Stock Ratings / Consumer Discretionary / LITB

HOUR (68) GROV (30) LVLU (33) GIFT (36) ⌘ Pro Terminal →

LightInTheBox Holding Co. Ltd. each representing twelve (LITB) — RQD Stock Rating Cockpit

Q: What is LITB's 12-month price target and RQD AI Jury consensus?

LITB's 12-month base price target is $2.71 (range $2.11 to $4.08), backed by transparent SEC XBRL cash-flow, Form 4 insider, and CBOE options flow analysis.

$2.80 -2.61% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $2.78

LightInTheBox Holding Co. Ltd. each representing twelve (LITB) carries a Roarable Rating of D (Sell) with 51/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 51/100 (D) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (-1.3% avg 90D alpha vs SPY) →

ROARABLE D • SELL / AVOID Cap $55.2M

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $2.78 (-0.66%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-2.64% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 11/20 (D+) • 2.8% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 51/100 (D) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (-1.3% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 49.7% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D

JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D+ · Rk D-

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE-3.2% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for LITB)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±10.6%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (51/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY LITB SCORES 51/100 (D) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution+17/20 pts (33% of score)

SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 85% Net Buy • Cannibal Buyback (-2.64% YoY Shares)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+11/20 pts (22% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 2.8% FCF Margin ($6.2M FCF) & 65% Gross Margin

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning6/20 pts (-14 pt drag)

Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-14 pts vs max)

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade C$2.99-6.4% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade C$2.80+0.7% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade C-$2.82-0.7% Next Q

Current

Grade D$2.80-1.3% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: C (59) → D (51)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a LITB Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While LITB currently carries a cautious 51/100 (D) rating due to Whale & Options Positioning (6/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($2.96) and Max Pain ($2.94) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $4.08.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Cannibal Buyback (-2.64% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $LITB• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “LITB Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”

YES 51%NO 49%Trade / Inspect Odds →

RSI-14 MOMENTUMOVERSOLD (<32)

2530 Oversold · 70 Hot

ALTMAN-Z SHIELDDISTRESS RISK (<1.8)

0.20>3.0 Fortress Safe

PIOTROSKI F-SCORESOLID CORE (5–6)

5 / 99-Pt Accounting

52-WEEK LASER RANGE52% OF RANGE

L: $2$2.80H: $4

1. Money & Cash Health● MIXED

Are profits real cash in the bank?

Decent core business (65% profit margin), though cash flow growth is moderate rather than explosive right now.

Factor Grade: D+RQD 11 / 20

2. Big Money & Insiders● NEUTRAL

Are whales & executives buying or selling?

Big funds and company insiders are mostly holding steady without aggressive buying or panic selling.

Factor Grade: D+RQD 23 / 40

3. Hidden Risks & Market Weather● WARNING

SEC fine-print scan & interest-rate fit

High sensitivity to tight interest rates or new risk warnings added to recent SEC annual filings.

Factor Grade: D-RQD 17 / 40

MULTI-MODEL JEV QUANT JURY DELIBERATION

JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground) on LITB

Cash & Moat Bull AI

ROIC & Free Cash Flow Model

NEUTRAL (55)

85.0% ROIC with 65.0% gross margin and 11.17% FCF yield.

SEC Forensic Auditor AI

10-K Accruals & Altman-Z Guard

BEARISH (35)

Altman-Z 0.20 and Piotroski 5/9 pass balance-sheet audit.

Whale & Macro Hawk AI

Options Skew, 13F & Fed NetLiq

NEUTRAL (55)

23/40 institutional & smart-money positioning score with 10/20 macro alignment.

Bull Case: Why Buyers Like LITB

✓Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction.

Bear Case: What Could Go Wrong

!Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.
!Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins.

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring LITB)

✓Walkthrough of LITB's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks

RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED

Want Custom AI PineScript / Python Indicators & Priority Rating-Change Alerts?

Join Founding VIP Waitlist (No Card Required) →$100K Arena

LITB // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +29.03%🛡️ HOLDING TREND SUPPORT

2026-10-30O $2.58H $2.80L $2.19C $2.80VOL 7.8K

RES: $3.02SUP: $2.77SMA50: $2.96SMA200: $2.81

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

LITB Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 LITB Butterfly Map → + Track LITB →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)

-8.8%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +6.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on LITB today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for LITB. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for LITB today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (LITB)

Consumer Discretionary Rank #624 of 1011 ⚔️ HOUR vs LITB Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Consumer Discretionary Peer Comparison (LITB vs. HOUR, GROV, LVLU, GIFT)

Industry: Catalog/Specialty Distribution (29 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, LightInTheBox Holding Co. Ltd. each representing twelve (LITB) ranks #624 by composite RQD confidence (51/100, grade D) and #808 by equity capitalization ($55.2M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, LITB leads on earnings valuation at 6.7x trailing P/E, while LITB leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 85.0% ROIC and 65.0% gross margin. HOUR currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 68/100 (C+) compared with LITB at 51/100 (D).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
LITB ACTIVE LightInTheBox Holding Co. Ltd. each representing twelve	D	51/100	6.7x	65.0%	85.0%	-2.61%	$55.2M	Benchmark Subject
HOUR Hour Loop Inc.	C+	68/100	32.6x	52.4%	27.8%	+0.64%	$55.6M	/hour-vs-litb →
GROV Grove Collaborative Holdings Inc. (Class A)	E	30/100	—	53.7%	-35.0%	0.00%	$45.7M	/grov-vs-litb →
LVLU Lulu's Fashion Lounge Holdings Inc.	E	33/100	—	43.2%	-35.0%	-2.96%	$30.1M	/lvlu-vs-litb →
GIFT Giftify Inc.	D-	36/100	—	18.6%	-35.0%	+11.05%	$26.4M	/gift-vs-litb →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001523836

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), LightInTheBox Holding Co. Ltd. each representing twelve (LITB) reported GAAP revenue of $224.3M (-12.1% vs. FY2024 revenue of $255.3M ) , GAAP net income of $8.3M, operating cash flow of $6.2M, and free cash flow of $6.2M (+112.6% YoY). On the balance sheet, LITB closed FY2025 with $72.0M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 0.20, Piotroski F-Score: 5/9).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2025-12-31	$224.3M	$8.3M	$6.2M	$6.2M	$72.0M	—
FY2024 (FY)	2024-12-31	$255.3M	-$2.5M	-$48.2M	-$48.9M	$69.4M	—
FY2023 (FY)	2023-12-31	$0	-$9.6M	-$20.7M	-$20.7M	—	—

3. LITB Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is LITB stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-01, LightInTheBox Holding Co. Ltd. each representing twelve (NYSE: LITB) is rated D (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 51/100 at a spot price of $2.80 (-2.61% 1D, market cap $55.2M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 11/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 6/20, Executive Insider Alignment 7/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 10/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 17/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, LITB ranks #624 in composite RQD confidence.

How does LITB compare to HOUR and GROV in the Consumer Discretionary sector?

Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Catalog/Specialty Distribution), LITB carries a Roarable D (51/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 6.7x, gross margin of 65.0%, and ROIC of 85.0%. By comparison, HOUR (Hour Loop Inc.) holds a C+ grade (68/100 RQD, P/E 32.6x, ROIC 27.8%, cap $55.6M) and GROV (Grove Collaborative Holdings Inc. (Class A)) posts a E grade (30/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $45.7M). Among the 5-stock peer group, LITB leads on earnings multiple (6.7x) while LITB leads on capital efficiency (85.0% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for LITB?

Per LITB's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001523836), LightInTheBox Holding Co. Ltd. each representing twelve generated $224.3M in revenue (-12.1% YoY), $8.3M in net income, and $6.2M in free cash flow against $72.0M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction.. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is LITB trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

LITB last traded at $2.80 (-2.61% on volume of 968 shares), positioning the stock -5.41% below its 50-day simple moving average ($2.96) and -0.36% below its 200-day simple moving average ($2.81). Across its 52-week range of $1.63 to $3.89, LITB sits at the 51.8% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 25.0 (OVERSOLD (<32)) and an implied next-earnings move of ±10.6% ($2.50 to $3.10).

LITB Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

Should I buy, hold, or sell LITB stock right now?

LightInTheBox Holding Co. Ltd. each representing twelve (LITB) currently earns a Roarable Rating of D (Sell — SELL) with 51/100 RQD Confidence. Stretched risk/reward at 7x P/E (85% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.

What is LITB's 12-month price target and RQD AI Jury consensus?

LITB's 12-month base price target is $2.71 (range $2.11 to $4.08), backed by transparent SEC XBRL cash-flow, Form 4 insider, and CBOE options flow analysis.

Direct Sub-Reports: LITB RQD Cockpit LITB 12M Forecast LITB Earnings & Move LITB Dividends & DRIP LITB Insiders & 13F LITB Whale Options LITB Profit Sankey LITB News & Why