Stock Ratings / Consumer Discretionary / PLAY

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Dave & Buster's Entertainment Inc. (PLAY) — RQD Stock Rating Cockpit

$8.13 +5.45% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $8.19

Dave & Buster's Entertainment Inc. (PLAY) carries a Roarable Rating of D- (Sell) with 42/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (42/100 · D-) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows →

ROARABLE D- • SELL / AVOID Cap $283.2M

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $8.19 (+0.79%)🧬 Disciplined Float (+0.72% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 11/20 (D+) • 0% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (42/100 · D-) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-7.0% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D-

2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D · Rk E

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE-7.3% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for PLAY)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±12.5%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (42/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY PLAY SCORES 42/100 (D-) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Whale & Options Positioning+14/20 pts (33% of score)

20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (±12.5% realized swing band)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+11/20 pts (26% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 0% FCF Margin ($0 FCF) & 85.7% Gross Margin

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk4/20 pts (-16 pt drag)

Balance-sheet & 10-K footnote risk deducts 16 pts from forensic ceiling

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade E$6.90+10.1% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade E$7.60-8.4% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade E$6.96+16.8% Next Q

Current

Grade D-$8.13-7% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: E (34) → D- (42)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a PLAY Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While PLAY currently carries a cautious 42/100 (D-) rating due to SEC 10-K Forensic Risk (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($7.71) and Max Pain ($8.54) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $23.21.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Disciplined Float (+0.72% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $PLAY• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “PLAY Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Feb 2, 2027) & Holds Above 200D SMA”

YES 42%NO 58%Trade / Inspect Odds →

RSI-14 MOMENTUMNEUTRAL RANGE

54.530 Oversold · 70 Hot

ALTMAN-Z SHIELDFORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)

3.80>3.0 Fortress Safe

PIOTROSKI F-SCOREWEAK QUALITY (1–4)

3 / 99-Pt Accounting

52-WEEK LASER RANGE12% OF RANGE

L: $6$8.13H: $22

1. Money & Cash Health● MIXED

Are profits real cash in the bank?

Decent core business (86% profit margin), though cash flow growth is moderate rather than explosive right now.

Factor Grade: D+RQD 11 / 20

2. Big Money & Insiders● TRIMMING

Are whales & executives buying or selling?

Insiders and big institutional desks have been trimming shares rather than stepping up to buy.

Factor Grade: DRQD 19 / 40

3. Hidden Risks & Market Weather● WARNING

SEC fine-print scan & interest-rate fit

High sensitivity to tight interest rates or new risk warnings added to recent SEC annual filings.

Factor Grade: ERQD 12 / 40

MULTI-MODEL JEV QUANT JURY DELIBERATION

2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning on PLAY

Cash & Moat Bull AI

ROIC & Free Cash Flow Model

NEUTRAL (55)

4.3% ROIC with 85.7% gross margin and 2.80% FCF yield.

SEC Forensic Auditor AI

10-K Accruals & Altman-Z Guard

BEARISH (18)

Altman-Z 4.20 and Piotroski 3/9 pass balance-sheet audit.

Whale & Macro Hawk AI

Options Skew, 13F & Fed NetLiq

BEARISH (47)

19/40 institutional & smart-money positioning score with 9/20 macro alignment.

Bull Case: Why Buyers Like PLAY

✓Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity.

Bear Case: What Could Go Wrong

!Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.
!Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.
!Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins.

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring PLAY)

✓Walkthrough of PLAY's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks

RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED

Want Custom AI PineScript / Python Indicators & Priority Rating-Change Alerts?

Join Founding VIP Waitlist (No Card Required) →$100K Arena

PLAY // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -27.86%▼ DESCENDING CHANNEL

2026-10-30O $8.03H $8.30L $7.75C $8.13VOL 1.37M

RES: $9.04SUP: $4.47SMA50: $7.71SMA200: $11.58

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

PLAY Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 PLAY Butterfly Map → + Track PLAY →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)

-12.7%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. -1.4% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on PLAY today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for PLAY. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for PLAY today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (PLAY)

Consumer Discretionary Rank #790 of 1011 ⚔️ JACK vs PLAY Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Consumer Discretionary Peer Comparison (PLAY vs. JACK, RICK, PTLO, KRUS)

Industry: Restaurants (51 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Dave & Buster's Entertainment Inc. (PLAY) ranks #790 by composite RQD confidence (42/100, grade D-) and #655 by equity capitalization ($283.2M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, PTLO leads on earnings valuation at 17.9x trailing P/E, while RICK leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 5.6% ROIC and — gross margin. RICK currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 55/100 (D+) compared with PLAY at 42/100 (D-).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
PLAY ACTIVE Dave & Buster's Entertainment Inc.	D-	42/100	—	85.7%	4.3%	+5.45%	$283.2M	Benchmark Subject
JACK Jack In The Box Inc.	D	46/100	—	—	-35.0%	+9.40%	$249.9M	/jack-vs-play →
RICK RCI Hospitality Holdings Inc.	D+	55/100	20.0x	—	5.6%	+0.46%	$216.6M	/rick-vs-play →
PTLO Portillo's Inc. (Class A)	D	46/100	17.9x	—	4.9%	+10.96%	$376.7M	/ptlo-vs-play →
KRUS Kura Sushi USA Inc. (Class A)	D-	36/100	—	—	-1.9%	+6.59%	$424.4M	/krus-vs-play →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2026-02-03 • CIK 0001525769

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2026-02-03), Dave & Buster's Entertainment Inc. (PLAY) reported GAAP revenue of $2.10B (-1.4% vs. FY2024 revenue of $2.13B , and -4.6% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$48.7M, operating cash flow of $290.8M, and free cash flow of -$100.6M (+53.8% YoY). On the balance sheet, PLAY closed FY2025 with $4.12B in total assets against $1.51B in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 3/9).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2026-02-03	$2.10B	-$48.7M	$290.8M	-$100.6M	$4.12B	$1.51B
FY2024 (FY)	2025-02-04	$2.13B	$58.3M	$312.3M	-$217.9M	$4.02B	$1.48B
FY2023 (FY)	2024-02-04	$2.21B	$126.9M	$364.2M	$364.2M	—	—

3. PLAY Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is PLAY stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-01, Dave & Buster's Entertainment Inc. (NASDAQ: PLAY) is rated D- (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 42/100 at a spot price of $8.13 (+5.45% 1D, market cap $283.2M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 11/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 14/20, Executive Insider Alignment 3/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 9/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 5/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, PLAY ranks #790 in composite RQD confidence.

How does PLAY compare to JACK and RICK in the Consumer Discretionary sector?

Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Restaurants), PLAY carries a Roarable D- (42/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 85.7%, and ROIC of 4.3%. By comparison, JACK (Jack In The Box Inc.) holds a D grade (46/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $249.9M) and RICK (RCI Hospitality Holdings Inc.) posts a D+ grade (55/100 RQD, P/E 20.0x, ROIC 5.6%, cap $216.6M). Among the 5-stock peer group, PTLO leads on earnings multiple (17.9x) while RICK leads on capital efficiency (5.6% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for PLAY?

Per PLAY's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2026-02-03, CIK 0001525769), Dave & Buster's Entertainment Inc. generated $2.10B in revenue (-1.4% YoY), -$48.7M in net income, and -$100.6M in free cash flow against $4.12B in total assets and $1.51B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is PLAY trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

PLAY last traded at $8.13 (+5.45% on volume of 1,408,841 shares), positioning the stock +5.45% above its 50-day simple moving average ($7.71) and -29.79% below its 200-day simple moving average ($11.58). Across its 52-week range of $6.26 to $22.10, PLAY sits at the 11.8% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 54.5 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±12.5% ($7.11 to $9.15).

PLAY Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

Should I buy, hold, or sell PLAY stock right now?

Dave & Buster's Entertainment Inc. (PLAY) currently earns a Roarable Rating of D- (Sell — SELL) with 42/100 RQD Confidence. Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (4% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.

What is PLAY's 12-month price target and RQD AI Jury consensus?

PLAY's 12-month base price target is $7.54 (range $5.88 to $23.21), backed by transparent SEC XBRL cash-flow, Form 4 insider, and CBOE options flow analysis.

Direct Sub-Reports: PLAY RQD Cockpit PLAY 12M Forecast PLAY Earnings & Move PLAY Dividends & DRIP PLAY Insiders & 13F PLAY Whale Options PLAY Profit Sankey PLAY News & Why