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Knife Riv Holding Co. (KNF) Insider, 13F Hedge Fund & Politician Buy/Sell Thermometer

$57.60 +6.18% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $58.38

Knife Riv Holding Co. (KNF) earns a Roarable Rating of B- (Buy) with 70/100 RQD Confidence. High-quality cash engine (18% profit margin, 8% return on capital) with steady institutional support. The company’s underlying cash engine and institutional positioning keep the composite score in the Green Buy zone.

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 70/100 (B-) historically ranked in the Top 15% of excess returns over the next 90 days (+6.6% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 68.1% hit rate) →

ROARABLE B- • BUY Cap $3.27B

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $58.38 (+1.35%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-2.36% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 13/20 (C) • 8.9% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 70/100 (B-) historically ranked in the Top 15% of excess returns over the next 90 days (+6.6% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 68.1% hit rate).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERBUY • B-

JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw C+ · Rk B

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE+5.4% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for KNF)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±8.7%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (70/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY KNF SCORES 70/100 (B-) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+16/20 pts (23% of score)

FRED Regime × Technicals: 20% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 61.4 (BULLISH MOMENTUM)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution+16/20 pts (23% of score)

SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 80% Net Buy • Cannibal Buyback (-2.36% YoY Shares)

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning12/20 pts (-8 pt drag)

Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-8 pts vs max)

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade C+$49.84+1.3% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade C+$50.50+5.2% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade B-$53.12+8.4% Next Q

Current

Grade B-$57.60+6.6% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: C+ (62) → B- (70)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the KNF Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 70/100 (B-) score, KNF faces multiple-compression risk if 20.8x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-2.36% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 15.9% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($55.69) or 200D SMA ($74.17) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($60.71) toward Bear Floor ($47.23).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $KNF• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “KNF Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”

YES 70%NO 30%Trade / Inspect Odds →

SEC FORM 4 × 13F HEDGE FUNDS × CONGRESSIONAL STOCK ACT

KNF Smart-Money Thermometer: HEAVY INSIDER & 13F ACCUMULATION

Explore All 13F & Congress Whales →

▲ Disclosed Buys: 0 ($0)▼ Disclosed Sales: 0 ($0)

Wide-Open SEC Form 4, 13F & Congressional Disclosure Ledger (KNF)

No recent open-market Form 4 cluster sales or emergency dumps flagged on KNF. Visit the Global 13F & Congressional Whale Ledger for cross-market smart-money filings.

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Quantitative Research Desk

Scheduled RQD Strong Buys & Whale Accumulation Briefing (KNF Tape Review)

✓Breakdown of the highest-scoring RQD Green-Light breakouts across our 5,200+ rated universe
✓Forensic Red-Light accounting & dilution traps to review on your watchlist
✓Includes downloadable .ics calendar invite & nightly RQD rating-change email alerts

RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED

Want Custom AI PineScript / Python Indicators & Priority Rating-Change Alerts?

Join Founding VIP Waitlist (No Card Required) →$100K Arena

KNF // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -37.76%⚡ TESTING RESISTANCE

2026-10-30O $56.99H $59.00L $56.78C $57.60VOL 497.0K

RES: $59.60SUP: $45.25SMA50: $55.69SMA200: $74.17

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

KNF Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 KNF Butterfly Map → + Track KNF →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)

14.4%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +8.5% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on KNF today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for KNF. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for KNF today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (KNF)

Materials Rank #14 of 270 ⚔️ USLM vs KNF Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Materials Peer Comparison (KNF vs. USLM, TTAM, MDU, LEU)

Industry: Mining & Quarrying of Nonmetallic Minerals (No Fuels) (24 Tracked Issuers)

Across 270 tracked Materials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Knife Riv Holding Co. (KNF) ranks #14 by composite RQD confidence (70/100, grade B-) and #90 by equity capitalization ($3.27B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, KNF leads on earnings valuation at 20.8x trailing P/E, while USLM leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 48.0% ROIC and 48.9% gross margin. USLM currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 73/100 (B) compared with KNF at 70/100 (B-).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
KNF ACTIVE Knife Riv Holding Co.	B-	70/100	20.8x	18.4%	8.3%	+6.18%	$3.27B	Benchmark Subject
USLM United States Lime & Minerals Inc.	B	73/100	24.3x	48.9%	48.0%	+4.20%	$3.27B	/uslm-vs-knf →
TTAM Titan America SA	C	62/100	—	—	—	+3.93%	$2.59B	/ttam-vs-knf →
MDU MDU Resources Group Inc. (Holding Company)	C-	61/100	21.8x	—	4.3%	+1.13%	$4.15B	/mdu-vs-knf →
LEU Centrus Energy Corp. (Class A)	C-	59/100	28.0x	26.2%	36.4%	-1.27%	$2.18B	/leu-vs-knf →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001955520

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Knife Riv Holding Co. (KNF) reported GAAP revenue of $3.15B (+8.5% vs. FY2024 revenue of $2.90B , and +11.2% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $157.1M, operating cash flow of $278.5M, and free cash flow of $278.5M (-13.6% YoY). On the balance sheet, KNF closed FY2025 with $3.65B in total assets against $1.15B in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 2.68, Piotroski F-Score: 7/9).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2025-12-31	$3.15B	$157.1M	$278.5M	$278.5M	$3.65B	$1.15B
FY2024 (FY)	2024-12-31	$2.90B	$201.7M	$322.3M	$322.3M	$2.85B	$666.9M
FY2023 (FY)	2023-12-31	$2.83B	$182.9M	$335.7M	$335.7M	—	—

3. KNF Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is KNF stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-01, Knife Riv Holding Co. (NYSE: KNF) is rated B- (Buy / BUY) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 70/100 at a spot price of $57.60 (+6.18% 1D, market cap $3.27B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 13/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 12/20, Executive Insider Alignment 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 16/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 16/20. Across 270 tracked Materials issuers, KNF ranks #14 in composite RQD confidence.

How does KNF compare to USLM and TTAM in the Materials sector?

Within the Materials sector (Mining & Quarrying of Nonmetallic Minerals (No Fuels)), KNF carries a Roarable B- (70/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 20.8x, gross margin of 18.4%, and ROIC of 8.3%. By comparison, USLM (United States Lime & Minerals Inc.) holds a B grade (73/100 RQD, P/E 24.3x, ROIC 48.0%, cap $3.27B) and TTAM (Titan America SA) posts a C grade (62/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $2.59B). Among the 5-stock peer group, KNF leads on earnings multiple (20.8x) while USLM leads on capital efficiency (48.0% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for KNF?

Per KNF's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001955520), Knife Riv Holding Co. generated $3.15B in revenue (+8.5% YoY), $157.1M in net income, and $278.5M in free cash flow against $3.65B in total assets and $1.15B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction.. Primary risk factors monitored: Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is KNF trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

KNF last traded at $57.60 (+6.18% on volume of 575,529 shares), positioning the stock +3.43% above its 50-day simple moving average ($55.69) and -22.34% below its 200-day simple moving average ($74.17). Across its 52-week range of $47.79 to $96.28, KNF sits at the 20.2% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 61.4 (BULLISH MOMENTUM) and an implied next-earnings move of ±8.7% ($52.59 to $62.61).

KNF Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

Are KNF insiders and hedge funds buying or selling?

Roarable's SEC Form 4 and 13F Whale Thermometer currently classifies KNF leadership and institutional positioning as: HEAVY INSIDER & 13F ACCUMULATION.

Direct Sub-Reports: KNF RQD Cockpit KNF 12M Forecast KNF Earnings & Move KNF Dividends & DRIP KNF Insiders & 13F KNF Whale Options KNF Profit Sankey KNF News & Why