CATALYSTReuters • 2h ago
Indian shares rise on Iran war talks, Reliance earnings beat - ReutersIndian shares rise on Iran war talks, Reliance earnings beat Reuters
Why LITB Stock dropped -2.61% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
$2.80 -2.61% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot)
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $2.78
LightInTheBox Holding Co. Ltd. each representing twelve (LITB) carries a Roarable Rating of D (Sell) with 51/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.
ROARABLE D • SELL / AVOID
Cap $55.2M
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Is LITB stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
▼
As of 2026-11-01, LightInTheBox Holding Co. Ltd. each representing twelve (NYSE: LITB) is rated D (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 51/100 at a spot price of $2.80 (-2.61% 1D, market cap $55.2M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 11/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 6/20, Executive Insider Alignment 7/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 10/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 17/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, LITB ranks #624 in composite RQD confidence.
✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief)
How does LITB compare to HOUR and GROV in the Consumer Discretionary sector?
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Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Catalog/Specialty Distribution), LITB carries a Roarable D (51/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 6.7x, gross margin of 65.0%, and ROIC of 85.0%. By comparison, HOUR (Hour Loop Inc.) holds a C+ grade (68/100 RQD, P/E 32.6x, ROIC 27.8%, cap $55.6M) and GROV (Grove Collaborative Holdings Inc. (Class A)) posts a E grade (30/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $45.7M). Among the 5-stock peer group, LITB leads on earnings multiple (6.7x) while LITB leads on capital efficiency (85.0% ROIC).
✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief)
What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for LITB?
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Per LITB's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001523836), LightInTheBox Holding Co. Ltd. each representing twelve generated $224.3M in revenue (-12.1% YoY), $8.3M in net income, and $6.2M in free cash flow against $72.0M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction.. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $2.78 (-0.66%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-2.64% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 11/20 (D+) • 2.8% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 51/100 (D) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (-1.3% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 49.7% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).
Audit Bucket Track Record →RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D
JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)
Cash
SEC
Whale
Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer
5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D+ · Rk D-
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-3.2% Base Target
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for LITB)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±10.6%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (51/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY LITB SCORES 51/100 (D) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution+17/20 pts (33% of score)
SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 85% Net Buy • Cannibal Buyback (-2.64% YoY Shares)
▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+11/20 pts (22% of score)
SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 2.8% FCF Margin ($6.2M FCF) & 65% Gross Margin
▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning6/20 pts (-14 pt drag)
Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-14 pts vs max)
📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)Grade C$2.99-6.4% Next Q
59
Q2 (-2Q)Grade C$2.80+0.7% Next Q
56
Q3 (-1Q)Grade C-$2.82-0.7% Next Q
54
CurrentGrade D$2.80-1.3% Hist 90D α
51
Trajectory: C (59) → D (51)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER
⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a LITB Turnaround Squeeze
While LITB currently carries a cautious 51/100 (D) rating due to Whale & Options Positioning (6/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.
🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1
Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction.
🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2
Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($2.96) and Max Pain ($2.94) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $4.08.
🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3
Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Cannibal Buyback (-2.64% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.
🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $LITB• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “LITB Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
AUTOMATED RQD QUANT DESK MOVER BRIEFINGFull Market News Desk →
Why LITB Stock dropped -2.61% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
LightInTheBox Holding Co. Ltd. each representing twelve (LITB) dropped -2.61% to $2.80, trading at 52% of its 52-week range ($1.63 – $3.89). Stretched risk/reward at 7x P/E (85% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.
- ▸Technical Tape: Trading at 52% of its 52-week range ($1.63 – $3.89) with RSI-14 at 25 (OVERSOLD (<32)).
- ▸Volatility Profile: Historical 20-day realized swing band of ±10.6% around $2.80 (no active unusual options sweep snapshot on file).
- ▸Fundamental Anchor: Roarable D (Sell) backed by 65% gross margin and $6.2M annual free cash flow.
Live LITB Headlines & Catalysts
MARKET WIREReuters • 5h ago
Russia's FSB says minor detained over park attack threat after US tip-off - ReutersRussia's FSB says minor detained over park attack threat after US tip-off Reuters
MARKET WIREReuters • 5h ago
Oil slips more than 1% as talks continue on ending Iran war - ReutersOil slips more than 1% as talks continue on ending Iran war Reuters
MARKET WIREReuters • 7h ago
Nine people dead in Learjet crash in south Florida, officials say - ReutersNine people dead in Learjet crash in south Florida, officials say Reuters
MARKET WIREReuters • 8h ago
Iran's IRGC Navy says two tankers 'exploded' after hitting mines in Hormuz - ReutersIran's IRGC Navy says two tankers 'exploded' after hitting mines in Hormuz Reuters
MARKET WIRECNBC • 10h ago
Here are 3 big things we're watching in the stock market in the week aheadThe market could use a few victories in the days ahead, which will be filled with more earnings, an election, and jobs data.
MARKET WIRECNBC • 11h ago
Democratic Rep. Stevens endorses Rogers over El-Sayed in Michigan Senate electionHaley Stevens had lost the Democratic nomination for Senate in Michigan to Abdul El-Sayed earlier this year.
RISK WATCHReuters • 12h ago
Israeli strikes kill eight people in Gaza - medics say - ReutersIsraeli strikes kill eight people in Gaza - medics say Reuters
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Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring LITB)
- ✓Walkthrough of LITB's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
- ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
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LITB // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +29.03%🛡️ HOLDING TREND SUPPORT
2026-10-30O $2.58H $2.80L $2.19C $2.80VOL 7.8K
RES: $3.02SUP: $2.77SMA50: $2.96SMA200: $2.81
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK
LITB Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure
Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)
Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).
Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
-8.8%/yr Implied 5Y Growth
vs. +6.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).
Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)
No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on LITB today. View full Setup Ledger →
🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections
Open Graph →
No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for LITB. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.
AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for LITB today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK
📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (LITB)
Consumer Discretionary Rank #624 of 1011
⚔️ HOUR vs LITB Full Matrix →
1. Head-to-Head Consumer Discretionary Peer Comparison (LITB vs. HOUR, GROV, LVLU, GIFT)
Industry: Catalog/Specialty Distribution (29 Tracked Issuers)Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, LightInTheBox Holding Co. Ltd. each representing twelve (LITB) ranks #624 by composite RQD confidence (51/100, grade D) and #808 by equity capitalization ($55.2M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, LITB leads on earnings valuation at 6.7x trailing P/E, while LITB leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 85.0% ROIC and 65.0% gross margin. HOUR currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 68/100 (C+) compared with LITB at 51/100 (D).
| Ticker / Company | Roarable Grade | RQD Score | Trailing P/E | Gross Margin | ROIC | 1D Change | Market Cap | Head-to-Head |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LITB
ACTIVE
LightInTheBox Holding Co. Ltd. each representing twelve | D | 51/100 | 6.7x | 65.0% | 85.0% | -2.61% | $55.2M | Benchmark Subject |
| HOUR Hour Loop Inc. | C+ | 68/100 | 32.6x | 52.4% | 27.8% | +0.64% | $55.6M | /hour-vs-litb → |
| GROV Grove Collaborative Holdings Inc. (Class A) | E | 30/100 | — | 53.7% | -35.0% | 0.00% | $45.7M | /grov-vs-litb → |
| LVLU Lulu's Fashion Lounge Holdings Inc. | E | 33/100 | — | 43.2% | -35.0% | -2.96% | $30.1M | /lvlu-vs-litb → |
| GIFT Giftify Inc. | D- | 36/100 | — | 18.6% | -35.0% | +11.05% | $26.4M | /gift-vs-litb → |
2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)
SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001523836In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), LightInTheBox Holding Co. Ltd. each representing twelve (LITB) reported GAAP revenue of $224.3M (-12.1% vs. FY2024 revenue of $255.3M ) , GAAP net income of $8.3M, operating cash flow of $6.2M, and free cash flow of $6.2M (+112.6% YoY). On the balance sheet, LITB closed FY2025 with $72.0M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 0.20, Piotroski F-Score: 5/9).
| Fiscal Period | Filing Date | Revenue | Net Income | Operating Cash Flow | Free Cash Flow | Total Assets | Total Debt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2025 (FY) | 2025-12-31 | $224.3M | $8.3M | $6.2M | $6.2M | $72.0M | — |
| FY2024 (FY) | 2024-12-31 | $255.3M | -$2.5M | -$48.2M | -$48.9M | $69.4M | — |
| FY2023 (FY) | 2023-12-31 | $0 | -$9.6M | -$20.7M | -$20.7M | — | — |
3. LITB Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)
✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLEDIs LITB stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
As of 2026-11-01, LightInTheBox Holding Co. Ltd. each representing twelve (NYSE: LITB) is rated D (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 51/100 at a spot price of $2.80 (-2.61% 1D, market cap $55.2M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 11/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 6/20, Executive Insider Alignment 7/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 10/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 17/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, LITB ranks #624 in composite RQD confidence.
How does LITB compare to HOUR and GROV in the Consumer Discretionary sector?
Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Catalog/Specialty Distribution), LITB carries a Roarable D (51/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 6.7x, gross margin of 65.0%, and ROIC of 85.0%. By comparison, HOUR (Hour Loop Inc.) holds a C+ grade (68/100 RQD, P/E 32.6x, ROIC 27.8%, cap $55.6M) and GROV (Grove Collaborative Holdings Inc. (Class A)) posts a E grade (30/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $45.7M). Among the 5-stock peer group, LITB leads on earnings multiple (6.7x) while LITB leads on capital efficiency (85.0% ROIC).
What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for LITB?
Per LITB's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001523836), LightInTheBox Holding Co. Ltd. each representing twelve generated $224.3M in revenue (-12.1% YoY), $8.3M in net income, and $6.2M in free cash flow against $72.0M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction.. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
Where is LITB trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?
LITB last traded at $2.80 (-2.61% on volume of 968 shares), positioning the stock -5.41% below its 50-day simple moving average ($2.96) and -0.36% below its 200-day simple moving average ($2.81). Across its 52-week range of $1.63 to $3.89, LITB sits at the 51.8% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 25.0 (OVERSOLD (<32)) and an implied next-earnings move of ±10.6% ($2.50 to $3.10).
LITB Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index
100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FREDWhy is LITB stock moving today?
Why LITB Stock dropped -2.61% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash. Stretched risk/reward at 7x P/E (85% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.