Intchains Group Limited (ICG) carries a Roarable Rating of D- (Sell) with 40/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.
As of 2026-11-02, Intchains Group Limited (NASDAQ: ICG) is rated D- (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 40/100 at a spot price of $1.35 (-3.57% 1D, market cap $163.1M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 9/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 13/20, Executive Insider Alignment 8/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 7/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 3/20. Across 714 tracked Technology issuers, ICG ranks #497 in composite RQD confidence.
Within the Technology sector (Semiconductors), ICG carries a Roarable D- (40/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 7.2%, and ROIC of -11.0%. By comparison, GSIT (GSI Technology) holds a E grade (28/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $165.6M) and QUIK (QuickLogic Corporation) posts a E grade (24/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $169.3M). Among the 5-stock peer group, ICG leads on earnings multiple (N/A) while ICG leads on capital efficiency (-11.0% ROIC).
Per ICG's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001895597), Intchains Group Limited generated $31.6M in revenue (-18.2% YoY), -$6.8M in net income, and -$14.0M in free cash flow against $145.8M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Technology with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer
20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (±12.5% realized swing band)
SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 0% FCF Margin ($0 FCF) & 7.2% Gross Margin
Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 16 pts from alignment
While ICG currently carries a cautious 40/100 (D-) rating due to Insider Conviction & Share Dilution (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.
Established market leader in Technology with deep daily trading liquidity.
Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($1.08) and Max Pain ($1.42) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $2.39.
Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.
Intchains Group Limited (ICG) dropped -3.57% to $1.35, trading at 45% of its 52-week range ($0.6 – $2.28). Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (-11% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.
Gainers Amplitech Group, Inc. - Series B Right (NASDAQ:AMPGZ) shares moved upwards by 31.7% to $0.13 during Monday's pre-market session. 3 E Network (NASDAQ:MASK) shares moved upwards by 30.54% to $1.05. The
Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).
vs. -18.2% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).
No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on ICG today. View full Setup Ledger →
No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for ICG. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.
Across 714 tracked Technology securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Intchains Group Limited (ICG) ranks #497 by composite RQD confidence (40/100, grade D-) and #497 by equity capitalization ($163.1M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, ICG leads on earnings valuation at N/A trailing P/E, while ICG leads on capital efficiency and profitability with -11.0% ROIC and 7.2% gross margin. ICG currently leads its immediate peer cohort in composite quantitative strength at 40/100 (D-).
| Ticker / Company | Roarable Grade | RQD Score | Trailing P/E | Gross Margin | ROIC | 1D Change | Market Cap | Head-to-Head |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ICG
ACTIVE
Intchains Group Limited | D- | 40/100 | — | 7.2% | -11.0% | -3.57% | $163.1M | Benchmark Subject |
| GSIT GSI Technology | E | 28/100 | — | 54.5% | -35.0% | -4.22% | $165.6M | /gsit-vs-icg → |
| QUIK QuickLogic Corporation | E | 24/100 | — | 22.0% | -35.0% | -2.53% | $169.3M | /quik-vs-icg → |
| ALMU Aeluma Inc. | E | 30/100 | — | 59.6% | -21.8% | +2.16% | $155.3M | /almu-vs-icg → |
| VLN Valens Semiconductor Ltd. | E | 27/100 | — | 62.4% | -34.9% | -1.80% | $172.7M | /vln-vs-icg → |
In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Intchains Group Limited (ICG) reported GAAP revenue of $31.6M (-18.2% vs. FY2024 revenue of $38.6M , and +172.7% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$6.8M, operating cash flow of -$13.3M, and free cash flow of -$14.0M (+31.3% YoY). On the balance sheet, ICG closed FY2025 with $145.8M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 17.30, Piotroski F-Score: 1/9).
| Fiscal Period | Filing Date | Revenue | Net Income | Operating Cash Flow | Free Cash Flow | Total Assets | Total Debt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2025 (FY) | 2025-12-31 | $31.6M | -$6.8M | -$13.3M | -$14.0M | $145.8M | — |
| FY2024 (FY) | 2024-12-31 | $38.6M | $7.1M | -$18.9M | -$20.3M | $149.3M | — |
| FY2023 (FY) | 2023-12-31 | $11.6M | -$3.8M | -$665.0K | -$665.0K | — | — |
As of 2026-11-02, Intchains Group Limited (NASDAQ: ICG) is rated D- (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 40/100 at a spot price of $1.35 (-3.57% 1D, market cap $163.1M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 9/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 13/20, Executive Insider Alignment 8/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 7/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 3/20. Across 714 tracked Technology issuers, ICG ranks #497 in composite RQD confidence.
Within the Technology sector (Semiconductors), ICG carries a Roarable D- (40/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 7.2%, and ROIC of -11.0%. By comparison, GSIT (GSI Technology) holds a E grade (28/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $165.6M) and QUIK (QuickLogic Corporation) posts a E grade (24/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $169.3M). Among the 5-stock peer group, ICG leads on earnings multiple (N/A) while ICG leads on capital efficiency (-11.0% ROIC).
Per ICG's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001895597), Intchains Group Limited generated $31.6M in revenue (-18.2% YoY), -$6.8M in net income, and -$14.0M in free cash flow against $145.8M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Technology with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
ICG last traded at $1.35 (-3.57% on volume of 549,178 shares), positioning the stock +25.00% above its 50-day simple moving average ($1.08) and +17.39% above its 200-day simple moving average ($1.15). Across its 52-week range of $0.60 to $2.28, ICG sits at the 44.6% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 58.4 (BULLISH MOMENTUM) and an implied next-earnings move of ±12.5% ($1.18 to $1.52).
Why ICG Stock dropped -3.57% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash. Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (-11% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.
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