Jack In The Box Inc. (JACK) carries a Roarable Rating of D (Sell) with 46/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.
Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer
SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 5.1% FCF Margin ($74.1M FCF) & 52% Gross Margin
20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (±12.1% realized swing band)
Disciplined Float (+0.72% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 15 pts from alignment
While JACK currently carries a cautious 46/100 (D) rating due to Insider Conviction & Share Dilution (5/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.
Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity.
Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($13.61) and Max Pain ($13.68) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $25.05.
Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Disciplined Float (+0.72% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.
Jack In The Box Inc. (JACK) surged +9.40% to $13.03, trading at 28% of its 52-week range ($8.92 – $23.86). Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (-35% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.
Value stocks typically trade at discounts to the broader market, offering patient investors the opportunity to buy businesses when they’re out of favor. The key risk, however, is that these stocks are usually cheap for a
SAN DIEGO, October 27, 2026--With the countdown to Marvel Studios' "Avengers: Doomsday" officially underway, Jack in the Box (NASDAQ: JACK) is issuing a call to assemble… at the drive-thru. The limited-time collaboration
Jack in the Box faces weak sales, traffic declines, closures, and high leverage despite turnaround efforts.
SAN DIEGO, October 26, 2026--Jack in the Box Inc. (NASDAQ: JACK) today announced that it will report fourth quarter and full-year fiscal 2026 financial results after market close on Wednesday, December 9, 2026.
Jack in the Box shares suddenly caught attention when a short squeeze and a US$500 million debt refinancing sent the price sharply higher over a few sessions. Holding Jack in the Box from the start of the year would have
A number of stocks fell in the afternoon session after reports pointed to persistent traffic headwinds, sluggish sales growth, and mounting executive pessimism ahead of quarterly earnings. According to Morningstar, quick
Since April 2026, Jack in the Box has been in a holding pattern, posting a small loss of 4.4% while floating around $12.15. The stock also fell short of the S&P 500’s 8.9% gain during that period.
The latest shutdown adds to dozens of restaurant closures as the burger chain continues to reduce its nationwide footprint.
Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).
vs. -6.7% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).
No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on JACK today. View full Setup Ledger →
No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for JACK. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.
Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Jack In The Box Inc. (JACK) ranks #732 by composite RQD confidence (46/100, grade D) and #668 by equity capitalization ($249.9M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, PTLO leads on earnings valuation at 17.9x trailing P/E, while RRGB leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 5.7% ROIC and — gross margin. RRGB currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 57/100 (D+) compared with JACK at 46/100 (D).
| Ticker / Company | Roarable Grade | RQD Score | Trailing P/E | Gross Margin | ROIC | 1D Change | Market Cap | Head-to-Head |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| JACK
ACTIVE
Jack In The Box Inc. | D | 46/100 | — | — | -35.0% | +9.40% | $249.9M | Benchmark Subject |
| PLAY Dave & Buster's Entertainment Inc. | D- | 42/100 | — | 85.7% | 4.3% | +5.45% | $283.2M | /play-vs-jack → |
| RICK RCI Hospitality Holdings Inc. | D+ | 55/100 | 20.0x | — | 5.6% | +0.46% | $216.6M | /rick-vs-jack → |
| RRGB Red Robin Gourmet Burgers Inc. | D+ | 57/100 | — | — | 5.7% | +3.78% | $176.4M | /rrgb-vs-jack → |
| PTLO Portillo's Inc. (Class A) | D | 46/100 | 17.9x | — | 4.9% | +10.96% | $376.7M | /ptlo-vs-jack → |
In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-09-28), Jack In The Box Inc. (JACK) reported GAAP revenue of $1.47B (-6.7% vs. FY2024 revenue of $1.57B , and -13.4% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$80.7M, operating cash flow of $162.4M, and free cash flow of $74.1M (+431.5% YoY). On the balance sheet, JACK closed FY2025 with $2.02B in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 3/9).
| Fiscal Period | Filing Date | Revenue | Net Income | Operating Cash Flow | Free Cash Flow | Total Assets | Total Debt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2025 (FY) | 2025-09-28 | $1.47B | -$80.7M | $162.4M | $74.1M | $2.02B | — |
| FY2024 (FY) | 2024-09-29 | $1.57B | -$36.7M | $68.8M | -$22.4M | $2.77B | — |
| FY2023 (FY) | 2023-10-01 | $1.69B | $130.8M | $215.0M | $215.0M | — | — |
As of 2026-11-01, Jack In The Box Inc. (NASDAQ: JACK) is rated D (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 46/100 at a spot price of $13.03 (+9.40% 1D, market cap $249.9M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 12/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 11/20, Executive Insider Alignment 7/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 11/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 5/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, JACK ranks #732 in composite RQD confidence.
Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Restaurants), JACK carries a Roarable D (46/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of -35.0%. By comparison, PLAY (Dave & Buster's Entertainment Inc.) holds a D- grade (42/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC 4.3%, cap $283.2M) and RICK (RCI Hospitality Holdings Inc.) posts a D+ grade (55/100 RQD, P/E 20.0x, ROIC 5.6%, cap $216.6M). Among the 5-stock peer group, PTLO leads on earnings multiple (17.9x) while RRGB leads on capital efficiency (5.7% ROIC).
Per JACK's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-09-28, CIK 0000807882), Jack In The Box Inc. generated $1.47B in revenue (-6.7% YoY), -$80.7M in net income, and $74.1M in free cash flow against $2.02B in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
JACK last traded at $13.03 (+9.40% on volume of 729,209 shares), positioning the stock -4.26% below its 50-day simple moving average ($13.61) and -10.69% below its 200-day simple moving average ($14.59). Across its 52-week range of $8.92 to $23.86, JACK sits at the 27.5% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 55.1 (BULLISH MOMENTUM) and an implied next-earnings move of ±12.1% ($11.45 to $14.61).
Why JACK Stock surged +9.40% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash. Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (-35% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.
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