Stock Ratings / Materials / KNF / earnings

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Knife Riv Holding Co. (KNF) Next Earnings Date & Expected ±8.7% Move

$57.60 +6.18% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $58.38

Knife Riv Holding Co. (KNF) earns a Roarable Rating of B- (Buy) with 70/100 RQD Confidence. High-quality cash engine (18% profit margin, 8% return on capital) with steady institutional support. The company’s underlying cash engine and institutional positioning keep the composite score in the Green Buy zone.

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 70/100 (B-) historically ranked in the Top 15% of excess returns over the next 90 days (+6.6% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 68.1% hit rate) →

ROARABLE B- • BUY Cap $3.27B

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

⚡ INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW • $0 FREE TIER Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on KNF Below — or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude

🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is KNF stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

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As of 2026-11-01, Knife Riv Holding Co. (NYSE: KNF) is rated B- (Buy / BUY) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 70/100 at a spot price of $57.60 (+6.18% 1D, market cap $3.27B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 13/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 12/20, Executive Insider Alignment 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 16/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 16/20. Across 270 tracked Materials issuers, KNF ranks #14 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does KNF compare to USLM and TTAM in the Materials sector?

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Within the Materials sector (Mining & Quarrying of Nonmetallic Minerals (No Fuels)), KNF carries a Roarable B- (70/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 20.8x, gross margin of 18.4%, and ROIC of 8.3%. By comparison, USLM (United States Lime & Minerals Inc.) holds a B grade (73/100 RQD, P/E 24.3x, ROIC 48.0%, cap $3.27B) and TTAM (Titan America SA) posts a C grade (62/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $2.59B). Among the 5-stock peer group, KNF leads on earnings multiple (20.8x) while USLM leads on capital efficiency (48.0% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for KNF?

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Per KNF's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001955520), Knife Riv Holding Co. generated $3.15B in revenue (+8.5% YoY), $157.1M in net income, and $278.5M in free cash flow against $3.65B in total assets and $1.15B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction.. Primary risk factors monitored: Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $58.38 (+1.35%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-2.36% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 13/20 (C) • 8.9% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 70/100 (B-) historically ranked in the Top 15% of excess returns over the next 90 days (+6.6% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 68.1% hit rate).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERBUY • B-

JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw C+ · Rk B

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE+5.4% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for KNF)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±8.7%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (70/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY KNF SCORES 70/100 (B-) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+16/20 pts (23% of score)

FRED Regime × Technicals: 20% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 61.4 (BULLISH MOMENTUM)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution+16/20 pts (23% of score)

SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 80% Net Buy • Cannibal Buyback (-2.36% YoY Shares)

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning12/20 pts (-8 pt drag)

Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-8 pts vs max)

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade C+$49.84+1.3% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade C+$50.50+5.2% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade B-$53.12+8.4% Next Q

Current

Grade B-$57.60+6.6% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: C+ (62) → B- (70)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the KNF Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 70/100 (B-) score, KNF faces multiple-compression risk if 20.8x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-2.36% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 15.9% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($55.69) or 200D SMA ($74.17) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($60.71) toward Bear Floor ($47.23).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $KNF• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “KNF Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”

YES 70%NO 30%Trade / Inspect Odds →

NEXT EST. WINDOW: Dec 30, 2026 (~58 DAYS)

Historical OHLCV Volatility ±8.7% Swing Band

±$5.01 Expected Swing

MODEL EARNINGS SETUP GAUGE

KNF Quantitative Pre-Earnings Setup: 70/100

Trailing EPS: $2.77 • YoY Revenue Growth: 8.5%

Model Bullish Setup (70/100)Model Risk Weight (30/100)

Derived deterministically from RQD cash-flow quality, SEC accrual safety, and institutional flow (not a community poll).

LOG YOUR PERSONAL PRE-EARNINGS STANCE (SAVED LOCALLY IN BROWSER):

Recent SEC Reported Revenue, Net Profit & Diluted EPS Cadence

Period	Filed	Revenue	Net Profit	Free Cash Flow	Gross Margin
FY 2025	2025-12-31	$3.15B	$157.1M	$278.5M	18.4%
FY 2024	2024-12-31	$2.90B	$201.7M	$322.3M	19.7%
FY 2023	2023-12-31	$2.83B	$182.9M	$335.7M	18.4%

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher + Options & Swing Structure Desk

Whale Flow & Momentum Playbook: Evaluating KNF & AI Leaders Without Chasing Tops

✓Institutional whale strikes & implied earnings move audit on KNF
✓How disciplined traders manage risk using pre-published trigger & invalidation levels
✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on tracked leaders

RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED

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Join Founding VIP Waitlist (No Card Required) →$100K Arena

KNF // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -37.76%⚡ TESTING RESISTANCE

2026-10-30O $56.99H $59.00L $56.78C $57.60VOL 497.0K

RES: $59.60SUP: $45.25SMA50: $55.69SMA200: $74.17

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

KNF Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 KNF Butterfly Map → + Track KNF →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)

14.4%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +8.5% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on KNF today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for KNF. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for KNF today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (KNF)

Materials Rank #14 of 270 ⚔️ USLM vs KNF Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Materials Peer Comparison (KNF vs. USLM, TTAM, MDU, LEU)

Industry: Mining & Quarrying of Nonmetallic Minerals (No Fuels) (24 Tracked Issuers)

Across 270 tracked Materials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Knife Riv Holding Co. (KNF) ranks #14 by composite RQD confidence (70/100, grade B-) and #90 by equity capitalization ($3.27B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, KNF leads on earnings valuation at 20.8x trailing P/E, while USLM leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 48.0% ROIC and 48.9% gross margin. USLM currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 73/100 (B) compared with KNF at 70/100 (B-).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
KNF ACTIVE Knife Riv Holding Co.	B-	70/100	20.8x	18.4%	8.3%	+6.18%	$3.27B	Benchmark Subject
USLM United States Lime & Minerals Inc.	B	73/100	24.3x	48.9%	48.0%	+4.20%	$3.27B	/uslm-vs-knf →
TTAM Titan America SA	C	62/100	—	—	—	+3.93%	$2.59B	/ttam-vs-knf →
MDU MDU Resources Group Inc. (Holding Company)	C-	61/100	21.8x	—	4.3%	+1.13%	$4.15B	/mdu-vs-knf →
LEU Centrus Energy Corp. (Class A)	C-	59/100	28.0x	26.2%	36.4%	-1.27%	$2.18B	/leu-vs-knf →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001955520

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Knife Riv Holding Co. (KNF) reported GAAP revenue of $3.15B (+8.5% vs. FY2024 revenue of $2.90B , and +11.2% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $157.1M, operating cash flow of $278.5M, and free cash flow of $278.5M (-13.6% YoY). On the balance sheet, KNF closed FY2025 with $3.65B in total assets against $1.15B in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 2.68, Piotroski F-Score: 7/9).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2025-12-31	$3.15B	$157.1M	$278.5M	$278.5M	$3.65B	$1.15B
FY2024 (FY)	2024-12-31	$2.90B	$201.7M	$322.3M	$322.3M	$2.85B	$666.9M
FY2023 (FY)	2023-12-31	$2.83B	$182.9M	$335.7M	$335.7M	—	—

3. KNF Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is KNF stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

How does KNF compare to USLM and TTAM in the Materials sector?

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for KNF?

Where is KNF trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

KNF last traded at $57.60 (+6.18% on volume of 575,529 shares), positioning the stock +3.43% above its 50-day simple moving average ($55.69) and -22.34% below its 200-day simple moving average ($74.17). Across its 52-week range of $47.79 to $96.28, KNF sits at the 20.2% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 61.4 (BULLISH MOMENTUM) and an implied next-earnings move of ±8.7% ($52.59 to $62.61).

KNF Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

When is KNF's next earnings date?

Based on SEC filing cadence, Knife Riv Holding Co. (KNF)'s next quarterly reporting window is estimated around Dec 30, 2026.

How much is KNF stock expected to move on earnings?

Volatility modeling currently projects a ±8.7% event move for KNF, spanning a range between $52.59 and $62.61.

Direct Sub-Reports: KNF RQD Cockpit KNF 12M Forecast KNF Earnings & Move KNF Dividends & DRIP KNF Insiders & 13F KNF Whale Options KNF Profit Sankey KNF News & Why