LightInTheBox Holding Co. Ltd. each representing twelve (LITB) Insider, 13F Hedge Fund & Politician Buy/Sell Thermometer

$2.80 -2.61% NYSE β€’ Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $2.78

LightInTheBox Holding Co. Ltd. each representing twelve (LITB) carries a Roarable Rating of D (Sell) with 51/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE D β€’ SELL / AVOID Cap $55.2M
πŸ“€ Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
πŸ›‘οΈ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $2.78 (-0.66%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-2.64% YoY Shares)βš™οΈ Cash Engine: 11/20 (D+) β€’ 2.8% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit β†’
πŸ“Š Historical Track Record: Scores of 51/100 (D) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (-1.3% avg 90D alpha vs SPY β€’ 49.7% hit rate β€” wait for RQD β‰₯ 70 breakout).
Audit Bucket Track Record β†’
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID β€’ D
025507510051
JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) β€” not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D+ Β· Rk D-
Cash (11)Whales (6)SEC (7)Macro (10)CEO (17)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-3.2% Base Target
$4 Bull$3 Base$2 Bear
πŸ“¬ FREE LITB RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: β€” (No Active Options Snapshot on file for LITB)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: Β±10.6%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (51/100 Composite)
πŸ” WHY LITB SCORES 51/100 (D) β€” TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
β–² #1 Bullish Driver: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution+17/20 pts (33% of score)

SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 85% Net Buy β€’ Cannibal Buyback (-2.64% YoY Shares)

β–² #2 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+11/20 pts (22% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 2.8% FCF Margin ($6.2M FCF) & 65% Gross Margin

β–Ό #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning6/20 pts (-14 pt drag)

Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-14 pts vs max)

πŸ“ˆ PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 β†’ Q2 β†’ Q3 β†’ Current
Q1 (-3Q)
59
Grade C$2.99-6.4% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
56
Grade C$2.80+0.7% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
54
Grade C-$2.82-0.7% Next Q
Current
51
Grade D$2.80-1.3% Hist 90D Ξ±
Trajectory: C (59) β†’ D (51)Full Audit β†’
βš”οΈ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

βš”οΈ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a LITB Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk β†’

While LITB currently carries a cautious 51/100 (D) rating due to Whale & Options Positioning (6/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

πŸš€ Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction.

πŸš€ Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($2.96) and Max Pain ($2.94) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $4.08.

πŸš€ Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Cannibal Buyback (-2.64% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $LITBβ€’ $2.4M Crowd Pool β€’ Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: β€œLITB Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
SEC FORM 4 Γ— 13F HEDGE FUNDS Γ— CONGRESSIONAL STOCK ACT

LITB Smart-Money Thermometer: HEAVY INSIDER & 13F ACCUMULATION

Explore All 13F & Congress Whales β†’
β–² Disclosed Buys: 0 ($0)β–Ό Disclosed Sales: 0 ($0)

Wide-Open SEC Form 4, 13F & Congressional Disclosure Ledger (LITB)

No recent open-market Form 4 cluster sales or emergency dumps flagged on LITB. Visit the Global 13F & Congressional Whale Ledger for cross-market smart-money filings.

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP β€’ SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring LITB)

  • βœ“Walkthrough of LITB's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • βœ“3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
  • βœ“Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
Want Custom AI PineScript / Python Indicators & Priority Rating-Change Alerts?
LITB // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +29.03%πŸ›‘οΈ HOLDING TREND SUPPORT
2026-10-30O $2.58H $2.80L $2.19C $2.80VOL 7.8K
RES: $3.02SUP: $2.77SMA50: $2.96SMA200: $2.81
$4.03$3.47$2.91$2.35$1.79RES $3.02SUP $2.77$2.802026-04-302026-06-152026-07-312026-09-162026-10-30
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

LITB Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
-8.8%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +6.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on LITB today. View full Setup Ledger β†’

πŸ¦‹ Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph β†’

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for LITB. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for LITB today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk β†’
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT β€’ SEC EDGAR XBRL Γ— RQD PEER BENCHMARK

πŸ“Š Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (LITB)

Consumer Discretionary Rank #624 of 1011 βš”οΈ HOUR vs LITB Full Matrix β†’

1. Head-to-Head Consumer Discretionary Peer Comparison (LITB vs. HOUR, GROV, LVLU, GIFT)

Industry: Catalog/Specialty Distribution (29 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, LightInTheBox Holding Co. Ltd. each representing twelve (LITB) ranks #624 by composite RQD confidence (51/100, grade D) and #808 by equity capitalization ($55.2M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, LITB leads on earnings valuation at 6.7x trailing P/E, while LITB leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 85.0% ROIC and 65.0% gross margin. HOUR currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 68/100 (C+) compared with LITB at 51/100 (D).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
LITB ACTIVE
LightInTheBox Holding Co. Ltd. each representing twelve
D 51/100 6.7x 65.0% 85.0% -2.61% $55.2M Benchmark Subject
HOUR
Hour Loop Inc.
C+ 68/100 32.6x 52.4% 27.8% +0.64% $55.6M /hour-vs-litb β†’
GROV
Grove Collaborative Holdings Inc. (Class A)
E 30/100 β€” 53.7% -35.0% 0.00% $45.7M /grov-vs-litb β†’
LVLU
Lulu's Fashion Lounge Holdings Inc.
E 33/100 β€” 43.2% -35.0% -2.96% $30.1M /lvlu-vs-litb β†’
GIFT
Giftify Inc.
D- 36/100 β€” 18.6% -35.0% +11.05% $26.4M /gift-vs-litb β†’

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K β€’ FILED 2025-12-31 β€’ CIK 0001523836

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), LightInTheBox Holding Co. Ltd. each representing twelve (LITB) reported GAAP revenue of $224.3M (-12.1% vs. FY2024 revenue of $255.3M ) , GAAP net income of $8.3M, operating cash flow of $6.2M, and free cash flow of $6.2M (+112.6% YoY). On the balance sheet, LITB closed FY2025 with $72.0M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 0.20, Piotroski F-Score: 5/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $224.3M $8.3M $6.2M $6.2M $72.0M β€”
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $255.3M -$2.5M -$48.2M -$48.9M $69.4M β€”
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $0 -$9.6M -$20.7M -$20.7M β€” β€”

3. LITB Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

βœ“ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is LITB stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-01, LightInTheBox Holding Co. Ltd. each representing twelve (NYSE: LITB) is rated D (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 51/100 at a spot price of $2.80 (-2.61% 1D, market cap $55.2M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 11/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 6/20, Executive Insider Alignment 7/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 10/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 17/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, LITB ranks #624 in composite RQD confidence.

How does LITB compare to HOUR and GROV in the Consumer Discretionary sector?

Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Catalog/Specialty Distribution), LITB carries a Roarable D (51/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 6.7x, gross margin of 65.0%, and ROIC of 85.0%. By comparison, HOUR (Hour Loop Inc.) holds a C+ grade (68/100 RQD, P/E 32.6x, ROIC 27.8%, cap $55.6M) and GROV (Grove Collaborative Holdings Inc. (Class A)) posts a E grade (30/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $45.7M). Among the 5-stock peer group, LITB leads on earnings multiple (6.7x) while LITB leads on capital efficiency (85.0% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for LITB?

Per LITB's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001523836), LightInTheBox Holding Co. Ltd. each representing twelve generated $224.3M in revenue (-12.1% YoY), $8.3M in net income, and $6.2M in free cash flow against $72.0M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction.. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is LITB trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

LITB last traded at $2.80 (-2.61% on volume of 968 shares), positioning the stock -5.41% below its 50-day simple moving average ($2.96) and -0.36% below its 200-day simple moving average ($2.81). Across its 52-week range of $1.63 to $3.89, LITB sits at the 51.8% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 25.0 (OVERSOLD (<32)) and an implied next-earnings move of Β±10.6% ($2.50 to $3.10).

LITB Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS β€’ SEC EDGAR Γ— CBOE Γ— FRED

Are LITB insiders and hedge funds buying or selling?

Roarable's SEC Form 4 and 13F Whale Thermometer currently classifies LITB leadership and institutional positioning as: HEAVY INSIDER & 13F ACCUMULATION.

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