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Sunrun Inc. (RUN) — RQD Stock Rating Cockpit

$7.59 +2.29% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot)

Sunrun Inc. (RUN) carries a Roarable Rating of D- (Sell) with 37/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE D- • RED ALERT Cap $1.83B

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERRED ALERT • D-

3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw E · Rk D

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE-9.5% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for RUN)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±11.3%

RSI-14 MOMENTUMNEUTRAL RANGE

45.630 Oversold · 70 Hot

ALTMAN-Z SHIELDDISTRESS RISK (<1.8)

0.20>3.0 Fortress Safe

PIOTROSKI F-SCOREWEAK QUALITY (1–4)

4 / 99-Pt Accounting

52-WEEK LASER RANGE5% OF RANGE

L: $7$7.59H: $22

1. Money & Cash Health● WEAK

Are profits real cash in the bank?

Weak cash conversion or heavy valuation strain compared to actual cash earned.

Factor Grade: ERQD 1 / 20

2. Big Money & Insiders● TRIMMING

Are whales & executives buying or selling?

Insiders and big institutional desks have been trimming shares rather than stepping up to buy.

Factor Grade: D-RQD 17 / 40

3. Hidden Risks & Market Weather● WARNING

SEC fine-print scan & interest-rate fit

High sensitivity to tight interest rates or new risk warnings added to recent SEC annual filings.

Factor Grade: DRQD 19 / 40

MULTI-MODEL JEV QUANT JURY DELIBERATION

3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning on RUN

Cash & Moat Bull AI

ROIC & Free Cash Flow Model

BEARISH (15)

-3.2% ROIC with 42.0% gross margin and -23.05% FCF yield.

SEC Forensic Auditor AI

10-K Accruals & Altman-Z Guard

BEARISH (50)

Altman-Z 0.20 and Piotroski 4/9 pass balance-sheet audit.

Whale & Macro Hawk AI

Options Skew, 13F & Fed NetLiq

BEARISH (43)

17/40 institutional & smart-money positioning score with 9/20 macro alignment.

Bull Case: Why Buyers Like RUN

✓Established market leader in Industrials with deep daily trading liquidity.

Bear Case: What Could Go Wrong

!Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.
!Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.
!Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins.

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring RUN)

✓Walkthrough of RUN's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks

RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED

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RUN // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -40.38%▲ RESISTANCE BREAKOUT

2026-10-30O $7.36H $7.59L $7.24C $7.59VOL 9.87M

RES: $6.51SUP: $6.44SMA50: $8.13SMA200: $12.42

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

RUN Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 RUN Butterfly Map → + Track RUN →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)

8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +45.1% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on RUN today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for RUN. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for RUN today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (RUN)

Industrials Rank #400 of 485 ⚔️ ATS vs RUN Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Industrials Peer Comparison (RUN vs. ATS, ALG, SPB, MFP)

Industry: Industrial Machinery/Components (208 Tracked Issuers)

Across 485 tracked Industrials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Sunrun Inc. (RUN) ranks #400 by composite RQD confidence (37/100, grade D-) and #218 by equity capitalization ($1.83B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, ALG leads on earnings valuation at 17.2x trailing P/E, while ALG leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 14.3% ROIC and 24.8% gross margin. ALG currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 77/100 (B+) compared with RUN at 37/100 (D-).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
RUN ACTIVE Sunrun Inc.	D-	37/100	—	—	-3.2%	+2.29%	$1.83B	Benchmark Subject
ATS ATS Corporation	D+	58/100	—	—	—	-0.42%	$1.85B	/ats-vs-run →
ALG Alamo Group Inc.	B+	77/100	17.2x	24.8%	14.3%	+1.70%	$1.79B	/alg-vs-run →
SPB Spectrum Brands Holdings Inc.	C+	66/100	18.8x	36.7%	4.2%	+2.32%	$1.87B	/spb-vs-run →
MFP Midera Food Processing Inc.	D+	52/100	—	—	—	-0.83%	$1.88B	/mfp-vs-run →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001469367

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Sunrun Inc. (RUN) reported GAAP revenue of $2.96B (+45.1% vs. FY2024 revenue of $2.04B , and +30.9% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $449.9K, operating cash flow of -$421.4M, and free cash flow of -$421.4M (+45.1% YoY). On the balance sheet, RUN closed FY2025 with $22.61B in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 0.20, Piotroski F-Score: 4/9).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2025-12-31	$2.96B	$449.9K	-$421.4M	-$421.4M	$22.61B	—
FY2024 (FY)	2024-12-31	$2.04B	-$2.85B	-$766.2M	-$767.7M	$19.90B	—
FY2023 (FY)	2023-12-31	$2.26B	-$1.60B	-$820.7M	-$820.7M	—	—

3. RUN Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is RUN stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-01, Sunrun Inc. (NASDAQ: RUN) is rated D- (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 37/100 at a spot price of $7.59 (+2.29% 1D, market cap $1.83B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 3/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 12/20, Executive Insider Alignment 10/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 9/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 5/20. Across 485 tracked Industrials issuers, RUN ranks #400 in composite RQD confidence.

How does RUN compare to ATS and ALG in the Industrials sector?

Within the Industrials sector (Industrial Machinery/Components), RUN carries a Roarable D- (37/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of -3.2%. By comparison, ATS (ATS Corporation) holds a D+ grade (58/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $1.85B) and ALG (Alamo Group Inc.) posts a B+ grade (77/100 RQD, P/E 17.2x, ROIC 14.3%, cap $1.79B). Among the 5-stock peer group, ALG leads on earnings multiple (17.2x) while ALG leads on capital efficiency (14.3% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for RUN?

Per RUN's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001469367), Sunrun Inc. generated $2.96B in revenue (+45.1% YoY), $449.9K in net income, and -$421.4M in free cash flow against $22.61B in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Industrials with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is RUN trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

RUN last traded at $7.59 (+2.29% on volume of 5,106,340 shares), positioning the stock -6.64% below its 50-day simple moving average ($8.13) and -38.89% below its 200-day simple moving average ($12.42). Across its 52-week range of $6.78 to $21.95, RUN sits at the 5.3% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 45.6 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±11.3% ($6.73 to $8.45).

RUN Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

Should I buy, hold, or sell RUN stock right now?

Sunrun Inc. (RUN) currently earns a Roarable Rating of D- (Sell — SELL) with 37/100 RQD Confidence. Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (-3% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.

What is RUN's 12-month price target and RQD AI Jury consensus?

RUN's 12-month base price target is $6.87 (range $5.36 to $23.05), backed by transparent SEC XBRL cash-flow, Form 4 insider, and CBOE options flow analysis.

Direct Sub-Reports: RUN RQD Cockpit RUN 12M Forecast RUN Earnings & Move RUN Dividends & DRIP RUN Insiders & 13F RUN Whale Options RUN Profit Sankey RUN News & Why