarterly Revenue & EPS Consensus + Hyperscaler AI CapEx Holds Record Pace”
AUTOMATED RQD QUANT DESK MOVER BRIEFINGFull Market News Desk →
Why LPTH Stock advanced +0.36% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
LightPath Technologies Inc. (Class A) (LPTH) advanced +0.36% to $8.31, trading at 19% of its 52-week range ($5.83 – $18.94). Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (-32% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.
- ▸Technical Tape: Trading at 19% of its 52-week range ($5.83 – $18.94) with RSI-14 at 42.4 (NEUTRAL RANGE).
- ▸Volatility Profile: Historical 20-day realized swing band of ±12.5% around $8.31 (no active unusual options sweep snapshot on file).
- ▸Fundamental Anchor: Roarable D- (Sell) backed by 27.2% gross margin and $0 annual free cash flow.
Live LPTH Headlines & Catalysts
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MARKET WIRECNBC • 7h ago
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MARKET WIRECNBC • 8h ago
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RISK WATCHReuters • 9h ago
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Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring LPTH)
- ✓Walkthrough of LPTH's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
- ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
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LPTH // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -35.13%⚡ TESTING RESISTANCE
2026-10-30O $7.72H $8.31L $7.70C $8.31VOL 3.67M
RES: $9.16SUP: $6.44SMA50: $9.77SMA200: $11.94
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK
LPTH Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure
Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)
Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).
Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth
vs. +17.3% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).
Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)
No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on LPTH today. View full Setup Ledger →
🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections
Open Graph →
No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for LPTH. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.
AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for LPTH today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK
📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (LPTH)
Technology Rank #519 of 714
⚔️ ARRY vs LPTH Full Matrix →
1. Head-to-Head Technology Peer Comparison (LPTH vs. ARRY, CSIQ, AOSL, KOPN)
Industry: Semiconductors (95 Tracked Issuers)Across 714 tracked Technology securities in the Roarable RQD universe, LightPath Technologies Inc. (Class A) (LPTH) ranks #519 by composite RQD confidence (42/100, grade D-) and #408 by equity capitalization ($582.4M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, LPTH leads on earnings valuation at N/A trailing P/E, while CSIQ leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 2.4% ROIC and 18.3% gross margin. ARRY currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 45/100 (D) compared with LPTH at 42/100 (D-).
| Ticker / Company | Roarable Grade | RQD Score | Trailing P/E | Gross Margin | ROIC | 1D Change | Market Cap | Head-to-Head |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LPTH
ACTIVE
LightPath Technologies Inc. (Class A) | D- | 42/100 | — | 27.2% | -32.1% | +0.36% | $582.4M | Benchmark Subject |
| ARRY Array Technologies Inc. | D | 45/100 | — | 23.2% | -11.0% | 0.00% | $548.3M | /arry-vs-lpth → |
| CSIQ Canadian Solar Inc. (ON) | E | 27/100 | — | 18.3% | 2.4% | -2.50% | $634.1M | /csiq-vs-lpth → |
| AOSL Alpha and Omega Semiconductor Limited | D | 44/100 | — | 23.1% | -3.6% | +0.16% | $748.8M | /aosl-vs-lpth → |
| KOPN Kopin Corporation | D- | 41/100 | — | — | -20.8% | +3.33% | $749.1M | /kopn-vs-lpth → |
2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)
SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-06-30 • CIK 0000889971In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-06-30), LightPath Technologies Inc. (Class A) (LPTH) reported GAAP revenue of $37.2M (+17.3% vs. FY2024 revenue of $31.7M , and +13.0% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$14.9M, operating cash flow of -$8.3M, and free cash flow of -$9.6M (-477.3% YoY). On the balance sheet, LPTH closed FY2025 with $148.6M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 7.89, Piotroski F-Score: 4/9).
| Fiscal Period | Filing Date | Revenue | Net Income | Operating Cash Flow | Free Cash Flow | Total Assets | Total Debt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2025 (FY) | 2025-06-30 | $37.2M | -$14.9M | -$8.3M | -$9.6M | $148.6M | — |
| FY2024 (FY) | 2024-06-30 | $31.7M | -$8.0M | $521.0K | -$1.7M | $45.8M | $222.8K |
| FY2023 (FY) | 2023-06-30 | $32.9M | -$4.0M | -$2.8M | -$2.8M | — | — |
3. LPTH Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)
✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLEDIs LPTH stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
As of 2026-11-01, LightPath Technologies Inc. (Class A) (NASDAQ: LPTH) is rated D- (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 42/100 at a spot price of $8.31 (+0.36% 1D, market cap $582.4M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 7/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 11/20, Executive Insider Alignment 11/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 10/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 3/20. Across 714 tracked Technology issuers, LPTH ranks #519 in composite RQD confidence.
How does LPTH compare to ARRY and CSIQ in the Technology sector?
Within the Technology sector (Semiconductors), LPTH carries a Roarable D- (42/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 27.2%, and ROIC of -32.1%. By comparison, ARRY (Array Technologies Inc.) holds a D grade (45/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -11.0%, cap $548.3M) and CSIQ (Canadian Solar Inc. (ON)) posts a E grade (27/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC 2.4%, cap $634.1M). Among the 5-stock peer group, LPTH leads on earnings multiple (N/A) while CSIQ leads on capital efficiency (2.4% ROIC).
What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for LPTH?
Per LPTH's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-06-30, CIK 0000889971), LightPath Technologies Inc. (Class A) generated $37.2M in revenue (+17.3% YoY), -$14.9M in net income, and -$9.6M in free cash flow against $148.6M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Technology with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
Where is LPTH trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?
LPTH last traded at $8.31 (+0.36% on volume of 2,160,250 shares), positioning the stock -14.94% below its 50-day simple moving average ($9.77) and -30.40% below its 200-day simple moving average ($11.94). Across its 52-week range of $5.83 to $18.94, LPTH sits at the 18.9% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 42.4 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±12.5% ($7.27 to $9.35).
LPTH Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index
100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FREDWhy is LPTH stock moving today?
Why LPTH Stock advanced +0.36% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash. Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (-32% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.