LightPath Technologies Inc. (Class A) (LPTH) — RQD Stock Rating Cockpit

$8.31 +0.36% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot)

LightPath Technologies Inc. (Class A) (LPTH) carries a Roarable Rating of D- (Sell) with 42/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE D- • SELL / AVOID Cap $582.4M
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D-
025507510042
2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D- · Rk D+
Cash (7)Whales (11)SEC (11)Macro (10)CEO (3)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-7.2% Base Target
$20 Bull$8 Base$6 Bear
📬 FREE LPTH RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for LPTH)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±12.5%
RSI-14 MOMENTUMNEUTRAL RANGE
42.430 Oversold · 70 Hot
ALTMAN-Z SHIELDFORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)
7.89>3.0 Fortress Safe
PIOTROSKI F-SCOREWEAK QUALITY (1–4)
4 / 99-Pt Accounting
52-WEEK LASER RANGE19% OF RANGE
L: $6$8.31H: $19
1. Money & Cash Health● WEAK
Are profits real cash in the bank?

Weak cash conversion or heavy valuation strain compared to actual cash earned.

Factor Grade: D-RQD 7 / 20
2. Big Money & Insiders● TRIMMING
Are whales & executives buying or selling?

Insiders and big institutional desks have been trimming shares rather than stepping up to buy.

Factor Grade: D-RQD 14 / 40
3. Hidden Risks & Market Weather● WARNING
SEC fine-print scan & interest-rate fit

High sensitivity to tight interest rates or new risk warnings added to recent SEC annual filings.

Factor Grade: D+RQD 21 / 40
MULTI-MODEL JEV QUANT JURY DELIBERATION

2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning on LPTH

Cash & Moat Bull AI
ROIC & Free Cash Flow Model
BEARISH (35)

-32.1% ROIC with 27.2% gross margin and -1.65% FCF yield.

SEC Forensic Auditor AI
10-K Accruals & Altman-Z Guard
NEUTRAL (55)

Altman-Z 7.89 and Piotroski 4/9 pass balance-sheet audit.

Whale & Macro Hawk AI
Options Skew, 13F & Fed NetLiq
BEARISH (40)

14/40 institutional & smart-money positioning score with 10/20 macro alignment.

Bull Case: Why Buyers Like LPTH
  • ✓Established market leader in Technology with deep daily trading liquidity.
Bear Case: What Could Go Wrong
  • !Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.
  • !Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.
  • !Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins.
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring LPTH)

  • ✓Walkthrough of LPTH's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
  • ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
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LPTH // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -35.13%⚡ TESTING RESISTANCE
2026-10-30O $7.72H $8.31L $7.70C $8.31VOL 3.67M
RES: $9.16SUP: $6.44SMA50: $9.77SMA200: $11.94
$19.79$16.27$12.75$9.24$5.72RES $9.16SUP $6.44$8.312026-04-302026-06-152026-07-312026-09-162026-10-30
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

LPTH Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +17.3% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on LPTH today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for LPTH. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for LPTH today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (LPTH)

Technology Rank #519 of 714 ⚔️ ARRY vs LPTH Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Technology Peer Comparison (LPTH vs. ARRY, CSIQ, AOSL, KOPN)

Industry: Semiconductors (95 Tracked Issuers)

Across 714 tracked Technology securities in the Roarable RQD universe, LightPath Technologies Inc. (Class A) (LPTH) ranks #519 by composite RQD confidence (42/100, grade D-) and #408 by equity capitalization ($582.4M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, LPTH leads on earnings valuation at N/A trailing P/E, while CSIQ leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 2.4% ROIC and 18.3% gross margin. ARRY currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 45/100 (D) compared with LPTH at 42/100 (D-).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
LPTH ACTIVE
LightPath Technologies Inc. (Class A)
D- 42/100 — 27.2% -32.1% +0.36% $582.4M Benchmark Subject
ARRY
Array Technologies Inc.
D 45/100 — 23.2% -11.0% 0.00% $548.3M /arry-vs-lpth →
CSIQ
Canadian Solar Inc. (ON)
E 27/100 — 18.3% 2.4% -2.50% $634.1M /csiq-vs-lpth →
AOSL
Alpha and Omega Semiconductor Limited
D 44/100 — 23.1% -3.6% +0.16% $748.8M /aosl-vs-lpth →
KOPN
Kopin Corporation
D- 41/100 — — -20.8% +3.33% $749.1M /kopn-vs-lpth →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-06-30 • CIK 0000889971

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-06-30), LightPath Technologies Inc. (Class A) (LPTH) reported GAAP revenue of $37.2M (+17.3% vs. FY2024 revenue of $31.7M , and +13.0% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$14.9M, operating cash flow of -$8.3M, and free cash flow of -$9.6M (-477.3% YoY). On the balance sheet, LPTH closed FY2025 with $148.6M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 7.89, Piotroski F-Score: 4/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-06-30 $37.2M -$14.9M -$8.3M -$9.6M $148.6M —
FY2024 (FY) 2024-06-30 $31.7M -$8.0M $521.0K -$1.7M $45.8M $222.8K
FY2023 (FY) 2023-06-30 $32.9M -$4.0M -$2.8M -$2.8M — —

3. LPTH Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is LPTH stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-01, LightPath Technologies Inc. (Class A) (NASDAQ: LPTH) is rated D- (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 42/100 at a spot price of $8.31 (+0.36% 1D, market cap $582.4M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 7/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 11/20, Executive Insider Alignment 11/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 10/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 3/20. Across 714 tracked Technology issuers, LPTH ranks #519 in composite RQD confidence.

How does LPTH compare to ARRY and CSIQ in the Technology sector?

Within the Technology sector (Semiconductors), LPTH carries a Roarable D- (42/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 27.2%, and ROIC of -32.1%. By comparison, ARRY (Array Technologies Inc.) holds a D grade (45/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -11.0%, cap $548.3M) and CSIQ (Canadian Solar Inc. (ON)) posts a E grade (27/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC 2.4%, cap $634.1M). Among the 5-stock peer group, LPTH leads on earnings multiple (N/A) while CSIQ leads on capital efficiency (2.4% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for LPTH?

Per LPTH's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-06-30, CIK 0000889971), LightPath Technologies Inc. (Class A) generated $37.2M in revenue (+17.3% YoY), -$14.9M in net income, and -$9.6M in free cash flow against $148.6M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Technology with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is LPTH trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

LPTH last traded at $8.31 (+0.36% on volume of 2,160,250 shares), positioning the stock -14.94% below its 50-day simple moving average ($9.77) and -30.40% below its 200-day simple moving average ($11.94). Across its 52-week range of $5.83 to $18.94, LPTH sits at the 18.9% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 42.4 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±12.5% ($7.27 to $9.35).

LPTH Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

Should I buy, hold, or sell LPTH stock right now?

LightPath Technologies Inc. (Class A) (LPTH) currently earns a Roarable Rating of D- (Sell — SELL) with 42/100 RQD Confidence. Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (-32% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.

What is LPTH's 12-month price target and RQD AI Jury consensus?

LPTH's 12-month base price target is $7.71 (range $6.01 to $19.89), backed by transparent SEC XBRL cash-flow, Form 4 insider, and CBOE options flow analysis.

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