Stock Ratings / Consumer Discretionary / JACK / options

PLAY (30) RICK (54) RRGB (58) PTLO (43) ⌘ Pro Terminal →

Jack In The Box Inc. (JACK) Options Positioning, Max Pain & Unusual Sweeps

$13.03 +9.40% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $13.23

Jack In The Box Inc. (JACK) carries a Roarable Rating of D- (Sell) with 38/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (38/100 · D-) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows →

ROARABLE D- • RED ALERT Cap $249.9M

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

⚡ INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW • $0 FREE TIER Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on JACK Below — or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude

🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is JACK stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

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As of 2026-11-02, Jack In The Box Inc. (NASDAQ: JACK) is rated D- (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 38/100 at a spot price of $13.03 (+9.40% 1D, market cap $249.9M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 12/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 8/20, Executive Insider Alignment 7/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 6/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 5/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, JACK ranks #769 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does JACK compare to PLAY and RICK in the Consumer Discretionary sector?

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Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Restaurants), JACK carries a Roarable D- (38/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of -35.0%. By comparison, PLAY (Dave & Buster's Entertainment Inc.) holds a E grade (30/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC 4.3%, cap $283.2M) and RICK (RCI Hospitality Holdings Inc.) posts a D+ grade (54/100 RQD, P/E 20.0x, ROIC 5.6%, cap $216.6M). Among the 5-stock peer group, PTLO leads on earnings multiple (17.9x) while RRGB leads on capital efficiency (5.7% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for JACK?

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Per JACK's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-09-28, CIK 0000807882), Jack In The Box Inc. generated $1.47B in revenue (-6.7% YoY), -$80.7M in net income, and $74.1M in free cash flow against $2.02B in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $13.23 (+1.50%)🧬 Disciplined Float (+0.72% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 12/20 (C-) • 5.1% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (38/100 · D-) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-7.8% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERRED ALERT • D-

2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D- · Rk E

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE-9% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for JACK)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±12.5%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (38/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY JACK SCORES 38/100 (D-) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+12/20 pts (32% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 5.1% FCF Margin ($74.1M FCF) & 52% Gross Margin

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Whale & Options Positioning+8/20 pts (21% of score)

20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (±12.5% realized swing band)

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution5/20 pts (-15 pt drag)

Disciplined Float (+0.72% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 15 pts from alignment

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade E$12.18-0.9% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade E$12.07-7% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade E$11.23+16% Next Q

Current

Grade D-$13.03-7.8% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: E (30) → D- (38)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a JACK Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While JACK currently carries a cautious 38/100 (D-) rating due to Insider Conviction & Share Dilution (5/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($13.53) and Max Pain ($13.68) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $25.05.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Disciplined Float (+0.72% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $JACK• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “JACK Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 27, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”

YES 38%NO 62%Trade / Inspect Odds →

CALL VS. PUT WHALE SHARE

— (No Active Options Snapshot)

Put/Call Ratio: — (No Active Options Snapshot)

MAX-PAIN EXPIRATION MAGNET

— (No Active Options Snapshot)

No active options chain max-pain snapshot on file

HISTORICAL 20D VOLATILITY SWING

±12.5%

Derived from 20D OHLCV bars (No Active Options Snapshot)

Active Strike Call vs. Put Concentration Ladder (JACK)

— (No Active Options Snapshot) — No unusual CBOE strike concentration anomalies recorded in the current database snapshot for JACK.

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ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring JACK)

✓Walkthrough of JACK's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks

RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED

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JACK // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +8.13%📐 HORIZONTAL RANGE

2026-11-02O $11.91H $13.03L $11.91C $13.03VOL 729.2K

RES: $22.72SUP: $10.55SMA50: $13.53SMA200: $14.54

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

JACK Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 JACK Butterfly Map → + Track JACK →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)

8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. -6.7% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on JACK today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for JACK. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for JACK today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (JACK)

Consumer Discretionary Rank #769 of 1011 ⚔️ PLAY vs JACK Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Consumer Discretionary Peer Comparison (JACK vs. PLAY, RICK, RRGB, PTLO)

Industry: Restaurants (51 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Jack In The Box Inc. (JACK) ranks #769 by composite RQD confidence (38/100, grade D-) and #668 by equity capitalization ($249.9M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, PTLO leads on earnings valuation at 17.9x trailing P/E, while RRGB leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 5.7% ROIC and — gross margin. RRGB currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 58/100 (D+) compared with JACK at 38/100 (D-).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
JACK ACTIVE Jack In The Box Inc.	D-	38/100	—	—	-35.0%	+9.40%	$249.9M	Benchmark Subject
PLAY Dave & Buster's Entertainment Inc.	E	30/100	—	85.7%	4.3%	+5.45%	$283.2M	/play-vs-jack →
RICK RCI Hospitality Holdings Inc.	D+	54/100	20.0x	—	5.6%	+0.46%	$216.6M	/rick-vs-jack →
RRGB Red Robin Gourmet Burgers Inc.	D+	58/100	—	—	5.7%	+3.78%	$176.4M	/rrgb-vs-jack →
PTLO Portillo's Inc. (Class A)	D-	43/100	17.9x	—	4.9%	+10.96%	$376.7M	/ptlo-vs-jack →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-09-28 • CIK 0000807882

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-09-28), Jack In The Box Inc. (JACK) reported GAAP revenue of $1.47B (-6.7% vs. FY2024 revenue of $1.57B , and -13.4% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$80.7M, operating cash flow of $162.4M, and free cash flow of $74.1M (+431.5% YoY). On the balance sheet, JACK closed FY2025 with $2.02B in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 3/9).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2025-09-28	$1.47B	-$80.7M	$162.4M	$74.1M	$2.02B	—
FY2024 (FY)	2024-09-29	$1.57B	-$36.7M	$68.8M	-$22.4M	$2.77B	—
FY2023 (FY)	2023-10-01	$1.69B	$130.8M	$215.0M	$215.0M	—	—

3. JACK Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is JACK stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

How does JACK compare to PLAY and RICK in the Consumer Discretionary sector?

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for JACK?

Where is JACK trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

JACK last traded at $13.03 (+9.40% on volume of 729,209 shares), positioning the stock -3.70% below its 50-day simple moving average ($13.53) and -10.39% below its 200-day simple moving average ($14.54). Across its 52-week range of $8.92 to $23.86, JACK sits at the 27.5% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 55.2 (BULLISH MOMENTUM) and an implied next-earnings move of ±12.5% ($11.40 to $14.66).

JACK Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

What is JACK's options positioning and volatility profile?

Roarable tracks verified CBOE unusual options sweeps, put/call ratios, and OHLCV realized volatility bands for JACK.

Direct Sub-Reports: JACK RQD Cockpit JACK 12M Forecast JACK Earnings & Move JACK Dividends & DRIP JACK Insiders & 13F JACK Whale Options JACK Profit Sankey JACK News & Why