Hesai Group (Nasdaq: HSAI; HKEX: 2525) ("Hesai" or the "Company"), a Physical AI infrastructure company, today announced that Yole Group has ranked it the world's leading robotaxi lidar supplier in its Robotaxi 2026 repo
Why HSAI Stock dropped -6.22% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
Hesai Group (HSAI) carries a Roarable Rating of D- (Sell) with 40/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.
Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer
Altman Z-Score 4.21 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 7/9
FRED Regime × Technicals: 6% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 36.9 (NEUTRAL RANGE)
Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-16 pts vs max)
⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a HSAI Turnaround Squeeze
While HSAI currently carries a cautious 40/100 (D-) rating due to Whale & Options Positioning (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.
Established market leader in Industrials with deep daily trading liquidity.
Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($15.84) and Max Pain ($13.62) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $30.82.
Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Dilution Drag (+1.64% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.
Why HSAI Stock dropped -6.22% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
Hesai Group (HSAI) dropped -6.22% to $12.97, trading at 6% of its 52-week range ($12 – $29.35). Stretched risk/reward at 33x P/E (2% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.
- ▸Technical Tape: Trading at 6% of its 52-week range ($12 – $29.35) with RSI-14 at 36.9 (NEUTRAL RANGE).
- ▸Volatility Profile: Historical 20-day realized swing band of ±9% around $12.97 (no active unusual options sweep snapshot on file).
- ▸Fundamental Anchor: Roarable D- (Sell) backed by 41.8% gross margin and $0 annual free cash flow.
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- Earnings Call Scheduled for 7:00 AM ET on November 10, 2026 -SHANGHAI, China, Oct. 20, 2026 (GLOBE NEWSWIRE) -- Hesai Group (Nasdaq: HSAI; HKEX: 2525) (“Hesai” or the “Company”), a Physical AI infrastructure company, t
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Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring HSAI)
- ✓Walkthrough of HSAI's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
- ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
- ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
HSAI Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure
Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).
vs. +52.1% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).
No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on HSAI today. View full Setup Ledger →
No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for HSAI. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.
📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (HSAI)
1. Head-to-Head Industrials Peer Comparison (HSAI vs. NN, MFP, SPB, ATS)
Industry: Industrial Machinery/Components (208 Tracked Issuers)Across 485 tracked Industrials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Hesai Group (HSAI) ranks #374 by composite RQD confidence (40/100, grade D-) and #209 by equity capitalization ($2.04B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, SPB leads on earnings valuation at 18.8x trailing P/E, while SPB leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 4.2% ROIC and 36.7% gross margin. SPB currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 66/100 (C+) compared with HSAI at 40/100 (D-).
| Ticker / Company | Roarable Grade | RQD Score | Trailing P/E | Gross Margin | ROIC | 1D Change | Market Cap | Head-to-Head |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| HSAI
ACTIVE
Hesai Group | D- | 40/100 | 32.7x | 41.8% | 1.8% | -6.22% | $2.04B | Benchmark Subject |
| NN NextNav Inc. | E | 27/100 | — | — | -35.0% | -3.59% | $2.04B | /nn-vs-hsai → |
| MFP Midera Food Processing Inc. | D+ | 52/100 | — | — | — | -0.83% | $1.88B | /mfp-vs-hsai → |
| SPB Spectrum Brands Holdings Inc. | C+ | 66/100 | 18.8x | 36.7% | 4.2% | +2.32% | $1.87B | /spb-vs-hsai → |
| ATS ATS Corporation | D+ | 58/100 | — | — | — | -0.42% | $1.85B | /ats-vs-hsai → |
2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)
SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001861737In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Hesai Group (HSAI) reported GAAP revenue of $432.9M (+52.1% vs. FY2024 revenue of $284.6M , and +63.8% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $62.3M, operating cash flow of $16.7M, and free cash flow of -$27.5M (-2.4% YoY). On the balance sheet, HSAI closed FY2025 with $1.61B in total assets against $39.9M in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 4.21, Piotroski F-Score: 7/9).
| Fiscal Period | Filing Date | Revenue | Net Income | Operating Cash Flow | Free Cash Flow | Total Assets | Total Debt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2025 (FY) | 2025-12-31 | $432.9M | $62.3M | $16.7M | -$27.5M | $1.61B | $39.9M |
| FY2024 (FY) | 2024-12-31 | $284.6M | -$14.0M | $8.7M | -$26.9M | $820.6M | $36.9M |
| FY2023 (FY) | 2023-12-31 | $264.4M | -$67.0M | $8.1M | $8.1M | — | — |
3. HSAI Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)
✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLEDIs HSAI stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
As of 2026-11-01, Hesai Group (NASDAQ: HSAI) is rated D- (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 40/100 at a spot price of $12.97 (-6.22% 1D, market cap $2.04B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 6/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 4/20, Executive Insider Alignment 14/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 10/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 6/20. Across 485 tracked Industrials issuers, HSAI ranks #374 in composite RQD confidence.
How does HSAI compare to NN and MFP in the Industrials sector?
Within the Industrials sector (Industrial Machinery/Components), HSAI carries a Roarable D- (40/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 32.7x, gross margin of 41.8%, and ROIC of 1.8%. By comparison, NN (NextNav Inc.) holds a E grade (27/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $2.04B) and MFP (Midera Food Processing Inc.) posts a D+ grade (52/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $1.88B). Among the 5-stock peer group, SPB leads on earnings multiple (18.8x) while SPB leads on capital efficiency (4.2% ROIC).
What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for HSAI?
Per HSAI's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001861737), Hesai Group generated $432.9M in revenue (+52.1% YoY), $62.3M in net income, and -$27.5M in free cash flow against $1.61B in total assets and $39.9M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Industrials with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
Where is HSAI trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?
HSAI last traded at $12.97 (-6.22% on volume of 1,375,379 shares), positioning the stock -18.12% below its 50-day simple moving average ($15.84) and -34.63% below its 200-day simple moving average ($19.84). Across its 52-week range of $12.00 to $29.35, HSAI sits at the 5.6% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 36.9 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±9.0% ($11.80 to $14.14).
HSAI Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index
100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FREDWhy is HSAI stock moving today?
Why HSAI Stock dropped -6.22% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash. Stretched risk/reward at 33x P/E (2% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.