Stock Ratings / Consumer Discretionary / JACK / dividends

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Jack In The Box Inc. (JACK) Dividend Safety Gauge & 10-Year DRIP Compounder

$13.03 +9.40% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $13.23

Jack In The Box Inc. (JACK) carries a Roarable Rating of D (Sell) with 46/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (46/100 · D) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows →

ROARABLE D • SELL / AVOID Cap $249.9M

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $13.23 (+1.50%)🧬 Disciplined Float (+0.72% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 12/20 (C-) • 5.1% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (46/100 · D) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-6.1% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D

2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D · Rk D

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE-5.4% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for JACK)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±12.1%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (46/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY JACK SCORES 46/100 (D) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+12/20 pts (26% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 5.1% FCF Margin ($74.1M FCF) & 52% Gross Margin

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Whale & Options Positioning+11/20 pts (24% of score)

20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (±12.1% realized swing band)

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution5/20 pts (-15 pt drag)

Disciplined Float (+0.72% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 15 pts from alignment

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade E$12.70-4% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade D$12.19-9.5% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade D$11.03+18.1% Next Q

Current

Grade D$13.03-6.1% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: E (38) → D (46)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a JACK Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While JACK currently carries a cautious 46/100 (D) rating due to Insider Conviction & Share Dilution (5/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($13.61) and Max Pain ($13.68) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $25.05.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Disciplined Float (+0.72% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $JACK• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “JACK Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 27, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”

YES 46%NO 54%Trade / Inspect Odds →

CASH DIVIDEND + BUYBACK YIELD

8.45% Total Yield

6.65% Cash ($0.87/yr) + 1.8% Buybacks

PAYOUT SAFETY SPEEDOMETER

41/100 • ELEVATED PAYOUT WATCH

FREE CASH FLOW PAYOUT RATIO

96% of FCF

8 consecutive years of payout growth

INTERACTIVE DRIP & SHAREHOLDER-YIELD COMPOUNDER (12% EST. ANNUAL)

$10,000 Compounded Over 10 Years → $31,058

Est. Year-10 Shareholder Yield: $2,624/yr

Starting Investment: $10,000

Compounding Horizon: 10 Years

$11.2K

Yr 1

$12.5K

Yr 2

$14.0K

Yr 3

$15.7K

Yr 4

$17.6K

Yr 5

$19.7K

Yr 6

$22.1K

Yr 7

$24.8K

Yr 8

$27.7K

Yr 9

$31.1K

Yr 10

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring JACK)

✓Walkthrough of JACK's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks

RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED

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Join Founding VIP Waitlist (No Card Required) →$100K Arena

JACK // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +3.41%▲ RESISTANCE BREAKOUT

2026-10-30O $13.11H $13.45L $12.87C $13.03VOL 496.1K

RES: $12.62SUP: $10.59SMA50: $13.61SMA200: $14.59

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

JACK Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 JACK Butterfly Map → + Track JACK →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)

8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. -6.7% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on JACK today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for JACK. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for JACK today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (JACK)

Consumer Discretionary Rank #732 of 1011 ⚔️ PLAY vs JACK Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Consumer Discretionary Peer Comparison (JACK vs. PLAY, RICK, RRGB, PTLO)

Industry: Restaurants (51 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Jack In The Box Inc. (JACK) ranks #732 by composite RQD confidence (46/100, grade D) and #668 by equity capitalization ($249.9M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, PTLO leads on earnings valuation at 17.9x trailing P/E, while RRGB leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 5.7% ROIC and — gross margin. RRGB currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 57/100 (D+) compared with JACK at 46/100 (D).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
JACK ACTIVE Jack In The Box Inc.	D	46/100	—	—	-35.0%	+9.40%	$249.9M	Benchmark Subject
PLAY Dave & Buster's Entertainment Inc.	D-	42/100	—	85.7%	4.3%	+5.45%	$283.2M	/play-vs-jack →
RICK RCI Hospitality Holdings Inc.	D+	55/100	20.0x	—	5.6%	+0.46%	$216.6M	/rick-vs-jack →
RRGB Red Robin Gourmet Burgers Inc.	D+	57/100	—	—	5.7%	+3.78%	$176.4M	/rrgb-vs-jack →
PTLO Portillo's Inc. (Class A)	D	46/100	17.9x	—	4.9%	+10.96%	$376.7M	/ptlo-vs-jack →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-09-28 • CIK 0000807882

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-09-28), Jack In The Box Inc. (JACK) reported GAAP revenue of $1.47B (-6.7% vs. FY2024 revenue of $1.57B , and -13.4% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$80.7M, operating cash flow of $162.4M, and free cash flow of $74.1M (+431.5% YoY). On the balance sheet, JACK closed FY2025 with $2.02B in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 3/9).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2025-09-28	$1.47B	-$80.7M	$162.4M	$74.1M	$2.02B	—
FY2024 (FY)	2024-09-29	$1.57B	-$36.7M	$68.8M	-$22.4M	$2.77B	—
FY2023 (FY)	2023-10-01	$1.69B	$130.8M	$215.0M	$215.0M	—	—

3. JACK Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is JACK stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-01, Jack In The Box Inc. (NASDAQ: JACK) is rated D (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 46/100 at a spot price of $13.03 (+9.40% 1D, market cap $249.9M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 12/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 11/20, Executive Insider Alignment 7/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 11/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 5/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, JACK ranks #732 in composite RQD confidence.

How does JACK compare to PLAY and RICK in the Consumer Discretionary sector?

Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Restaurants), JACK carries a Roarable D (46/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of -35.0%. By comparison, PLAY (Dave & Buster's Entertainment Inc.) holds a D- grade (42/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC 4.3%, cap $283.2M) and RICK (RCI Hospitality Holdings Inc.) posts a D+ grade (55/100 RQD, P/E 20.0x, ROIC 5.6%, cap $216.6M). Among the 5-stock peer group, PTLO leads on earnings multiple (17.9x) while RRGB leads on capital efficiency (5.7% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for JACK?

Per JACK's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-09-28, CIK 0000807882), Jack In The Box Inc. generated $1.47B in revenue (-6.7% YoY), -$80.7M in net income, and $74.1M in free cash flow against $2.02B in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is JACK trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

JACK last traded at $13.03 (+9.40% on volume of 729,209 shares), positioning the stock -4.26% below its 50-day simple moving average ($13.61) and -10.69% below its 200-day simple moving average ($14.59). Across its 52-week range of $8.92 to $23.86, JACK sits at the 27.5% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 55.1 (BULLISH MOMENTUM) and an implied next-earnings move of ±12.1% ($11.45 to $14.61).

JACK Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

Does JACK pay a dividend and is it safe?

Jack In The Box Inc. (JACK) offers a 6.65% cash dividend yield ($0.87 annualized) and 8.45% total shareholder yield including buybacks. Roarable rates its payout coverage as ELEVATED PAYOUT WATCH.

Direct Sub-Reports: JACK RQD Cockpit JACK 12M Forecast JACK Earnings & Move JACK Dividends & DRIP JACK Insiders & 13F JACK Whale Options JACK Profit Sankey JACK News & Why