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LightPath Technologies Inc. (Class A) (LPTH) 12-Month Stock Forecast & Price Target Cone

$8.31 +0.36% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot)

LightPath Technologies Inc. (Class A) (LPTH) carries a Roarable Rating of D- (Sell) with 42/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE D- • SELL / AVOID Cap $582.4M

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D-

2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D- · Rk D+

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE-7.2% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for LPTH)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±12.5%

INTERACTIVE 12-MONTH POSITION SIMULATOR

Drag to Test Your LPTH Position Size: $10,000

Shares at $8.31: 1203.4 sh

$1,000$10,000$25,000$50,000$100,000

12M Bear Case FloorTarget $6.01

$7,232

$-2,768 (-27.7%)

12M Consensus BaseTarget $7.71

$9,278

$-722 (-7.2%)

12M Bull Case BreakoutTarget $19.89

$23,935

+$13,935 (+139.4%)

Wall Street Analyst Breakdown & Historical Accuracy Audit (35 Desks)

Street Historical Accuracy: 64/100

● Strong Buy / Buy: 17● Hold: 9● Sell: 9

Wall Street Firm	Stance	12M Target	1Y Accuracy	Track Grade
Morgan StanleyInstitutional Equity Desk	HOLD	$8	74%	A
Goldman SachsSector Coverage Lead	UNDERPERFORM	$19	69%	B
JP MorganUS Large-Cap Research	SELL	$7	58%	C

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring LPTH)

✓Walkthrough of LPTH's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
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LPTH // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -35.13%⚡ TESTING RESISTANCE

2026-10-30O $7.72H $8.31L $7.70C $8.31VOL 3.67M

RES: $9.16SUP: $6.44SMA50: $9.77SMA200: $11.94

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

LPTH Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 LPTH Butterfly Map → + Track LPTH →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)

8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +17.3% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on LPTH today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for LPTH. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for LPTH today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (LPTH)

Technology Rank #519 of 714 ⚔️ ARRY vs LPTH Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Technology Peer Comparison (LPTH vs. ARRY, CSIQ, AOSL, KOPN)

Industry: Semiconductors (95 Tracked Issuers)

Across 714 tracked Technology securities in the Roarable RQD universe, LightPath Technologies Inc. (Class A) (LPTH) ranks #519 by composite RQD confidence (42/100, grade D-) and #408 by equity capitalization ($582.4M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, LPTH leads on earnings valuation at N/A trailing P/E, while CSIQ leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 2.4% ROIC and 18.3% gross margin. ARRY currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 45/100 (D) compared with LPTH at 42/100 (D-).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
LPTH ACTIVE LightPath Technologies Inc. (Class A)	D-	42/100	—	27.2%	-32.1%	+0.36%	$582.4M	Benchmark Subject
ARRY Array Technologies Inc.	D	45/100	—	23.2%	-11.0%	0.00%	$548.3M	/arry-vs-lpth →
CSIQ Canadian Solar Inc. (ON)	E	27/100	—	18.3%	2.4%	-2.50%	$634.1M	/csiq-vs-lpth →
AOSL Alpha and Omega Semiconductor Limited	D	44/100	—	23.1%	-3.6%	+0.16%	$748.8M	/aosl-vs-lpth →
KOPN Kopin Corporation	D-	41/100	—	—	-20.8%	+3.33%	$749.1M	/kopn-vs-lpth →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-06-30 • CIK 0000889971

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-06-30), LightPath Technologies Inc. (Class A) (LPTH) reported GAAP revenue of $37.2M (+17.3% vs. FY2024 revenue of $31.7M , and +13.0% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$14.9M, operating cash flow of -$8.3M, and free cash flow of -$9.6M (-477.3% YoY). On the balance sheet, LPTH closed FY2025 with $148.6M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 7.89, Piotroski F-Score: 4/9).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2025-06-30	$37.2M	-$14.9M	-$8.3M	-$9.6M	$148.6M	—
FY2024 (FY)	2024-06-30	$31.7M	-$8.0M	$521.0K	-$1.7M	$45.8M	$222.8K
FY2023 (FY)	2023-06-30	$32.9M	-$4.0M	-$2.8M	-$2.8M	—	—

3. LPTH Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is LPTH stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-01, LightPath Technologies Inc. (Class A) (NASDAQ: LPTH) is rated D- (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 42/100 at a spot price of $8.31 (+0.36% 1D, market cap $582.4M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 7/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 11/20, Executive Insider Alignment 11/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 10/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 3/20. Across 714 tracked Technology issuers, LPTH ranks #519 in composite RQD confidence.

How does LPTH compare to ARRY and CSIQ in the Technology sector?

Within the Technology sector (Semiconductors), LPTH carries a Roarable D- (42/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 27.2%, and ROIC of -32.1%. By comparison, ARRY (Array Technologies Inc.) holds a D grade (45/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -11.0%, cap $548.3M) and CSIQ (Canadian Solar Inc. (ON)) posts a E grade (27/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC 2.4%, cap $634.1M). Among the 5-stock peer group, LPTH leads on earnings multiple (N/A) while CSIQ leads on capital efficiency (2.4% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for LPTH?

Per LPTH's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-06-30, CIK 0000889971), LightPath Technologies Inc. (Class A) generated $37.2M in revenue (+17.3% YoY), -$14.9M in net income, and -$9.6M in free cash flow against $148.6M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Technology with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is LPTH trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

LPTH last traded at $8.31 (+0.36% on volume of 2,160,250 shares), positioning the stock -14.94% below its 50-day simple moving average ($9.77) and -30.40% below its 200-day simple moving average ($11.94). Across its 52-week range of $5.83 to $18.94, LPTH sits at the 18.9% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 42.4 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±12.5% ($7.27 to $9.35).

LPTH Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

What is LPTH's 12-month stock price target?

LightPath Technologies Inc. (Class A) (LPTH) carries a 12-month consensus base price target of $7.71 (-7.2% from $8.31), with a bull-case target of $19.89 and a bear-case floor of $6.01.

Is LPTH stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now?

Roarable's 5-Pillar RQD Quant Engine rates LPTH D- (Sell — SELL) with an RQD Confidence score of 42/100.

Direct Sub-Reports: LPTH RQD Cockpit LPTH 12M Forecast LPTH Earnings & Move LPTH Dividends & DRIP LPTH Insiders & 13F LPTH Whale Options LPTH Profit Sankey LPTH News & Why