Seeking Alpha report covering GCT Semiconductor Holding Inc. (GCTS) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Why GCTS Stock dropped -10.40% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
GCT Semiconductor Holding Inc. (GCTS) carries a Roarable Rating of E (Strong Sell) with 30/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.
🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief)
Is GCTS stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-02, GCT Semiconductor Holding Inc. (NYSE: GCTS) is rated E (Strong Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 30/100 at a spot price of $1.12 (-10.40% 1D, market cap $115.0M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 8/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 6/20, Executive Insider Alignment 5/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 8/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 3/20. Across 714 tracked Technology issuers, GCTS ranks #610 in composite RQD confidence.
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief)
How does GCTS compare to ATOM and MX in the Technology sector?
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Within the Technology sector (Semiconductors), GCTS carries a Roarable E (30/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of -30.0%, and ROIC of -35.0%. By comparison, ATOM (Atomera Incorporated) holds a E grade (28/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $129.2M) and MX (Magnachip Semiconductor Corporation) posts a E grade (28/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -15.0%, cap $100.0M). Among the 5-stock peer group, GCTS leads on earnings multiple (N/A) while ICG leads on capital efficiency (-11.0% ROIC).
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief)
What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for GCTS?
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Per GCTS's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001851961), GCT Semiconductor Holding Inc. generated $2.9M in revenue (-68.6% YoY), -$43.4M in net income, and -$33.1M in free cash flow against $15.6M in total assets and $6.0M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Technology with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer
SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 0% FCF Margin ($0 FCF) & 0% Gross Margin
FRED Regime × Technicals: 5% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 20 (OVERSOLD (<32))
Dilution Drag (+1.28% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 16 pts from alignment
⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a GCTS Turnaround Squeeze
While GCTS currently carries a cautious 30/100 (E) rating due to Insider Conviction & Share Dilution (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.
Established market leader in Technology with deep daily trading liquidity.
Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($1.84) and Max Pain ($1.18) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $4.13.
Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Dilution Drag (+1.28% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.
Why GCTS Stock dropped -10.40% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
GCT Semiconductor Holding Inc. (GCTS) dropped -10.40% to $1.12, trading at 5% of its 52-week range ($0.96 – $3.93). Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (-35% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.
- ▸Technical Tape: Trading at 5% of its 52-week range ($0.96 – $3.93) with RSI-14 at 20 (OVERSOLD (<32)).
- ▸Volatility Profile: Historical 20-day realized swing band of ±12.5% around $1.12 (no active unusual options sweep snapshot on file).
- ▸Fundamental Anchor: Roarable E (Strong Sell) backed by 0% gross margin and $0 annual free cash flow.
Moomoo report covering GCT Semiconductor Holding Inc. (GCTS) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
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Kalkine report covering GCT Semiconductor Holding Inc. (GCTS) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
MarketBeat report covering GCT Semiconductor Holding Inc. (GCTS) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
kalkine.ca report covering GCT Semiconductor Holding Inc. (GCTS) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
MarketBeat report covering GCT Semiconductor Holding Inc. (GCTS) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Kalkine report covering GCT Semiconductor Holding Inc. (GCTS) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
SAN JOSE, Calif., October 29, 2026--GCT Semiconductor Holding, Inc. ("GCT" or the "Company") (NYSE: GCTS), a leading designer and supplier of 5G semiconductors powering the AI data pipeline with wireless connectivity, to
Gainers Braiin (NASDAQ:BRAI) stock increased by 25.0% to $2.65 during Monday's after-market session. The company's market cap stands at $797.5 million. Biddance AI Systems (NASDAQ:BDAI) stock rose 15.02% to
Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring GCTS)
- ✓Walkthrough of GCTS's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
- ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
- ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
GCTS Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure
Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).
vs. -65.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).
No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on GCTS today. View full Setup Ledger →
No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for GCTS. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.
📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (GCTS)
1. Head-to-Head Technology Peer Comparison (GCTS vs. ATOM, MX, ALMU, ICG)
Industry: Semiconductors (95 Tracked Issuers)Across 714 tracked Technology securities in the Roarable RQD universe, GCT Semiconductor Holding Inc. (GCTS) ranks #610 by composite RQD confidence (30/100, grade E) and #512 by equity capitalization ($115.0M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, GCTS leads on earnings valuation at N/A trailing P/E, while ICG leads on capital efficiency and profitability with -11.0% ROIC and 7.2% gross margin. ICG currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 40/100 (D-) compared with GCTS at 30/100 (E).
| Ticker / Company | Roarable Grade | RQD Score | Trailing P/E | Gross Margin | ROIC | 1D Change | Market Cap | Head-to-Head |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| GCTS
ACTIVE
GCT Semiconductor Holding Inc. | E | 30/100 | — | -30.0% | -35.0% | -10.40% | $115.0M | Benchmark Subject |
| ATOM Atomera Incorporated | E | 28/100 | — | -30.0% | -35.0% | +1.21% | $129.2M | /atom-vs-gcts → |
| MX Magnachip Semiconductor Corporation | E | 28/100 | — | 17.6% | -15.0% | -8.36% | $100.0M | /mx-vs-gcts → |
| ALMU Aeluma Inc. | E | 30/100 | — | 59.6% | -21.8% | -6.22% | $155.3M | /almu-vs-gcts → |
| ICG Intchains Group Limited | D- | 40/100 | — | 7.2% | -11.0% | -6.67% | $163.1M | /icg-vs-gcts → |
2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)
SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001851961In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), GCT Semiconductor Holding Inc. (GCTS) reported GAAP revenue of $2.9M (-68.6% vs. FY2024 revenue of $9.1M , and -82.1% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$43.4M, operating cash flow of -$30.7M, and free cash flow of -$33.1M (-5.0% YoY). On the balance sheet, GCTS closed FY2025 with $15.6M in total assets against $6.0M in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 1/9).
| Fiscal Period | Filing Date | Revenue | Net Income | Operating Cash Flow | Free Cash Flow | Total Assets | Total Debt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2025 (FY) | 2025-12-31 | $2.9M | -$43.4M | -$30.7M | -$33.1M | $15.6M | $6.0M |
| FY2024 (FY) | 2024-12-31 | $9.1M | -$12.4M | -$31.0M | -$31.5M | $19.9M | $4.9M |
| FY2023 (FY) | 2023-12-31 | $16.0M | -$22.5M | -$8.8M | -$8.8M | — | — |
3. GCTS Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)
✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLEDIs GCTS stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
As of 2026-11-02, GCT Semiconductor Holding Inc. (NYSE: GCTS) is rated E (Strong Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 30/100 at a spot price of $1.12 (-10.40% 1D, market cap $115.0M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 8/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 6/20, Executive Insider Alignment 5/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 8/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 3/20. Across 714 tracked Technology issuers, GCTS ranks #610 in composite RQD confidence.
How does GCTS compare to ATOM and MX in the Technology sector?
Within the Technology sector (Semiconductors), GCTS carries a Roarable E (30/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of -30.0%, and ROIC of -35.0%. By comparison, ATOM (Atomera Incorporated) holds a E grade (28/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $129.2M) and MX (Magnachip Semiconductor Corporation) posts a E grade (28/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -15.0%, cap $100.0M). Among the 5-stock peer group, GCTS leads on earnings multiple (N/A) while ICG leads on capital efficiency (-11.0% ROIC).
What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for GCTS?
Per GCTS's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001851961), GCT Semiconductor Holding Inc. generated $2.9M in revenue (-68.6% YoY), -$43.4M in net income, and -$33.1M in free cash flow against $15.6M in total assets and $6.0M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Technology with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
Where is GCTS trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?
GCTS last traded at $1.12 (-10.40% on volume of 3,144,092 shares), positioning the stock -39.13% below its 50-day simple moving average ($1.84) and -38.46% below its 200-day simple moving average ($1.82). Across its 52-week range of $0.96 to $3.93, GCTS sits at the 5.4% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 20.0 (OVERSOLD (<32)) and an implied next-earnings move of ±12.5% ($1.00 to $1.26).
GCTS Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index
100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FREDWhy is GCTS stock moving today?
Why GCTS Stock dropped -10.40% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash. Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (-35% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.
GCTS — GCT Semiconductor Holding Inc.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor
Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor
Per the Roarable RQD rating, GCTS scores 30 out of 100 with a letter grade of E, labeled "Roarable Strong Sell — Forensic Risk / Avoid." The five pillars are: Fundamental Cash Engine at 8/20 (ROIC -35%; FCF yield 0%); Whale 13F Flow at 6/20 (institutional accumulation and options positioning); Insider Conviction at 3/20 (SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow); Macro Regime Fit at 8/20 (Beta 1.0; sector sensitivity); and Forensic Balance Sheet at 5/20 (Altman Z 2.5; Piotroski F 1/9; Debt/Equity 0.5). For a prospective investor, the weakest pillars are insider conviction and the forensic balance sheet. The fundamental cash engine is also weak, reflecting negative returns on capital and zero free-cash-flow yield. The only upside framing in the rating comes from the market-facing pillars, which are moderate rather than strong. The rating treats the stock as a forensic-risk name rather than a valuation opportunity.
Financial Trend
| Period | Revenue | Operating Income | Net Income | EPS | FCF | Cash | Debt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY 2025 | $2.9M | $-36.5M | $-43.4M | N/A | $-33.1M | $0.6M | $6.0M |
| FY 2024 | $9.1M | $-13.1M | $-12.4M | N/A | $-31.5M | $1.4M | $4.9M |
| FY 2023 | $16.0M | $-14.6M | $-22.5M | N/A | $-8.8M | N/A | N/A |
Per the market data, gross margin is -30%, operating margin -60%, and net margin -60%, with ROIC at -35%. Per the RQD rating, the Altman Z-Score is 2.5 and the Piotroski F-Score is 1/9. Debt-to-equity is 0.5 per the RQD rating. Reported cash fell to $0.6M in FY 2025 against $6.0M of debt, and free cash flow was negative in every reported year.
Recent Catalysts & News Wire Analysis
Per the recent news section, six items are listed for GCTS, all tagged with a YELLOW light and MARKET WIRE impact label. Headlines reference a product ramp, a third-quarter results call scheduled for Nov. 12, a 5G order dependency ("Still Waiting for 5G Orders to Lift Revenue"), and a short-interest update dated Oct 2026. Catalyst risk watch items are the timing of the product ramp, the pending third-quarter results, and 5G order conversion. Per the Butterfly Supply-Chain Graph, the supply_chain field is NONE, with no butterfly links and no proprietary signals recorded.
Open Questions
- What drove the decline in reported revenue from $16.0M in FY 2023 to $2.9M in FY 2025, and what is the status of the product ramp?
- What is the cash runway given $0.6M of reported cash against $33.1M of negative free cash flow in FY 2025?
- What are the terms and timing of the 5G orders referenced in the news wire?
- Why are FY 2023 cash and debt figures marked N/A, and what is the reconciled balance sheet history?
- What institutional and insider holdings exist, since the holders section is empty?
GCTS Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire
Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for GCT Semiconductor Holding Inc. (GCTS) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below
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GCTS Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $1.12?
🔥 Official Bull vs. Bear Debate: Is GCTS (E • RQD 30/100) a Buy at $1.12?
Welcome to the GCTS (GCT Semiconductor Holding Inc.) Roar Pit. Current RQD Composite is 30/100 (Roarable Strong Sell — Forensic Risk / Avoid) in Semiconductors. Bulls point to operating leverage and sector positioning, while bears focus on macro rate sensitivity and margin execution. Pick your side (🐂 Bull or 🐻 Bear) and drop your price target below.
Pump the brakes on GCTS — check the valuation vs. margin headwinds
Everyone in here is repeating the bull case on GCTS, but look at what you are paying: current EV/EBITDA multiples with -30.0% gross margins. Unless GCT Semiconductor Holding Inc. expands free cash flow yield next quarter, I would rather wait for a pullback closer to the 200-day moving average before touching this.
GCTS cash flow & RQD setup is being underpriced by the Street here
Looking at the 5-pillar RQD breakdown on GCTS, the market is fixating on short-term headline noise in Semiconductors and ignoring the balance sheet and cash flow trajectory. At $1.12 (52-wk range $0.96 - $3.93), any beat on forward guidance forces shorts and underweight funds to chase.