Stock Ratings / Technology / LPTH / dividends

ARRY (45) CSIQ (27) AOSL (44) KOPN (41) ⌘ Pro Terminal →

LightPath Technologies Inc. (Class A) (LPTH) Dividend Safety Gauge & 10-Year DRIP Compounder

$8.31 +0.36% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $8.30

LightPath Technologies Inc. (Class A) (LPTH) carries a Roarable Rating of D- (Sell) with 42/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (42/100 · D-) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows →

ROARABLE D- • SELL / AVOID Cap $582.4M

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $8.30 (-0.13%)🧬 Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 7/20 (D-) • 0% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (42/100 · D-) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-7.0% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D-

2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D- · Rk D+

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE-7.2% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for LPTH)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±12.5%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (42/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY LPTH SCORES 42/100 (D-) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Whale & Options Positioning+11/20 pts (26% of score)

20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (±12.5% realized swing band)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+11/20 pts (26% of score)

Altman Z-Score 7.89 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 4/9

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution4/20 pts (-16 pt drag)

Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 16 pts from alignment

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade C-$9.72-21.2% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade D$7.66-4.8% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade D$7.29+14% Next Q

Current

Grade D-$8.31-7% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: C- (50) → D- (42)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a LPTH Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While LPTH currently carries a cautious 42/100 (D-) rating due to Insider Conviction & Share Dilution (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Technology with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($9.77) and Max Pain ($8.73) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $19.89.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $LPTH• $4.8M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “LPTH Beats Next Quarterly Revenue & EPS Consensus + Hyperscaler AI CapEx Holds Record Pace”

YES 42%NO 58%Trade / Inspect Odds →

CASH DIVIDEND + BUYBACK YIELD

0.6% Total Yield

0% Cash ($0.00/yr) + 0.6% Buybacks

PAYOUT SAFETY SPEEDOMETER

74/100 • REINVESTING IN GROWTH + BUYBACKS

FREE CASH FLOW PAYOUT RATIO

0% (100% Reinvested)

Retains cash flow for R&D and share repurchases

INTERACTIVE DRIP & SHAREHOLDER-YIELD COMPOUNDER (10.1% EST. ANNUAL)

$10,000 Compounded Over 10 Years → $26,174

Est. Year-10 Shareholder Yield: $157/yr

Starting Investment: $10,000

Compounding Horizon: 10 Years

$11.0K

Yr 1

$12.1K

Yr 2

$13.3K

Yr 3

$14.7K

Yr 4

$16.2K

Yr 5

$17.8K

Yr 6

$19.6K

Yr 7

$21.6K

Yr 8

$23.8K

Yr 9

$26.2K

Yr 10

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring LPTH)

✓Walkthrough of LPTH's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks

RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED

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Join Founding VIP Waitlist (No Card Required) →$100K Arena

LPTH // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -35.13%⚡ TESTING RESISTANCE

2026-10-30O $7.72H $8.31L $7.70C $8.31VOL 3.67M

RES: $9.16SUP: $6.44SMA50: $9.77SMA200: $11.94

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

LPTH Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 LPTH Butterfly Map → + Track LPTH →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)

8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +17.3% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on LPTH today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for LPTH. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for LPTH today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (LPTH)

Technology Rank #519 of 714 ⚔️ ARRY vs LPTH Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Technology Peer Comparison (LPTH vs. ARRY, CSIQ, AOSL, KOPN)

Industry: Semiconductors (95 Tracked Issuers)

Across 714 tracked Technology securities in the Roarable RQD universe, LightPath Technologies Inc. (Class A) (LPTH) ranks #519 by composite RQD confidence (42/100, grade D-) and #408 by equity capitalization ($582.4M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, LPTH leads on earnings valuation at N/A trailing P/E, while CSIQ leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 2.4% ROIC and 18.3% gross margin. ARRY currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 45/100 (D) compared with LPTH at 42/100 (D-).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
LPTH ACTIVE LightPath Technologies Inc. (Class A)	D-	42/100	—	27.2%	-32.1%	+0.36%	$582.4M	Benchmark Subject
ARRY Array Technologies Inc.	D	45/100	—	23.2%	-11.0%	0.00%	$548.3M	/arry-vs-lpth →
CSIQ Canadian Solar Inc. (ON)	E	27/100	—	18.3%	2.4%	-2.50%	$634.1M	/csiq-vs-lpth →
AOSL Alpha and Omega Semiconductor Limited	D	44/100	—	23.1%	-3.6%	+0.16%	$748.8M	/aosl-vs-lpth →
KOPN Kopin Corporation	D-	41/100	—	—	-20.8%	+3.33%	$749.1M	/kopn-vs-lpth →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-06-30 • CIK 0000889971

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-06-30), LightPath Technologies Inc. (Class A) (LPTH) reported GAAP revenue of $37.2M (+17.3% vs. FY2024 revenue of $31.7M , and +13.0% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$14.9M, operating cash flow of -$8.3M, and free cash flow of -$9.6M (-477.3% YoY). On the balance sheet, LPTH closed FY2025 with $148.6M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 7.89, Piotroski F-Score: 4/9).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2025-06-30	$37.2M	-$14.9M	-$8.3M	-$9.6M	$148.6M	—
FY2024 (FY)	2024-06-30	$31.7M	-$8.0M	$521.0K	-$1.7M	$45.8M	$222.8K
FY2023 (FY)	2023-06-30	$32.9M	-$4.0M	-$2.8M	-$2.8M	—	—

3. LPTH Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is LPTH stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-01, LightPath Technologies Inc. (Class A) (NASDAQ: LPTH) is rated D- (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 42/100 at a spot price of $8.31 (+0.36% 1D, market cap $582.4M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 7/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 11/20, Executive Insider Alignment 11/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 10/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 3/20. Across 714 tracked Technology issuers, LPTH ranks #519 in composite RQD confidence.

How does LPTH compare to ARRY and CSIQ in the Technology sector?

Within the Technology sector (Semiconductors), LPTH carries a Roarable D- (42/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 27.2%, and ROIC of -32.1%. By comparison, ARRY (Array Technologies Inc.) holds a D grade (45/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -11.0%, cap $548.3M) and CSIQ (Canadian Solar Inc. (ON)) posts a E grade (27/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC 2.4%, cap $634.1M). Among the 5-stock peer group, LPTH leads on earnings multiple (N/A) while CSIQ leads on capital efficiency (2.4% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for LPTH?

Per LPTH's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-06-30, CIK 0000889971), LightPath Technologies Inc. (Class A) generated $37.2M in revenue (+17.3% YoY), -$14.9M in net income, and -$9.6M in free cash flow against $148.6M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Technology with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is LPTH trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

LPTH last traded at $8.31 (+0.36% on volume of 2,160,250 shares), positioning the stock -14.94% below its 50-day simple moving average ($9.77) and -30.40% below its 200-day simple moving average ($11.94). Across its 52-week range of $5.83 to $18.94, LPTH sits at the 18.9% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 42.4 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±12.5% ($7.27 to $9.35).

LPTH Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

Does LPTH pay a dividend and is it safe?

LightPath Technologies Inc. (Class A) (LPTH) offers a 0% cash dividend yield ($0.00 annualized) and 0.6% total shareholder yield including buybacks. Roarable rates its payout coverage as REINVESTING IN GROWTH + BUYBACKS.

Direct Sub-Reports: LPTH RQD Cockpit LPTH 12M Forecast LPTH Earnings & Move LPTH Dividends & DRIP LPTH Insiders & 13F LPTH Whale Options LPTH Profit Sankey LPTH News & Why