MARKET WIRECNBC • 2h ago
Here are 3 big things we're watching in the stock market in the week aheadThe market could use a few victories in the days ahead, which will be filled with more earnings, an election, and jobs data.
Why LEGH Stock advanced +1.87% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
$28.93 +1.87% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot)
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $28.97
Legacy Housing Corporation (TX) (LEGH) carries a Roarable Rating of C+ (Hold) with 69/100 RQD Confidence. The composite score sits in the neutral Hold band (59–69), meaning current holders don’t need to panic-sell while prospective buyers can wait for a move into the 70+ Buy zone.
ROARABLE C+ • HOLD / WATCH
Cap $688.0M
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $28.97 (+0.15%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-2.08% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 14/20 (B-) • 24.1% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 69/100 (C+) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+2.0% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 57.3% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).
Audit Bucket Track Record →RQD QUANT TACHOMETERHOLD / WATCH • C+
2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bullish
Cash
SEC
Whale
Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer
5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw C+ · Rk B
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE+4.9% Base Target
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for LEGH)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±6.1%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (69/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY LEGH SCORES 69/100 (C+) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+16/20 pts (23% of score)
FRED Regime × Technicals: 82% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 62.2 (BULLISH MOMENTUM)
▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution+15/20 pts (22% of score)
SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 75% Net Buy • Cannibal Buyback (-2.08% YoY Shares)
▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning11/20 pts (-9 pt drag)
Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-9 pts vs max)
📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)Grade C$27.81-1.5% Next Q
61
Q2 (-2Q)Grade C+$27.39+2.4% Next Q
64
Q3 (-1Q)Grade B-$28.04+3.2% Next Q
66
CurrentGrade C+$28.93+2% Hist 90D α
69
Trajectory: C (61) → C+ (69)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER
⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the LEGH Bull Thesis Could Fail
Even with a 69/100 (C+) score, LEGH faces multiple-compression risk if 16.5x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.
⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1
Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.
⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2
Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-2.08% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 49.5% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.
⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3
Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($28.18) or 200D SMA ($24.44) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($30.36) toward Bear Floor ($23.68).
🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $LEGH• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “LEGH Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
AUTOMATED RQD QUANT DESK MOVER BRIEFINGFull Market News Desk →
Why LEGH Stock advanced +1.87% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
Legacy Housing Corporation (TX) (LEGH) advanced +1.87% to $28.93, trading at 82% of its 52-week range ($18.29 – $31.34). Solid steady margins (7% return on capital), mixed timing at 17x P/E—hold if owned, no rush to chase.
- ▸Technical Tape: Trading at 82% of its 52-week range ($18.29 – $31.34) with RSI-14 at 62.2 (BULLISH MOMENTUM).
- ▸Volatility Profile: Historical 20-day realized swing band of ±6.1% around $28.93 (no active unusual options sweep snapshot on file).
- ▸Fundamental Anchor: Roarable C+ (Hold) backed by 52% gross margin and $28.2M annual free cash flow.
Live LEGH Headlines & Catalysts
MARKET WIRECNBC • 3h ago
Democratic Rep. Stevens endorses Rogers over El-Sayed in Michigan Senate electionHaley Stevens had lost the Democratic nomination for Senate in Michigan to Abdul El-Sayed earlier this year.
RISK WATCHReuters • 4h ago
Israeli strikes kill eight people in Gaza - medics say - ReutersIsraeli strikes kill eight people in Gaza - medics say Reuters
MARKET WIREReuters • 5h ago
Russia's FSB says minor detained over park attack threat after US tip-off - ReutersRussia's FSB says minor detained over park attack threat after US tip-off Reuters
MARKET WIREReuters • 6h ago
Iran, Qatari mediators hold third day of talks to end US-Iran war - ReutersIran, Qatari mediators hold third day of talks to end US-Iran war Reuters
CATALYSTReuters • 7h ago
Qatar surges, bucking Gulf market slide on Iran war concerns - ReutersQatar surges, bucking Gulf market slide on Iran war concerns Reuters
MARKET WIREReuters • 7h ago
OPEC+ keeps December oil output targets steady ahead of tougher call for 2027 - ReutersOPEC+ keeps December oil output targets steady ahead of tougher call for 2027 Reuters
MARKET WIREReuters • 7h ago
German ministers pledge tough action after rioters damage stores in Frankfurt - ReutersGerman ministers pledge tough action after rioters damage stores in Frankfurt Reuters
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Quantitative Research Desk
Scheduled RQD Strong Buys & Whale Accumulation Briefing (LEGH Tape Review)
- ✓Breakdown of the highest-scoring RQD Green-Light breakouts across our 5,200+ rated universe
- ✓Forensic Red-Light accounting & dilution traps to review on your watchlist
- ✓Includes downloadable .ics calendar invite & nightly RQD rating-change email alerts
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
Want Custom AI PineScript / Python Indicators & Priority Rating-Change Alerts?
LEGH // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +33.01%⚡ TESTING RESISTANCE
2026-10-30O $28.92H $29.45L $28.92C $28.93VOL 96.1K
RES: $29.40SUP: $26.13SMA50: $28.18SMA200: $24.44
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK
LEGH Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure
Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)
Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).
Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
9.3%/yr Implied 5Y Growth
vs. -9.6% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).
Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)
No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on LEGH today. View full Setup Ledger →
🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections
Open Graph →
No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for LEGH. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.
AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for LEGH today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK
📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (LEGH)
Consumer Discretionary Rank #205 of 1011
⚔️ HOV vs LEGH Full Matrix →
1. Head-to-Head Consumer Discretionary Peer Comparison (LEGH vs. HOV, SDHC, DFH, LGIH)
Industry: Homebuilding (31 Tracked Issuers)Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Legacy Housing Corporation (TX) (LEGH) ranks #205 by composite RQD confidence (69/100, grade C+) and #555 by equity capitalization ($688.0M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, DFH leads on earnings valuation at 4.2x trailing P/E, while DFH leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 15.3% ROIC and — gross margin. LEGH currently leads its immediate peer cohort in composite quantitative strength at 69/100 (C+).
| Ticker / Company | Roarable Grade | RQD Score | Trailing P/E | Gross Margin | ROIC | 1D Change | Market Cap | Head-to-Head |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LEGH
ACTIVE
Legacy Housing Corporation (TX) | C+ | 69/100 | 16.5x | — | 7.4% | +1.87% | $688.0M | Benchmark Subject |
| HOV Hovnanian Enterprises Inc. (Class A) | D | 51/100 | — | — | — | +0.90% | $610.6M | /hov-vs-legh → |
| SDHC Smith Douglas Homes Corp. (Class A) | D | 44/100 | 50.0x | 21.8% | 12.3% | +1.94% | $534.7M | /sdhc-vs-legh → |
| DFH Dream Finders Homes Inc. (Class A) | D | 51/100 | 4.2x | — | 15.3% | +3.29% | $909.0M | /dfh-vs-legh → |
| LGIH LGI Homes Inc. | D | 44/100 | 14.0x | 20.7% | 3.0% | +5.12% | $1.02B | /lgih-vs-legh → |
2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)
SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001436208In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Legacy Housing Corporation (TX) (LEGH) reported GAAP revenue of $116.9M (-9.6% vs. FY2024 revenue of $129.3M , and -19.4% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $41.8M, operating cash flow of $37.2M, and free cash flow of $28.2M (+5.1% YoY). On the balance sheet, LEGH closed FY2025 with $580.3M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 9.58, Piotroski F-Score: 5/9).
| Fiscal Period | Filing Date | Revenue | Net Income | Operating Cash Flow | Free Cash Flow | Total Assets | Total Debt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2025 (FY) | 2025-12-31 | $116.9M | $41.8M | $37.2M | $28.2M | $580.3M | — |
| FY2024 (FY) | 2024-12-31 | $129.3M | $61.6M | $36.0M | $26.8M | $534.2M | — |
| FY2023 (FY) | 2023-12-31 | $145.1M | $54.5M | -$13.5M | -$13.5M | — | — |
3. LEGH Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)
✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLEDIs LEGH stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
As of 2026-11-01, Legacy Housing Corporation (TX) (NASDAQ: LEGH) is rated C+ (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 69/100 at a spot price of $28.93 (+1.87% 1D, market cap $688.0M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 14/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 11/20, Executive Insider Alignment 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 16/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 15/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, LEGH ranks #205 in composite RQD confidence.
How does LEGH compare to HOV and SDHC in the Consumer Discretionary sector?
Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Homebuilding), LEGH carries a Roarable C+ (69/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 16.5x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 7.4%. By comparison, HOV (Hovnanian Enterprises Inc. (Class A)) holds a D grade (51/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $610.6M) and SDHC (Smith Douglas Homes Corp. (Class A)) posts a D grade (44/100 RQD, P/E 50.0x, ROIC 12.3%, cap $534.7M). Among the 5-stock peer group, DFH leads on earnings multiple (4.2x) while DFH leads on capital efficiency (15.3% ROIC).
What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for LEGH?
Per LEGH's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001436208), Legacy Housing Corporation (TX) generated $116.9M in revenue (-9.6% YoY), $41.8M in net income, and $28.2M in free cash flow against $580.3M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction.. Primary risk factors monitored: Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
Where is LEGH trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?
LEGH last traded at $28.93 (+1.87% on volume of 92,061 shares), positioning the stock +2.66% above its 50-day simple moving average ($28.18) and +18.37% above its 200-day simple moving average ($24.44). Across its 52-week range of $18.29 to $31.34, LEGH sits at the 81.5% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 62.2 (BULLISH MOMENTUM) and an implied next-earnings move of ±6.1% ($27.17 to $30.69).
LEGH Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index
100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FREDWhy is LEGH stock moving today?
Why LEGH Stock advanced +1.87% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash. Solid steady margins (7% return on capital), mixed timing at 17x P/E—hold if owned, no rush to chase.