Industrial Logistics Properties Trust of (ILPT) 12-Month Stock Forecast & Price Target Cone

$6.98 -4.90% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $6.91

Industrial Logistics Properties Trust of (ILPT) carries a Roarable Rating of D+ (Sell) with 54/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE D+ • SELL / AVOID Cap $467.5M
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $6.91 (-1.07%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-1.24% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 11/20 (D+) • 1.5% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 54/100 (D+) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (-0.7% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 51.0% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D+
025507510054
JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D · Rk C
Cash (11)Whales (6)SEC (13)Macro (12)CEO (12)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-1.9% Base Target
$10 Bull$7 Base$5 Bear
📬 FREE ILPT RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for ILPT)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±7.9%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (54/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY ILPT SCORES 54/100 (D+) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+13/20 pts (24% of score)

Altman Z-Score 3.80 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 4/9

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+12/20 pts (22% of score)

FRED Regime × Technicals: 45% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 39.7 (NEUTRAL RANGE)

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning6/20 pts (-14 pt drag)

Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-14 pts vs max)

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
62
Grade C+$7.14-4.5% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
59
Grade C$6.82+3.4% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
57
Grade C$7.05-1% Next Q
Current
54
Grade D+$6.98-0.7% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: C+ (62) → D+ (54)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a ILPT Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While ILPT currently carries a cautious 54/100 (D+) rating due to Whale & Options Positioning (6/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Financials with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($7.51) and Max Pain ($7.33) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $9.90.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Cannibal Buyback (-1.24% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $ILPT• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “ILPT Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
INTERACTIVE 12-MONTH POSITION SIMULATOR

Drag to Test Your ILPT Position Size: $10,000

Shares at $6.98: 1432.7 sh
$1,000$10,000$25,000$50,000$100,000
12M Bear Case FloorTarget $5.34
$7,650
$-2,350 (-23.5%)
12M Consensus BaseTarget $6.85
$9,814
$-186 (-1.9%)
12M Bull Case BreakoutTarget $9.90
$14,183
+$4,183 (+41.8%)

Wall Street Analyst Breakdown & Historical Accuracy Audit (32 Desks)

Street Historical Accuracy: 64/100
● Strong Buy / Buy: 17● Hold: 9● Sell: 6
Wall Street FirmStance12M Target1Y AccuracyTrack Grade
Morgan StanleyInstitutional Equity DeskHOLD$774%A
Goldman SachsSector Coverage LeadUNDERPERFORM$969%B
JP MorganUS Large-Cap ResearchSELL$658%C
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring ILPT)

  • ✓Walkthrough of ILPT's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
  • ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
Want Custom AI PineScript / Python Indicators & Priority Rating-Change Alerts?
ILPT // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -6.06%📐 HORIZONTAL RANGE
2026-10-30O $7.05H $7.05L $6.73C $6.98VOL 524.0K
RES: $9.18SUP: $6.28SMA50: $7.51SMA200: $7.38
$9.68$8.63$7.58$6.53$5.47RES $9.18SUP $6.28$6.982026-04-302026-06-152026-07-312026-09-162026-10-30
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

ILPT Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +6.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on ILPT today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for ILPT. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for ILPT today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (ILPT)

Financials Rank #721 of 1096 ⚔️ NXRT vs ILPT Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Financials Peer Comparison (ILPT vs. NXRT, FBRT, FVR, TRTX)

Industry: Real Estate Investment Trusts (172 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1096 tracked Financials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Industrial Logistics Properties Trust of (ILPT) ranks #721 by composite RQD confidence (54/100, grade D+) and #720 by equity capitalization ($467.5M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, FBRT leads on earnings valuation at 5.5x trailing P/E, while NXRT leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 7.8% ROIC and — gross margin. TRTX currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 64/100 (C) compared with ILPT at 54/100 (D+).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
ILPT ACTIVE
Industrial Logistics Properties Trust of
D+ 54/100 — — -13.5% -4.90% $467.5M Benchmark Subject
NXRT
NexPoint Residential Trust Inc.
D+ 52/100 — — 7.8% +2.75% $468.1M /nxrt-vs-ilpt →
FBRT
Franklin BSP Realty Trust Inc.
C 63/100 5.5x — 5.8% -2.84% $466.1M /fbrt-vs-ilpt →
FVR
FrontView REIT Inc.
D 49/100 — — -1.2% +4.27% $453.4M /fvr-vs-ilpt →
TRTX
TPG RE Finance Trust Inc.
C 64/100 8.1x — 5.6% -1.08% $486.8M /trtx-vs-ilpt →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001717307

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Industrial Logistics Properties Trust of (ILPT) reported GAAP revenue of $0 (N/A vs. FY2024 revenue of $0 ) , GAAP net income of -$66.2M, operating cash flow of $60.7M, and free cash flow of $60.7M (+2990.8% YoY). On the balance sheet, ILPT closed FY2025 with $5.19B in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 4/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $0 -$66.2M $60.7M $60.7M $5.19B —
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $0 -$95.7M $2.0M $2.0M $5.41B —
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $0 -$108.0M $6.1M $6.1M — —

3. ILPT Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is ILPT stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-01, Industrial Logistics Properties Trust of (NASDAQ: ILPT) is rated D+ (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 54/100 at a spot price of $6.98 (-4.90% 1D, market cap $467.5M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 11/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 6/20, Executive Insider Alignment 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 12/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 12/20. Across 1096 tracked Financials issuers, ILPT ranks #721 in composite RQD confidence.

How does ILPT compare to NXRT and FBRT in the Financials sector?

Within the Financials sector (Real Estate Investment Trusts), ILPT carries a Roarable D+ (54/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of -13.5%. By comparison, NXRT (NexPoint Residential Trust Inc.) holds a D+ grade (52/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC 7.8%, cap $468.1M) and FBRT (Franklin BSP Realty Trust Inc.) posts a C grade (63/100 RQD, P/E 5.5x, ROIC 5.8%, cap $466.1M). Among the 5-stock peer group, FBRT leads on earnings multiple (5.5x) while NXRT leads on capital efficiency (7.8% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for ILPT?

Per ILPT's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001717307), Industrial Logistics Properties Trust of generated $0 in revenue, -$66.2M in net income, and $60.7M in free cash flow against $5.19B in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Financials with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is ILPT trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

ILPT last traded at $6.98 (-4.90% on volume of 796,992 shares), positioning the stock -7.06% below its 50-day simple moving average ($7.51) and -5.42% below its 200-day simple moving average ($7.38). Across its 52-week range of $5.01 to $9.43, ILPT sits at the 44.6% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 39.7 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±7.9% ($6.43 to $7.53).

ILPT Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

What is ILPT's 12-month stock price target?

Industrial Logistics Properties Trust of (ILPT) carries a 12-month consensus base price target of $6.85 (-1.9% from $6.98), with a bull-case target of $9.9 and a bear-case floor of $5.34.

Is ILPT stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now?

Roarable's 5-Pillar RQD Quant Engine rates ILPT D+ (Sell — SELL) with an RQD Confidence score of 54/100.

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