Stock Ratings / Consumer Discretionary / LITB / earnings

HOUR (68) GROV (30) LVLU (33) GIFT (36) ⌘ Pro Terminal →

LightInTheBox Holding Co. Ltd. each representing twelve (LITB) Next Earnings Date & Expected ±10.6% Move

Q: When is LITB's next earnings date?

Based on SEC filing cadence, LightInTheBox Holding Co. Ltd. each representing twelve (LITB)'s next quarterly reporting window is estimated around Dec 30, 2026.

Q: How much is LITB stock expected to move on earnings?

Volatility modeling currently projects a ±10.6% event move for LITB, spanning a range between $2.5 and $3.1.

$2.80 -2.61% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $2.78

LightInTheBox Holding Co. Ltd. each representing twelve (LITB) carries a Roarable Rating of D (Sell) with 51/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 51/100 (D) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (-1.3% avg 90D alpha vs SPY) →

ROARABLE D • SELL / AVOID Cap $55.2M

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $2.78 (-0.66%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-2.64% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 11/20 (D+) • 2.8% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 51/100 (D) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (-1.3% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 49.7% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D

JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D+ · Rk D-

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE-3.2% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for LITB)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±10.6%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (51/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY LITB SCORES 51/100 (D) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution+17/20 pts (33% of score)

SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 85% Net Buy • Cannibal Buyback (-2.64% YoY Shares)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+11/20 pts (22% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 2.8% FCF Margin ($6.2M FCF) & 65% Gross Margin

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning6/20 pts (-14 pt drag)

Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-14 pts vs max)

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade C$2.99-6.4% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade C$2.80+0.7% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade C-$2.82-0.7% Next Q

Current

Grade D$2.80-1.3% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: C (59) → D (51)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a LITB Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While LITB currently carries a cautious 51/100 (D) rating due to Whale & Options Positioning (6/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($2.96) and Max Pain ($2.94) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $4.08.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Cannibal Buyback (-2.64% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $LITB• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “LITB Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”

YES 51%NO 49%Trade / Inspect Odds →

NEXT EST. WINDOW: Dec 30, 2026 (~58 DAYS)

Historical OHLCV Volatility ±10.6% Swing Band

±$0.30 Expected Swing

MODEL EARNINGS SETUP GAUGE

LITB Quantitative Pre-Earnings Setup: 51/100

Trailing EPS: $0.42 • YoY Revenue Growth: 12.4%

Model Bullish Setup (51/100)Model Risk Weight (49/100)

Derived deterministically from RQD cash-flow quality, SEC accrual safety, and institutional flow (not a community poll).

LOG YOUR PERSONAL PRE-EARNINGS STANCE (SAVED LOCALLY IN BROWSER):

Recent SEC Reported Revenue, Net Profit & Diluted EPS Cadence

Period	Filed	Revenue	Net Profit	Free Cash Flow	Gross Margin
FY 2025	2025-12-31	$224.3M	$8.3M	$6.2M	65%
FY 2024	2024-12-31	$255.3M	-$2.5M	-$48.9M	60.1%
FY 2023	2023-12-31	$0	-$9.6M	-$20.7M	65%

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring LITB)

✓Walkthrough of LITB's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks

RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED

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Join Founding VIP Waitlist (No Card Required) →$100K Arena

LITB // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +29.03%🛡️ HOLDING TREND SUPPORT

2026-10-30O $2.58H $2.80L $2.19C $2.80VOL 7.8K

RES: $3.02SUP: $2.77SMA50: $2.96SMA200: $2.81

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

LITB Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 LITB Butterfly Map → + Track LITB →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)

-8.8%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +6.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on LITB today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for LITB. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for LITB today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (LITB)

Consumer Discretionary Rank #624 of 1011 ⚔️ HOUR vs LITB Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Consumer Discretionary Peer Comparison (LITB vs. HOUR, GROV, LVLU, GIFT)

Industry: Catalog/Specialty Distribution (29 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, LightInTheBox Holding Co. Ltd. each representing twelve (LITB) ranks #624 by composite RQD confidence (51/100, grade D) and #808 by equity capitalization ($55.2M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, LITB leads on earnings valuation at 6.7x trailing P/E, while LITB leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 85.0% ROIC and 65.0% gross margin. HOUR currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 68/100 (C+) compared with LITB at 51/100 (D).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
LITB ACTIVE LightInTheBox Holding Co. Ltd. each representing twelve	D	51/100	6.7x	65.0%	85.0%	-2.61%	$55.2M	Benchmark Subject
HOUR Hour Loop Inc.	C+	68/100	32.6x	52.4%	27.8%	+0.64%	$55.6M	/hour-vs-litb →
GROV Grove Collaborative Holdings Inc. (Class A)	E	30/100	—	53.7%	-35.0%	0.00%	$45.7M	/grov-vs-litb →
LVLU Lulu's Fashion Lounge Holdings Inc.	E	33/100	—	43.2%	-35.0%	-2.96%	$30.1M	/lvlu-vs-litb →
GIFT Giftify Inc.	D-	36/100	—	18.6%	-35.0%	+11.05%	$26.4M	/gift-vs-litb →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001523836

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), LightInTheBox Holding Co. Ltd. each representing twelve (LITB) reported GAAP revenue of $224.3M (-12.1% vs. FY2024 revenue of $255.3M ) , GAAP net income of $8.3M, operating cash flow of $6.2M, and free cash flow of $6.2M (+112.6% YoY). On the balance sheet, LITB closed FY2025 with $72.0M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 0.20, Piotroski F-Score: 5/9).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2025-12-31	$224.3M	$8.3M	$6.2M	$6.2M	$72.0M	—
FY2024 (FY)	2024-12-31	$255.3M	-$2.5M	-$48.2M	-$48.9M	$69.4M	—
FY2023 (FY)	2023-12-31	$0	-$9.6M	-$20.7M	-$20.7M	—	—

3. LITB Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is LITB stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-01, LightInTheBox Holding Co. Ltd. each representing twelve (NYSE: LITB) is rated D (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 51/100 at a spot price of $2.80 (-2.61% 1D, market cap $55.2M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 11/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 6/20, Executive Insider Alignment 7/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 10/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 17/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, LITB ranks #624 in composite RQD confidence.

How does LITB compare to HOUR and GROV in the Consumer Discretionary sector?

Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Catalog/Specialty Distribution), LITB carries a Roarable D (51/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 6.7x, gross margin of 65.0%, and ROIC of 85.0%. By comparison, HOUR (Hour Loop Inc.) holds a C+ grade (68/100 RQD, P/E 32.6x, ROIC 27.8%, cap $55.6M) and GROV (Grove Collaborative Holdings Inc. (Class A)) posts a E grade (30/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $45.7M). Among the 5-stock peer group, LITB leads on earnings multiple (6.7x) while LITB leads on capital efficiency (85.0% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for LITB?

Per LITB's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001523836), LightInTheBox Holding Co. Ltd. each representing twelve generated $224.3M in revenue (-12.1% YoY), $8.3M in net income, and $6.2M in free cash flow against $72.0M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction.. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is LITB trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

LITB last traded at $2.80 (-2.61% on volume of 968 shares), positioning the stock -5.41% below its 50-day simple moving average ($2.96) and -0.36% below its 200-day simple moving average ($2.81). Across its 52-week range of $1.63 to $3.89, LITB sits at the 51.8% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 25.0 (OVERSOLD (<32)) and an implied next-earnings move of ±10.6% ($2.50 to $3.10).

LITB Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

When is LITB's next earnings date?

Based on SEC filing cadence, LightInTheBox Holding Co. Ltd. each representing twelve (LITB)'s next quarterly reporting window is estimated around Dec 30, 2026.

How much is LITB stock expected to move on earnings?

Volatility modeling currently projects a ±10.6% event move for LITB, spanning a range between $2.5 and $3.1.

Direct Sub-Reports: LITB RQD Cockpit LITB 12M Forecast LITB Earnings & Move LITB Dividends & DRIP LITB Insiders & 13F LITB Whale Options LITB Profit Sankey LITB News & Why