Stock Ratings / Consumer Discretionary / LEGH / earnings

HOV (44) SDHC (32) DFH (37) LGIH (27) ⌘ Pro Terminal →

Legacy Housing Corporation (TX) (LEGH) Next Earnings Date & Expected ±5.9% Move

$29.36 +1.49% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $29.38

Legacy Housing Corporation (TX) (LEGH) carries a Roarable Rating of C+ (Hold) with 68/100 RQD Confidence. The composite score sits in the neutral Hold band (59–69), meaning current holders don’t need to panic-sell while prospective buyers can wait for a move into the 70+ Buy zone.

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 68/100 (C+) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+1.8% avg 90D alpha vs SPY) →

ROARABLE C+ • HOLD / WATCH Cap $688.0M

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

⚡ INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW • $0 FREE TIER Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on LEGH Below — or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude

🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is LEGH stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

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As of 2026-11-02, Legacy Housing Corporation (TX) (NASDAQ: LEGH) is rated C+ (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 68/100 at a spot price of $29.36 (+1.49% 1D, market cap $688.0M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 14/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 14/20, Executive Insider Alignment 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 12/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 15/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, LEGH ranks #187 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does LEGH compare to HOV and SDHC in the Consumer Discretionary sector?

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Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Homebuilding), LEGH carries a Roarable C+ (68/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 16.5x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 7.4%. By comparison, HOV (Hovnanian Enterprises Inc. (Class A)) holds a D grade (44/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $610.6M) and SDHC (Smith Douglas Homes Corp. (Class A)) posts a E grade (32/100 RQD, P/E 50.0x, ROIC 12.3%, cap $534.7M). Among the 5-stock peer group, DFH leads on earnings multiple (4.2x) while DFH leads on capital efficiency (15.3% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for LEGH?

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Per LEGH's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001436208), Legacy Housing Corporation (TX) generated $116.9M in revenue (-9.6% YoY), $41.8M in net income, and $28.2M in free cash flow against $580.3M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction.. Primary risk factors monitored: Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $29.38 (+0.08%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-2.08% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 14/20 (B-) • 24.1% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 68/100 (C+) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+1.8% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 56.9% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERHOLD / WATCH • C+

2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bullish

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw B · Rk C

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE+4.5% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for LEGH)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±5.9%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (68/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY LEGH SCORES 68/100 (C+) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution+15/20 pts (22% of score)

SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 75% Net Buy • Cannibal Buyback (-2.08% YoY Shares)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+14/20 pts (21% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 24.1% FCF Margin ($28.2M FCF) & 52% Gross Margin

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Macro Regime Fit12/20 pts (-8 pt drag)

Macro rate sensitivity & RSI-14 (57.2) create a -8 pt regime headwind

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade C$27.22-2.3% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade C+$26.59+6.3% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade C+$28.26+3.9% Next Q

Current

Grade C+$29.36+1.8% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: C (60) → C+ (68)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the LEGH Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 68/100 (C+) score, LEGH faces multiple-compression risk if 16.5x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-2.08% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 49.5% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($28.18) or 200D SMA ($24.47) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($30.68) toward Bear Floor ($23.93).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $LEGH• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “LEGH Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”

YES 68%NO 32%Trade / Inspect Odds →

NEXT EST. WINDOW: Dec 30, 2026 (~58 DAYS)

Historical OHLCV Volatility ±5.9% Swing Band

±$1.73 Expected Swing

MODEL EARNINGS SETUP GAUGE

LEGH Quantitative Pre-Earnings Setup: 68/100

Trailing EPS: $1.76 • YoY Revenue Growth: -9.6%

Model Bullish Setup (68/100)Model Risk Weight (32/100)

Derived deterministically from RQD cash-flow quality, SEC accrual safety, and institutional flow (not a community poll).

LOG YOUR PERSONAL PRE-EARNINGS STANCE (SAVED LOCALLY IN BROWSER):

Recent SEC Reported Revenue, Net Profit & Diluted EPS Cadence

Period	Filed	Revenue	Net Profit	Free Cash Flow	Gross Margin
FY 2025	2025-12-31	$116.9M	$41.8M	$28.2M	52%
FY 2024	2024-12-31	$129.3M	$61.6M	$26.8M	52%
FY 2023	2023-12-31	$145.1M	$54.5M	-$13.5M	52%

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher + Options & Swing Structure Desk

Whale Flow & Momentum Playbook: Evaluating LEGH & AI Leaders Without Chasing Tops

✓Institutional whale strikes & implied earnings move audit on LEGH
✓How disciplined traders manage risk using pre-published trigger & invalidation levels
✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on tracked leaders

RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED

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Join Founding VIP Waitlist (No Card Required) →$100K Arena

LEGH // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +43.15%⚡ TESTING RESISTANCE

2026-11-02O $28.40H $29.36L $28.40C $29.36VOL 92.1K

RES: $29.38SUP: $26.14SMA50: $28.18SMA200: $24.47

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

LEGH Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 LEGH Butterfly Map → + Track LEGH →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)

9.3%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. -9.6% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on LEGH today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for LEGH. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for LEGH today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (LEGH)

Consumer Discretionary Rank #187 of 1011 ⚔️ HOV vs LEGH Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Consumer Discretionary Peer Comparison (LEGH vs. HOV, SDHC, DFH, LGIH)

Industry: Homebuilding (31 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Legacy Housing Corporation (TX) (LEGH) ranks #187 by composite RQD confidence (68/100, grade C+) and #555 by equity capitalization ($688.0M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, DFH leads on earnings valuation at 4.2x trailing P/E, while DFH leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 15.3% ROIC and — gross margin. LEGH currently leads its immediate peer cohort in composite quantitative strength at 68/100 (C+).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
LEGH ACTIVE Legacy Housing Corporation (TX)	C+	68/100	16.5x	—	7.4%	+1.49%	$688.0M	Benchmark Subject
HOV Hovnanian Enterprises Inc. (Class A)	D	44/100	—	—	—	-2.97%	$610.6M	/hov-vs-legh →
SDHC Smith Douglas Homes Corp. (Class A)	E	32/100	50.0x	21.8%	12.3%	-2.66%	$534.7M	/sdhc-vs-legh →
DFH Dream Finders Homes Inc. (Class A)	D-	37/100	4.2x	—	15.3%	-2.49%	$909.0M	/dfh-vs-legh →
LGIH LGI Homes Inc.	E	27/100	14.0x	20.7%	3.0%	+1.44%	$1.02B	/lgih-vs-legh →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001436208

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Legacy Housing Corporation (TX) (LEGH) reported GAAP revenue of $116.9M (-9.6% vs. FY2024 revenue of $129.3M , and -19.4% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $41.8M, operating cash flow of $37.2M, and free cash flow of $28.2M (+5.1% YoY). On the balance sheet, LEGH closed FY2025 with $580.3M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 9.58, Piotroski F-Score: 5/9).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2025-12-31	$116.9M	$41.8M	$37.2M	$28.2M	$580.3M	—
FY2024 (FY)	2024-12-31	$129.3M	$61.6M	$36.0M	$26.8M	$534.2M	—
FY2023 (FY)	2023-12-31	$145.1M	$54.5M	-$13.5M	-$13.5M	—	—

3. LEGH Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is LEGH stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

How does LEGH compare to HOV and SDHC in the Consumer Discretionary sector?

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for LEGH?

Where is LEGH trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

LEGH last traded at $29.36 (+1.49% on volume of 96,149 shares), positioning the stock +4.19% above its 50-day simple moving average ($28.18) and +19.98% above its 200-day simple moving average ($24.47). Across its 52-week range of $18.28 to $31.34, LEGH sits at the 84.8% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 57.2 (BULLISH MOMENTUM) and an implied next-earnings move of ±5.9% ($27.63 to $31.09).

LEGH Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

When is LEGH's next earnings date?

Based on SEC filing cadence, Legacy Housing Corporation (TX) (LEGH)'s next quarterly reporting window is estimated around Dec 30, 2026.

How much is LEGH stock expected to move on earnings?

Volatility modeling currently projects a ±5.9% event move for LEGH, spanning a range between $27.63 and $31.09.

Direct Sub-Reports: LEGH RQD Cockpit LEGH 12M Forecast LEGH Earnings & Move LEGH Dividends & DRIP LEGH Insiders & 13F LEGH Whale Options LEGH Profit Sankey LEGH News & Why