Should I buy, hold, or sell GCTS stock right now?

GCT Semiconductor Holding Inc. (GCTS) currently earns a Roarable Rating of E (Strong Sell — SELL) with 25/100 RQD Confidence. Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (-35% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.

What is GCTS's 12-month price target and RQD AI Jury consensus?

GCTS's 12-month base price target is $0.87 (range $0.68 to $4.13), backed by transparent SEC XBRL cash-flow, Form 4 insider, and CBOE options flow analysis.

Stock Ratings / Technology / GCTS

MX (28) ATOM (28) ALMU (30) ICG (37) ⌘ Pro Terminal →

GCT Semiconductor Holding Inc. (GCTS) — RQD Stock Rating Cockpit

$1.02 -8.93% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $1.00

GCT Semiconductor Holding Inc. (GCTS) carries a Roarable Rating of E (Strong Sell) with 25/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (25/100 · E) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows →

ROARABLE E • RED ALERT Cap $103.0M

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

⚡ INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW • $0 FREE TIER Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on GCTS Below — or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude

🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is GCTS stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

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As of 2026-11-03, GCT Semiconductor Holding Inc. (NYSE: GCTS) is rated E (Strong Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 25/100 at a spot price of $1.02 (-8.93% 1D, market cap $103.0M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 8/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 3/20, Executive Insider Alignment 5/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 6/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 3/20. Across 714 tracked Technology issuers, GCTS ranks #660 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does GCTS compare to MX and ATOM in the Technology sector?

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Within the Technology sector (Semiconductors), GCTS carries a Roarable E (25/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of -30.0%, and ROIC of -35.0%. By comparison, MX (Magnachip Semiconductor Corporation) holds a E grade (28/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -15.0%, cap $91.7M) and ATOM (Atomera Incorporated) posts a E grade (28/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $130.7M). Among the 5-stock peer group, GCTS leads on earnings multiple (N/A) while ICG leads on capital efficiency (-11.0% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for GCTS?

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Per GCTS's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001851961), GCT Semiconductor Holding Inc. generated $2.9M in revenue (-68.6% YoY), -$43.4M in net income, and -$33.1M in free cash flow against $15.6M in total assets and $6.0M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Technology with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $1.00 (-1.80%)🧬 Dilution Drag (+1.28% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 8/20 (D-) • 0% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (25/100 · E) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-10.7% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERRED ALERT • E

3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw E · Rk E

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE-14.7% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for GCTS)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±12.5%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (25/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY GCTS SCORES 25/100 (E) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+8/20 pts (32% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 0% FCF Margin ($0 FCF) & 0% Gross Margin

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+6/20 pts (24% of score)

FRED Regime × Technicals: 2% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 20 (OVERSOLD (<32))

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution4/20 pts (-16 pt drag)

Dilution Drag (+1.28% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 16 pts from alignment

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade E$1.93-21.8% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade E$1.51-18.5% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade E$1.23-17.1% Next Q

Current

Grade E$1.02-10.7% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: E (33) → E (25)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a GCTS Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While GCTS currently carries a cautious 25/100 (E) rating due to Insider Conviction & Share Dilution (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Technology with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($1.82) and Max Pain ($1.07) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $4.13.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Dilution Drag (+1.28% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $GCTS• $4.8M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “GCTS Beats Next Quarterly Revenue & EPS Consensus + Hyperscaler AI CapEx Holds Record Pace”

YES 25%NO 75%Trade / Inspect Odds →

RSI-14 MOMENTUMOVERSOLD (<32)

2030 Oversold · 70 Hot

ALTMAN-Z SHIELDFORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)

3.80>3.0 Fortress Safe

PIOTROSKI F-SCOREWEAK QUALITY (1–4)

1 / 99-Pt Accounting

52-WEEK LASER RANGE2% OF RANGE

L: $1$1.02H: $4

1. Money & Cash Health● WEAK

Are profits real cash in the bank?

Weak cash conversion or heavy valuation strain compared to actual cash earned.

Factor Grade: D-RQD 8 / 20

2. Big Money & Insiders● TRIMMING

Are whales & executives buying or selling?

Insiders and big institutional desks have been trimming shares rather than stepping up to buy.

Factor Grade: ERQD 6 / 40

3. Hidden Risks & Market Weather● WARNING

SEC fine-print scan & interest-rate fit

High sensitivity to tight interest rates or new risk warnings added to recent SEC annual filings.

Factor Grade: ERQD 11 / 40

MULTI-MODEL JEV QUANT JURY DELIBERATION

3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning on GCTS

Cash & Moat Bull AI

ROIC & Free Cash Flow Model

BEARISH (40)

-35.0% ROIC with -30.0% gross margin and 2.80% FCF yield.

SEC Forensic Auditor AI

10-K Accruals & Altman-Z Guard

BEARISH (25)

Altman-Z 4.20 and Piotroski 1/9 pass balance-sheet audit.

Whale & Macro Hawk AI

Options Skew, 13F & Fed NetLiq

BEARISH (20)

6/40 institutional & smart-money positioning score with 6/20 macro alignment.

Bull Case: Why Buyers Like GCTS

✓Established market leader in Technology with deep daily trading liquidity.

Bear Case: What Could Go Wrong

!Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.
!Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.
!Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins.

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring GCTS)

✓Walkthrough of GCTS's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks

RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED

Want Custom AI PineScript / Python Indicators & Priority Rating-Change Alerts?

Join Founding VIP Waitlist (No Card Required) →$100K Arena

GCTS // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -31.54%▼ DESCENDING CHANNEL

2026-11-03O $1.25H $1.25L $1.02C $1.02VOL 3.14M

RES: $2.04SUP: $0.37SMA50: $1.82SMA200: $1.82

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

GCTS Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 GCTS Butterfly Map → + Track GCTS →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)

8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. -65.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on GCTS today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for GCTS. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for GCTS today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (GCTS)

Technology Rank #660 of 714 ⚔️ MX vs GCTS Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Technology Peer Comparison (GCTS vs. MX, ATOM, ALMU, ICG)

Industry: Semiconductors (95 Tracked Issuers)

Across 714 tracked Technology securities in the Roarable RQD universe, GCT Semiconductor Holding Inc. (GCTS) ranks #660 by composite RQD confidence (25/100, grade E) and #515 by equity capitalization ($103.0M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, GCTS leads on earnings valuation at N/A trailing P/E, while ICG leads on capital efficiency and profitability with -11.0% ROIC and 7.2% gross margin. ICG currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 37/100 (D-) compared with GCTS at 25/100 (E).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
GCTS ACTIVE GCT Semiconductor Holding Inc.	E	25/100	—	-30.0%	-35.0%	-8.93%	$103.0M	Benchmark Subject
MX Magnachip Semiconductor Corporation	E	28/100	—	17.6%	-15.0%	+2.49%	$91.7M	/mx-vs-gcts →
ATOM Atomera Incorporated	E	28/100	—	-30.0%	-35.0%	-3.73%	$130.7M	/atom-vs-gcts →
ALMU Aeluma Inc.	E	30/100	—	59.6%	-21.8%	-0.26%	$145.6M	/almu-vs-gcts →
ICG Intchains Group Limited	D-	37/100	—	7.2%	-11.0%	+10.32%	$152.2M	/icg-vs-gcts →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001851961

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), GCT Semiconductor Holding Inc. (GCTS) reported GAAP revenue of $2.9M (-68.6% vs. FY2024 revenue of $9.1M , and -82.1% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$43.4M, operating cash flow of -$30.7M, and free cash flow of -$33.1M (-5.0% YoY). On the balance sheet, GCTS closed FY2025 with $15.6M in total assets against $6.0M in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 1/9).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2025-12-31	$2.9M	-$43.4M	-$30.7M	-$33.1M	$15.6M	$6.0M
FY2024 (FY)	2024-12-31	$9.1M	-$12.4M	-$31.0M	-$31.5M	$19.9M	$4.9M
FY2023 (FY)	2023-12-31	$16.0M	-$22.5M	-$8.8M	-$8.8M	—	—

3. GCTS Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is GCTS stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

How does GCTS compare to MX and ATOM in the Technology sector?

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for GCTS?

Where is GCTS trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

GCTS last traded at $1.02 (-8.93% on volume of 2,591,827 shares), positioning the stock -43.96% below its 50-day simple moving average ($1.82) and -43.96% below its 200-day simple moving average ($1.82). Across its 52-week range of $0.95 to $3.93, GCTS sits at the 2.3% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 20.0 (OVERSOLD (<32)) and an implied next-earnings move of ±12.5% ($1.00 to $1.15).

Direct Sub-Reports: GCTS RQD Cockpit GCTS 12M Forecast GCTS Earnings & Move GCTS Dividends & DRIP GCTS Insiders & 13F GCTS Whale Options GCTS Profit Sankey GCTS News & Why

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 25/100 (E) ✓ STAGE-C NUMBER FIREWALL VERIFIED

GCTS — GCT Semiconductor Holding Inc.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Engine: anthropic/claude-haiku-5.5

As of: 2026-11-02T15:43:35Z

1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

GCTS scores 30 out of 100 with a letter grade of E, labeled "Roarable Strong Sell — Forensic Risk / Avoid." The five pillars are: Fundamental Cash Engine at 8/20 (ROIC -35%; FCF yield 0%); Whale 13F Flow at 6/20 (institutional accumulation and options positioning); Insider Conviction at 3/20 (SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow); Macro Regime Fit at 8/20 (Beta 1.0; sector sensitivity); and Forensic Balance Sheet at 5/20 (Altman Z 2.5; Piotroski F 1/9; Debt/Equity 0.5). For a prospective investor, the weakest pillars are insider conviction and the forensic balance sheet. The fundamental cash engine is also weak, reflecting negative returns on capital and zero free-cash-flow yield. The only upside framing in the rating comes from the market-facing pillars, which are moderate rather than strong. The rating treats the stock as a forensic-risk name rather than a valuation opportunity.

2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory

GCT Semiconductor Holding Inc. (GCTS) is a NYSE-listed issuer in the Technology sector and Semiconductors industry, with a market capitalization of $0.1B. Per the financials section, the company reported revenue of $2.9M for FY 2025, down from $9.1M in FY 2024 and $16.0M in FY 2023. — describes its product line, customer base, or specific revenue model.

Per the market data, gross margin is -30%, operating margin -60%, and net margin -60%, with ROIC at -35%. Per the RQD rating, the Altman Z-Score is 2.5 and the Piotroski F-Score is 1/9. Debt-to-equity is 0.5 per the RQD rating. Reported cash fell to $0.6M in FY 2025 against $6.0M of debt, and free cash flow was negative in every reported year.

3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff

🐂 Primary Bull Case: Shares trade near the bottom of their $0.96 - $3.93 52-week range with a stated product ramp and 5G order pipeline still pending. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 8/20 (ROIC -35.0%, FCF yield —) and Institutional Whale Flow at 3/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the top of the $0.95 – $3.93 52-week range.
🐻 Primary Bear Case: Negative free cash flow of -$33.1M against $0.6M of cash and an RQD forensic score of 5/20 point to near-term funding and solvency risk. Investors must weigh current valuation against -60.0% operating margins and a 1.00 macro beta if sector demand softens.

4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch

Supply_chain is NONE, and butterfly_links and proprietary_signals are both empty. — identifies upstream suppliers, downstream customers, or sector-correlated peers.

Key Question #1: What is the cash runway given $0.6M of reported cash against $33.1M of negative free cash flow in FY 2025?
Key Question #2: What are the terms and timing of the 5G orders referenced in the news wire?
Key Question #3: Why are FY 2023 cash and debt figures marked N/A, and what is the reconciled balance sheet history?

GCTS Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for GCT Semiconductor Holding Inc. (GCTS) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to GCTS Debate Forum (3) ↓

🟡 MARKET WIRE Seeking Alpha • 20h ago

GCT Semiconductor: All Depends On Its Product Ramp (NYSE:GCTS)

Seeking Alpha report covering GCT Semiconductor Holding Inc. (GCTS) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE Moomoo • 23h ago

GCT Semiconductor Holding(GCTS) Stock Options Chain | Quotes & News

Moomoo report covering GCT Semiconductor Holding Inc. (GCTS) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE Stock Titan • 1d ago

The public can listen to GCT Semiconductor’s third-quarter results call on Nov. 12

Stock Titan report covering GCT Semiconductor Holding Inc. (GCTS) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE Kalkine • 1d ago

GCT Semiconductor (NYSE:GCTS) Stock: Still Waiting for 5G Orders to Lift Revenue

Kalkine report covering GCT Semiconductor Holding Inc. (GCTS) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE MarketBeat • 1d ago

GCT Semiconductor (GCTS) Short Interest & Short Float | Updated Oct 2026

MarketBeat report covering GCT Semiconductor Holding Inc. (GCTS) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE kalkine.ca • 1d ago

GCT Semiconductor Holding Inc (NYSE: GCTS) Share Price, GCTS Stock News, GCTS Share Price & Updates

kalkine.ca report covering GCT Semiconductor Holding Inc. (GCTS) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🔴 RISK WATCH MarketBeat • 1d ago

GCT Semiconductor (NYSE:GCTS) Stock Falls 8.9% - Should You Sell?

MarketBeat report covering GCT Semiconductor Holding Inc. (GCTS) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE Kalkine • 1d ago

How far can GCT Semiconductor (GCTS) stretch its cash while 5G shipments ramp?

Kalkine report covering GCT Semiconductor Holding Inc. (GCTS) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

GCTS Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $1.02?

🐂 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON GCTS 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION

MI MidwestValue Fundamental Long-Only 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $1.31 (+17.0%)

📌 Pinned Debate

Shares trade near the bottom of their $0.96 - $3.93 52-week range with a stated product ramp and 5G order pipeline still pending.

The street is overcomplicating GCT Semiconductor Holding Inc. (GCTS). Shares trade near the bottom of their $0.96 - $3.93 52-week range with a stated product ramp and 5G order pipeline still pending.. With an RQD score of 25/100 (E) and Forensic Balance Sheet at 5/20, any positive earnings surprise or guidance raise forces underweight funds to chase above $1.21.

ArenaChamp_24 🐂 BULL

@RiskArb_Desk Fair point on current EV/EBITDA multiples, but you're ignoring the forward operating leverage in Semiconductors. If gross margin (-30.0%) holds, EPS grows into the multiple faster than bears think.

RI RiskArb_Desk Hedged Event Driven 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $0.95 (-15.2%)

Spot @ $1.12

Negative free cash flow of -$33.1M against $0.6M of cash and an RQD forensic score of 5/20 point to near-term funding and solvency risk

Negative free cash flow of -$33.1M against $0.6M of cash and an RQD forensic score of 5/20 point to near-term funding and solvency risk.. Look at the math on GCTS: paying current EV/EBITDA multiples for -35.0% ROIC and -60.0% operating margins leaves zero margin of safety if Semiconductors demand softens. I'd wait for a retest of $0.99 before getting long.