Stock Ratings / Materials / KNF / dividends

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Knife Riv Holding Co. (KNF) Dividend Safety Gauge & 10-Year DRIP Compounder

$57.50 -0.17% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $57.37

Knife Riv Holding Co. (KNF) carries a Roarable Rating of C- (Hold) with 59/100 RQD Confidence. The composite score sits in the neutral Hold band (59–69), meaning current holders don’t need to panic-sell while prospective buyers can wait for a move into the 70+ Buy zone.

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 59/100 (C-) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+0.2% avg 90D alpha vs SPY) →

ROARABLE C- • HOLD / WATCH Cap $3.27B

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

⚡ INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW • $0 FREE TIER Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on KNF Below — or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude

🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is KNF stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

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As of 2026-11-02, Knife Riv Holding Co. (NYSE: KNF) is rated C- (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 59/100 at a spot price of $57.50 (-0.17% 1D, market cap $3.27B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 13/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 9/20, Executive Insider Alignment 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 8/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 16/20. Across 270 tracked Materials issuers, KNF ranks #44 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does KNF compare to USLM and TTAM in the Materials sector?

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Within the Materials sector (Mining & Quarrying of Nonmetallic Minerals (No Fuels)), KNF carries a Roarable C- (59/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 20.8x, gross margin of 18.4%, and ROIC of 8.3%. By comparison, USLM (United States Lime & Minerals Inc.) holds a C grade (65/100 RQD, P/E 24.3x, ROIC 48.0%, cap $3.27B) and TTAM (Titan America SA) posts a D grade (47/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $2.59B). Among the 5-stock peer group, KNF leads on earnings multiple (20.8x) while USLM leads on capital efficiency (48.0% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for KNF?

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Per KNF's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001955520), Knife Riv Holding Co. generated $3.15B in revenue (+8.5% YoY), $157.1M in net income, and $278.5M in free cash flow against $3.65B in total assets and $1.15B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction.. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $57.37 (-0.22%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-2.36% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 13/20 (C) • 8.9% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 59/100 (C-) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+0.2% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 53.1% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERHOLD / WATCH • C-

JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw C · Rk D+

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE+0.5% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for KNF)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±8.6%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (59/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY KNF SCORES 59/100 (C-) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution+16/20 pts (27% of score)

SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 80% Net Buy • Cannibal Buyback (-2.36% YoY Shares)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+13/20 pts (22% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 8.9% FCF Margin ($278.5M FCF) & 18.4% Gross Margin

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Macro Regime Fit8/20 pts (-12 pt drag)

Macro rate sensitivity & RSI-14 (61.6) create a -12 pt regime headwind

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade C-$49.44+0.3% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade C-$49.58+6.7% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade C$52.91+8.7% Next Q

Current

Grade C-$57.50+0.2% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: C- (51) → C- (59)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the KNF Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 59/100 (C-) score, KNF faces multiple-compression risk if 20.8x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-2.36% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 15.9% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($55.52) or 200D SMA ($74.06) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($57.76) toward Bear Floor ($45.05).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $KNF• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “KNF Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”

YES 59%NO 41%Trade / Inspect Odds →

CASH DIVIDEND + BUYBACK YIELD

1.8% Total Yield

0% Cash ($0.00/yr) + 1.8% Buybacks

PAYOUT SAFETY SPEEDOMETER

74/100 • REINVESTING IN GROWTH + BUYBACKS

FREE CASH FLOW PAYOUT RATIO

0% (100% Reinvested)

Retains cash flow for R&D and share repurchases

INTERACTIVE DRIP & SHAREHOLDER-YIELD COMPOUNDER (6.5% EST. ANNUAL)

$10,000 Compounded Over 10 Years → $18,771

Est. Year-10 Shareholder Yield: $338/yr

Starting Investment: $10,000

Compounding Horizon: 10 Years

$10.7K

Yr 1

$11.3K

Yr 2

$12.1K

Yr 3

$12.9K

Yr 4

$13.7K

Yr 5

$14.6K

Yr 6

$15.5K

Yr 7

$16.5K

Yr 8

$17.6K

Yr 9

$18.8K

Yr 10

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher + Cash-Flow & Quality Compounder Desk

Cash-Fortress Compounders: Auditing Free Cash Flow & Yield Safety in KNF & A-Rated Leaders

✓12-month Bull/Base/Bear fair-value walkthrough on KNF and its top sector peer
✓Top Roarable A-Rated cash compounders with verified executive & 13F accumulation
✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts

RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED

Want Custom AI PineScript / Python Indicators & Priority Rating-Change Alerts?

Join Founding VIP Waitlist (No Card Required) →$100K Arena

KNF // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -36.32%▼ DESCENDING CHANNEL

2026-11-02O $54.25H $57.60L $54.25C $57.50VOL 575.5K

RES: $73.69SUP: $45.04SMA50: $55.52SMA200: $74.06

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

KNF Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 KNF Butterfly Map → + Track KNF →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)

14.4%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +8.5% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on KNF today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for KNF. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for KNF today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (KNF)

Materials Rank #44 of 270 ⚔️ USLM vs KNF Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Materials Peer Comparison (KNF vs. USLM, TTAM, MDU, LEU)

Industry: Mining & Quarrying of Nonmetallic Minerals (No Fuels) (24 Tracked Issuers)

Across 270 tracked Materials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Knife Riv Holding Co. (KNF) ranks #44 by composite RQD confidence (59/100, grade C-) and #90 by equity capitalization ($3.27B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, KNF leads on earnings valuation at 20.8x trailing P/E, while USLM leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 48.0% ROIC and 48.9% gross margin. USLM currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 65/100 (C) compared with KNF at 59/100 (C-).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
KNF ACTIVE Knife Riv Holding Co.	C-	59/100	20.8x	18.4%	8.3%	-0.17%	$3.27B	Benchmark Subject
USLM United States Lime & Minerals Inc.	C	65/100	24.3x	48.9%	48.0%	-2.00%	$3.27B	/uslm-vs-knf →
TTAM Titan America SA	D	47/100	—	—	—	-1.14%	$2.59B	/ttam-vs-knf →
MDU MDU Resources Group Inc. (Holding Company)	C-	60/100	21.8x	—	4.3%	+0.05%	$4.15B	/mdu-vs-knf →
LEU Centrus Energy Corp. (Class A)	D	46/100	28.0x	26.2%	36.4%	-6.57%	$2.18B	/leu-vs-knf →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001955520

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Knife Riv Holding Co. (KNF) reported GAAP revenue of $3.15B (+8.5% vs. FY2024 revenue of $2.90B , and +11.2% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $157.1M, operating cash flow of $278.5M, and free cash flow of $278.5M (-13.6% YoY). On the balance sheet, KNF closed FY2025 with $3.65B in total assets against $1.15B in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 2.68, Piotroski F-Score: 7/9).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2025-12-31	$3.15B	$157.1M	$278.5M	$278.5M	$3.65B	$1.15B
FY2024 (FY)	2024-12-31	$2.90B	$201.7M	$322.3M	$322.3M	$2.85B	$666.9M
FY2023 (FY)	2023-12-31	$2.83B	$182.9M	$335.7M	$335.7M	—	—

3. KNF Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is KNF stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

How does KNF compare to USLM and TTAM in the Materials sector?

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for KNF?

Where is KNF trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

KNF last traded at $57.50 (-0.17% on volume of 497,064 shares), positioning the stock +3.57% above its 50-day simple moving average ($55.52) and -22.36% below its 200-day simple moving average ($74.06). Across its 52-week range of $47.79 to $96.28, KNF sits at the 20.0% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 61.6 (BULLISH MOMENTUM) and an implied next-earnings move of ±8.6% ($52.55 to $62.45).

KNF Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

Does KNF pay a dividend and is it safe?

Knife Riv Holding Co. (KNF) offers a 0% cash dividend yield ($0.00 annualized) and 1.8% total shareholder yield including buybacks. Roarable rates its payout coverage as REINVESTING IN GROWTH + BUYBACKS.

Direct Sub-Reports: KNF RQD Cockpit KNF 12M Forecast KNF Earnings & Move KNF Dividends & DRIP KNF Insiders & 13F KNF Whale Options KNF Profit Sankey KNF News & Why