Stock Ratings / Industrials / HSAI / forecast

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Hesai Group (HSAI) 12-Month Stock Forecast & Price Target Cone

$12.97 -6.22% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot)

Hesai Group (HSAI) carries a Roarable Rating of D- (Sell) with 40/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE D- • RED ALERT Cap $2.04B

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERRED ALERT • D-

2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw E · Rk C-

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE-8.1% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for HSAI)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±9%

INTERACTIVE 12-MONTH POSITION SIMULATOR

Drag to Test Your HSAI Position Size: $10,000

Shares at $12.97: 771.0 sh

$1,000$10,000$25,000$50,000$100,000

12M Bear Case FloorTarget $9.30

$7,170

$-2,830 (-28.3%)

12M Consensus BaseTarget $11.92

$9,190

$-810 (-8.1%)

12M Bull Case BreakoutTarget $30.82

$23,763

+$13,763 (+137.6%)

Wall Street Analyst Breakdown & Historical Accuracy Audit (35 Desks)

Street Historical Accuracy: 64/100

● Strong Buy / Buy: 17● Hold: 9● Sell: 9

Wall Street Firm	Stance	12M Target	1Y Accuracy	Track Grade
Morgan StanleyInstitutional Equity Desk	HOLD	$12	74%	A
Goldman SachsSector Coverage Lead	UNDERPERFORM	$29	69%	B
JP MorganUS Large-Cap Research	SELL	$11	58%	C

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring HSAI)

✓Walkthrough of HSAI's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
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HSAI // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -42.81%▼ DESCENDING CHANNEL

2026-10-30O $12.35H $12.97L $12.02C $12.97VOL 2.32M

RES: $17.26SUP: $11.35SMA50: $15.84SMA200: $19.84

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

HSAI Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 HSAI Butterfly Map → + Track HSAI →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)

25.3%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +52.1% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on HSAI today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for HSAI. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for HSAI today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (HSAI)

Industrials Rank #374 of 485 ⚔️ NN vs HSAI Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Industrials Peer Comparison (HSAI vs. NN, MFP, SPB, ATS)

Industry: Industrial Machinery/Components (208 Tracked Issuers)

Across 485 tracked Industrials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Hesai Group (HSAI) ranks #374 by composite RQD confidence (40/100, grade D-) and #209 by equity capitalization ($2.04B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, SPB leads on earnings valuation at 18.8x trailing P/E, while SPB leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 4.2% ROIC and 36.7% gross margin. SPB currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 66/100 (C+) compared with HSAI at 40/100 (D-).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
HSAI ACTIVE Hesai Group	D-	40/100	32.7x	41.8%	1.8%	-6.22%	$2.04B	Benchmark Subject
NN NextNav Inc.	E	27/100	—	—	-35.0%	-3.59%	$2.04B	/nn-vs-hsai →
MFP Midera Food Processing Inc.	D+	52/100	—	—	—	-0.83%	$1.88B	/mfp-vs-hsai →
SPB Spectrum Brands Holdings Inc.	C+	66/100	18.8x	36.7%	4.2%	+2.32%	$1.87B	/spb-vs-hsai →
ATS ATS Corporation	D+	58/100	—	—	—	-0.42%	$1.85B	/ats-vs-hsai →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001861737

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Hesai Group (HSAI) reported GAAP revenue of $432.9M (+52.1% vs. FY2024 revenue of $284.6M , and +63.8% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $62.3M, operating cash flow of $16.7M, and free cash flow of -$27.5M (-2.4% YoY). On the balance sheet, HSAI closed FY2025 with $1.61B in total assets against $39.9M in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 4.21, Piotroski F-Score: 7/9).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2025-12-31	$432.9M	$62.3M	$16.7M	-$27.5M	$1.61B	$39.9M
FY2024 (FY)	2024-12-31	$284.6M	-$14.0M	$8.7M	-$26.9M	$820.6M	$36.9M
FY2023 (FY)	2023-12-31	$264.4M	-$67.0M	$8.1M	$8.1M	—	—

3. HSAI Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is HSAI stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-01, Hesai Group (NASDAQ: HSAI) is rated D- (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 40/100 at a spot price of $12.97 (-6.22% 1D, market cap $2.04B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 6/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 4/20, Executive Insider Alignment 14/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 10/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 6/20. Across 485 tracked Industrials issuers, HSAI ranks #374 in composite RQD confidence.

How does HSAI compare to NN and MFP in the Industrials sector?

Within the Industrials sector (Industrial Machinery/Components), HSAI carries a Roarable D- (40/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 32.7x, gross margin of 41.8%, and ROIC of 1.8%. By comparison, NN (NextNav Inc.) holds a E grade (27/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $2.04B) and MFP (Midera Food Processing Inc.) posts a D+ grade (52/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $1.88B). Among the 5-stock peer group, SPB leads on earnings multiple (18.8x) while SPB leads on capital efficiency (4.2% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for HSAI?

Per HSAI's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001861737), Hesai Group generated $432.9M in revenue (+52.1% YoY), $62.3M in net income, and -$27.5M in free cash flow against $1.61B in total assets and $39.9M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Industrials with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is HSAI trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

HSAI last traded at $12.97 (-6.22% on volume of 1,375,379 shares), positioning the stock -18.12% below its 50-day simple moving average ($15.84) and -34.63% below its 200-day simple moving average ($19.84). Across its 52-week range of $12.00 to $29.35, HSAI sits at the 5.6% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 36.9 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±9.0% ($11.80 to $14.14).

HSAI Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

What is HSAI's 12-month stock price target?

Hesai Group (HSAI) carries a 12-month consensus base price target of $11.92 (-8.1% from $12.97), with a bull-case target of $30.82 and a bear-case floor of $9.3.

Is HSAI stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now?

Roarable's 5-Pillar RQD Quant Engine rates HSAI D- (Sell — SELL) with an RQD Confidence score of 40/100.

Direct Sub-Reports: HSAI RQD Cockpit HSAI 12M Forecast HSAI Earnings & Move HSAI Dividends & DRIP HSAI Insiders & 13F HSAI Whale Options HSAI Profit Sankey HSAI News & Why