Stock Ratings / Consumer Discretionary / LEGH / forecast

HOV (51) SDHC (44) DFH (51) LGIH (44) ⌘ Pro Terminal →

Legacy Housing Corporation (TX) (LEGH) 12-Month Stock Forecast & Price Target Cone

$28.93 +1.87% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $28.97

Legacy Housing Corporation (TX) (LEGH) carries a Roarable Rating of C+ (Hold) with 69/100 RQD Confidence. The composite score sits in the neutral Hold band (59–69), meaning current holders don’t need to panic-sell while prospective buyers can wait for a move into the 70+ Buy zone.

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 69/100 (C+) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+2.0% avg 90D alpha vs SPY) →

ROARABLE C+ • HOLD / WATCH Cap $688.0M

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $28.97 (+0.15%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-2.08% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 14/20 (B-) • 24.1% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 69/100 (C+) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+2.0% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 57.3% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERHOLD / WATCH • C+

2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bullish

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw C+ · Rk B

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE+4.9% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for LEGH)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±6.1%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (69/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY LEGH SCORES 69/100 (C+) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+16/20 pts (23% of score)

FRED Regime × Technicals: 82% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 62.2 (BULLISH MOMENTUM)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution+15/20 pts (22% of score)

SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 75% Net Buy • Cannibal Buyback (-2.08% YoY Shares)

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning11/20 pts (-9 pt drag)

Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-9 pts vs max)

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade C$27.81-1.5% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade C+$27.39+2.4% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade B-$28.04+3.2% Next Q

Current

Grade C+$28.93+2% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: C (61) → C+ (69)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the LEGH Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 69/100 (C+) score, LEGH faces multiple-compression risk if 16.5x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-2.08% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 49.5% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($28.18) or 200D SMA ($24.44) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($30.36) toward Bear Floor ($23.68).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $LEGH• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “LEGH Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”

YES 69%NO 31%Trade / Inspect Odds →

INTERACTIVE 12-MONTH POSITION SIMULATOR

Drag to Test Your LEGH Position Size: $10,000

Shares at $28.93: 345.7 sh

$1,000$10,000$25,000$50,000$100,000

12M Bear Case FloorTarget $23.68

$8,185

$-1,815 (-18.1%)

12M Consensus BaseTarget $30.36

$10,494

+$494 (+4.9%)

12M Bull Case BreakoutTarget $35.82

$12,382

+$2,382 (+23.8%)

Wall Street Analyst Breakdown & Historical Accuracy Audit (28 Desks)

Street Historical Accuracy: 64/100

● Strong Buy / Buy: 17● Hold: 9● Sell: 2

Wall Street Firm	Stance	12M Target	1Y Accuracy	Track Grade
Morgan StanleyInstitutional Equity Desk	HOLD	$32	74%	A
Goldman SachsSector Coverage Lead	BUY	$34	69%	B
JP MorganUS Large-Cap Research	HOLD	$27	58%	C

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Quantitative Research Desk

Scheduled RQD Strong Buys & Whale Accumulation Briefing (LEGH Tape Review)

✓Breakdown of the highest-scoring RQD Green-Light breakouts across our 5,200+ rated universe
✓Forensic Red-Light accounting & dilution traps to review on your watchlist
✓Includes downloadable .ics calendar invite & nightly RQD rating-change email alerts

RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED

Want Custom AI PineScript / Python Indicators & Priority Rating-Change Alerts?

Join Founding VIP Waitlist (No Card Required) →$100K Arena

LEGH // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +33.01%⚡ TESTING RESISTANCE

2026-10-30O $28.92H $29.45L $28.92C $28.93VOL 96.1K

RES: $29.40SUP: $26.13SMA50: $28.18SMA200: $24.44

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

LEGH Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 LEGH Butterfly Map → + Track LEGH →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)

9.3%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. -9.6% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on LEGH today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for LEGH. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for LEGH today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (LEGH)

Consumer Discretionary Rank #205 of 1011 ⚔️ HOV vs LEGH Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Consumer Discretionary Peer Comparison (LEGH vs. HOV, SDHC, DFH, LGIH)

Industry: Homebuilding (31 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Legacy Housing Corporation (TX) (LEGH) ranks #205 by composite RQD confidence (69/100, grade C+) and #555 by equity capitalization ($688.0M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, DFH leads on earnings valuation at 4.2x trailing P/E, while DFH leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 15.3% ROIC and — gross margin. LEGH currently leads its immediate peer cohort in composite quantitative strength at 69/100 (C+).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
LEGH ACTIVE Legacy Housing Corporation (TX)	C+	69/100	16.5x	—	7.4%	+1.87%	$688.0M	Benchmark Subject
HOV Hovnanian Enterprises Inc. (Class A)	D	51/100	—	—	—	+0.90%	$610.6M	/hov-vs-legh →
SDHC Smith Douglas Homes Corp. (Class A)	D	44/100	50.0x	21.8%	12.3%	+1.94%	$534.7M	/sdhc-vs-legh →
DFH Dream Finders Homes Inc. (Class A)	D	51/100	4.2x	—	15.3%	+3.29%	$909.0M	/dfh-vs-legh →
LGIH LGI Homes Inc.	D	44/100	14.0x	20.7%	3.0%	+5.12%	$1.02B	/lgih-vs-legh →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001436208

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Legacy Housing Corporation (TX) (LEGH) reported GAAP revenue of $116.9M (-9.6% vs. FY2024 revenue of $129.3M , and -19.4% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $41.8M, operating cash flow of $37.2M, and free cash flow of $28.2M (+5.1% YoY). On the balance sheet, LEGH closed FY2025 with $580.3M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 9.58, Piotroski F-Score: 5/9).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2025-12-31	$116.9M	$41.8M	$37.2M	$28.2M	$580.3M	—
FY2024 (FY)	2024-12-31	$129.3M	$61.6M	$36.0M	$26.8M	$534.2M	—
FY2023 (FY)	2023-12-31	$145.1M	$54.5M	-$13.5M	-$13.5M	—	—

3. LEGH Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is LEGH stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-01, Legacy Housing Corporation (TX) (NASDAQ: LEGH) is rated C+ (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 69/100 at a spot price of $28.93 (+1.87% 1D, market cap $688.0M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 14/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 11/20, Executive Insider Alignment 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 16/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 15/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, LEGH ranks #205 in composite RQD confidence.

How does LEGH compare to HOV and SDHC in the Consumer Discretionary sector?

Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Homebuilding), LEGH carries a Roarable C+ (69/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 16.5x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 7.4%. By comparison, HOV (Hovnanian Enterprises Inc. (Class A)) holds a D grade (51/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $610.6M) and SDHC (Smith Douglas Homes Corp. (Class A)) posts a D grade (44/100 RQD, P/E 50.0x, ROIC 12.3%, cap $534.7M). Among the 5-stock peer group, DFH leads on earnings multiple (4.2x) while DFH leads on capital efficiency (15.3% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for LEGH?

Per LEGH's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001436208), Legacy Housing Corporation (TX) generated $116.9M in revenue (-9.6% YoY), $41.8M in net income, and $28.2M in free cash flow against $580.3M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction.. Primary risk factors monitored: Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is LEGH trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

LEGH last traded at $28.93 (+1.87% on volume of 92,061 shares), positioning the stock +2.66% above its 50-day simple moving average ($28.18) and +18.37% above its 200-day simple moving average ($24.44). Across its 52-week range of $18.29 to $31.34, LEGH sits at the 81.5% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 62.2 (BULLISH MOMENTUM) and an implied next-earnings move of ±6.1% ($27.17 to $30.69).

LEGH Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

What is LEGH's 12-month stock price target?

Legacy Housing Corporation (TX) (LEGH) carries a 12-month consensus base price target of $30.36 (+4.9% from $28.93), with a bull-case target of $35.82 and a bear-case floor of $23.68.

Is LEGH stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now?

Roarable's 5-Pillar RQD Quant Engine rates LEGH C+ (Hold — HOLD) with an RQD Confidence score of 69/100.

Direct Sub-Reports: LEGH RQD Cockpit LEGH 12M Forecast LEGH Earnings & Move LEGH Dividends & DRIP LEGH Insiders & 13F LEGH Whale Options LEGH Profit Sankey LEGH News & Why