MARKET WIRECNBC • 2h ago
Here are 3 big things we're watching in the stock market in the week aheadThe market could use a few victories in the days ahead, which will be filled with more earnings, an election, and jobs data.
Why ILPT Stock dropped -4.90% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
$6.98 -4.90% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot)
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $6.91
Industrial Logistics Properties Trust of (ILPT) carries a Roarable Rating of D+ (Sell) with 54/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.
ROARABLE D+ • SELL / AVOID
Cap $467.5M
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $6.91 (-1.07%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-1.24% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 11/20 (D+) • 1.5% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 54/100 (D+) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (-0.7% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 51.0% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).
Audit Bucket Track Record →RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D+
JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)
Cash
SEC
Whale
Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer
5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D · Rk C
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-1.9% Base Target
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for ILPT)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±7.9%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (54/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY ILPT SCORES 54/100 (D+) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+13/20 pts (24% of score)
Altman Z-Score 3.80 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 4/9
▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+12/20 pts (22% of score)
FRED Regime × Technicals: 45% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 39.7 (NEUTRAL RANGE)
▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning6/20 pts (-14 pt drag)
Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-14 pts vs max)
📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)Grade C+$7.14-4.5% Next Q
62
Q2 (-2Q)Grade C$6.82+3.4% Next Q
59
Q3 (-1Q)Grade C$7.05-1% Next Q
57
CurrentGrade D+$6.98-0.7% Hist 90D α
54
Trajectory: C+ (62) → D+ (54)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER
⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a ILPT Turnaround Squeeze
While ILPT currently carries a cautious 54/100 (D+) rating due to Whale & Options Positioning (6/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.
🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1
Established market leader in Financials with deep daily trading liquidity.
🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2
Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($7.51) and Max Pain ($7.33) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $9.90.
🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3
Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Cannibal Buyback (-1.24% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.
🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $ILPT• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “ILPT Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
AUTOMATED RQD QUANT DESK MOVER BRIEFINGFull Market News Desk →
Why ILPT Stock dropped -4.90% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
Industrial Logistics Properties Trust of (ILPT) dropped -4.90% to $6.98, trading at 45% of its 52-week range ($5.01 – $9.43). Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (-14% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.
- ▸Technical Tape: Trading at 45% of its 52-week range ($5.01 – $9.43) with RSI-14 at 39.7 (NEUTRAL RANGE).
- ▸Volatility Profile: Historical 20-day realized swing band of ±7.9% around $6.98 (no active unusual options sweep snapshot on file).
- ▸Fundamental Anchor: Roarable D+ (Sell) backed by 52% gross margin and $60.7M annual free cash flow.
Live ILPT Headlines & Catalysts
MARKET WIRECNBC • 3h ago
Democratic Rep. Stevens endorses Rogers over El-Sayed in Michigan Senate electionHaley Stevens had lost the Democratic nomination for Senate in Michigan to Abdul El-Sayed earlier this year.
RISK WATCHReuters • 4h ago
Israeli strikes kill eight people in Gaza - medics say - ReutersIsraeli strikes kill eight people in Gaza - medics say Reuters
MARKET WIREReuters • 5h ago
Russia's FSB says minor detained over park attack threat after US tip-off - ReutersRussia's FSB says minor detained over park attack threat after US tip-off Reuters
MARKET WIREReuters • 6h ago
Iran, Qatari mediators hold third day of talks to end US-Iran war - ReutersIran, Qatari mediators hold third day of talks to end US-Iran war Reuters
CATALYSTReuters • 7h ago
Qatar surges, bucking Gulf market slide on Iran war concerns - ReutersQatar surges, bucking Gulf market slide on Iran war concerns Reuters
MARKET WIREReuters • 7h ago
OPEC+ keeps December oil output targets steady ahead of tougher call for 2027 - ReutersOPEC+ keeps December oil output targets steady ahead of tougher call for 2027 Reuters
MARKET WIREReuters • 7h ago
German ministers pledge tough action after rioters damage stores in Frankfurt - ReutersGerman ministers pledge tough action after rioters damage stores in Frankfurt Reuters
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk
Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring ILPT)
- ✓Walkthrough of ILPT's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
- ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
- ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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ILPT // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -6.06%📐 HORIZONTAL RANGE
2026-10-30O $7.05H $7.05L $6.73C $6.98VOL 524.0K
RES: $9.18SUP: $6.28SMA50: $7.51SMA200: $7.38
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK
ILPT Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure
Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)
Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).
Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth
vs. +6.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).
Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)
No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on ILPT today. View full Setup Ledger →
🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections
Open Graph →
No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for ILPT. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.
AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for ILPT today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK
📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (ILPT)
Financials Rank #721 of 1096
⚔️ NXRT vs ILPT Full Matrix →
1. Head-to-Head Financials Peer Comparison (ILPT vs. NXRT, FBRT, FVR, TRTX)
Industry: Real Estate Investment Trusts (172 Tracked Issuers)Across 1096 tracked Financials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Industrial Logistics Properties Trust of (ILPT) ranks #721 by composite RQD confidence (54/100, grade D+) and #720 by equity capitalization ($467.5M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, FBRT leads on earnings valuation at 5.5x trailing P/E, while NXRT leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 7.8% ROIC and — gross margin. TRTX currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 64/100 (C) compared with ILPT at 54/100 (D+).
| Ticker / Company | Roarable Grade | RQD Score | Trailing P/E | Gross Margin | ROIC | 1D Change | Market Cap | Head-to-Head |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ILPT
ACTIVE
Industrial Logistics Properties Trust of | D+ | 54/100 | — | — | -13.5% | -4.90% | $467.5M | Benchmark Subject |
| NXRT NexPoint Residential Trust Inc. | D+ | 52/100 | — | — | 7.8% | +2.75% | $468.1M | /nxrt-vs-ilpt → |
| FBRT Franklin BSP Realty Trust Inc. | C | 63/100 | 5.5x | — | 5.8% | -2.84% | $466.1M | /fbrt-vs-ilpt → |
| FVR FrontView REIT Inc. | D | 49/100 | — | — | -1.2% | +4.27% | $453.4M | /fvr-vs-ilpt → |
| TRTX TPG RE Finance Trust Inc. | C | 64/100 | 8.1x | — | 5.6% | -1.08% | $486.8M | /trtx-vs-ilpt → |
2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)
SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001717307In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Industrial Logistics Properties Trust of (ILPT) reported GAAP revenue of $0 (N/A vs. FY2024 revenue of $0 ) , GAAP net income of -$66.2M, operating cash flow of $60.7M, and free cash flow of $60.7M (+2990.8% YoY). On the balance sheet, ILPT closed FY2025 with $5.19B in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 4/9).
| Fiscal Period | Filing Date | Revenue | Net Income | Operating Cash Flow | Free Cash Flow | Total Assets | Total Debt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2025 (FY) | 2025-12-31 | $0 | -$66.2M | $60.7M | $60.7M | $5.19B | — |
| FY2024 (FY) | 2024-12-31 | $0 | -$95.7M | $2.0M | $2.0M | $5.41B | — |
| FY2023 (FY) | 2023-12-31 | $0 | -$108.0M | $6.1M | $6.1M | — | — |
3. ILPT Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)
✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLEDIs ILPT stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
As of 2026-11-01, Industrial Logistics Properties Trust of (NASDAQ: ILPT) is rated D+ (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 54/100 at a spot price of $6.98 (-4.90% 1D, market cap $467.5M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 11/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 6/20, Executive Insider Alignment 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 12/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 12/20. Across 1096 tracked Financials issuers, ILPT ranks #721 in composite RQD confidence.
How does ILPT compare to NXRT and FBRT in the Financials sector?
Within the Financials sector (Real Estate Investment Trusts), ILPT carries a Roarable D+ (54/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of -13.5%. By comparison, NXRT (NexPoint Residential Trust Inc.) holds a D+ grade (52/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC 7.8%, cap $468.1M) and FBRT (Franklin BSP Realty Trust Inc.) posts a C grade (63/100 RQD, P/E 5.5x, ROIC 5.8%, cap $466.1M). Among the 5-stock peer group, FBRT leads on earnings multiple (5.5x) while NXRT leads on capital efficiency (7.8% ROIC).
What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for ILPT?
Per ILPT's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001717307), Industrial Logistics Properties Trust of generated $0 in revenue, -$66.2M in net income, and $60.7M in free cash flow against $5.19B in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Financials with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
Where is ILPT trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?
ILPT last traded at $6.98 (-4.90% on volume of 796,992 shares), positioning the stock -7.06% below its 50-day simple moving average ($7.51) and -5.42% below its 200-day simple moving average ($7.38). Across its 52-week range of $5.01 to $9.43, ILPT sits at the 44.6% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 39.7 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±7.9% ($6.43 to $7.53).
ILPT Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index
100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FREDWhy is ILPT stock moving today?
Why ILPT Stock dropped -4.90% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash. Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (-14% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.