Stock Ratings / Industrials / HSAI / earnings

NN (27) MFP (52) SPB (66) ATS (58) ⌘ Pro Terminal →

Hesai Group (HSAI) Next Earnings Date & Expected ±9% Move

$12.97 -6.22% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $12.80

Hesai Group (HSAI) carries a Roarable Rating of D- (Sell) with 40/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (40/100 · D-) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows →

ROARABLE D- • RED ALERT Cap $2.04B

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $12.80 (-1.31%)🧬 Dilution Drag (+1.64% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 6/20 (E) • 0% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (40/100 · D-) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-7.4% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERRED ALERT • D-

2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw E · Rk C-

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE-8.1% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for HSAI)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±9%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (40/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY HSAI SCORES 40/100 (D-) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+14/20 pts (35% of score)

Altman Z-Score 4.21 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 7/9

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+10/20 pts (25% of score)

FRED Regime × Technicals: 6% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 36.9 (NEUTRAL RANGE)

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning4/20 pts (-16 pt drag)

Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-16 pts vs max)

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade D$16.01-22.4% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade D$12.42+5.7% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade D$13.13-1.2% Next Q

Current

Grade D-$12.97-7.4% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: D (48) → D- (40)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a HSAI Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While HSAI currently carries a cautious 40/100 (D-) rating due to Whale & Options Positioning (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Industrials with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($15.84) and Max Pain ($13.62) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $30.82.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Dilution Drag (+1.64% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $HSAI• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “HSAI Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”

YES 40%NO 60%Trade / Inspect Odds →

NEXT EST. WINDOW: Dec 30, 2026 (~58 DAYS)

Historical OHLCV Volatility ±9% Swing Band

±$1.17 Expected Swing

MODEL EARNINGS SETUP GAUGE

HSAI Quantitative Pre-Earnings Setup: 40/100

Trailing EPS: $0.40 • YoY Revenue Growth: 52.1%

Model Bullish Setup (40/100)Model Risk Weight (60/100)

Derived deterministically from RQD cash-flow quality, SEC accrual safety, and institutional flow (not a community poll).

LOG YOUR PERSONAL PRE-EARNINGS STANCE (SAVED LOCALLY IN BROWSER):

Recent SEC Reported Revenue, Net Profit & Diluted EPS Cadence

Period	Filed	Revenue	Net Profit	Free Cash Flow	Gross Margin
FY 2025	2025-12-31	$432.9M	$62.3M	-$27.5M	41.8%
FY 2024	2024-12-31	$284.6M	-$14.0M	-$26.9M	42.6%
FY 2023	2023-12-31	$264.4M	-$67.0M	$8.1M	41.8%

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring HSAI)

✓Walkthrough of HSAI's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks

RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED

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HSAI // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -42.81%▼ DESCENDING CHANNEL

2026-10-30O $12.35H $12.97L $12.02C $12.97VOL 2.32M

RES: $17.26SUP: $11.35SMA50: $15.84SMA200: $19.84

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

HSAI Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 HSAI Butterfly Map → + Track HSAI →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)

25.3%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +52.1% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on HSAI today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for HSAI. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for HSAI today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (HSAI)

Industrials Rank #374 of 485 ⚔️ NN vs HSAI Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Industrials Peer Comparison (HSAI vs. NN, MFP, SPB, ATS)

Industry: Industrial Machinery/Components (208 Tracked Issuers)

Across 485 tracked Industrials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Hesai Group (HSAI) ranks #374 by composite RQD confidence (40/100, grade D-) and #209 by equity capitalization ($2.04B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, SPB leads on earnings valuation at 18.8x trailing P/E, while SPB leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 4.2% ROIC and 36.7% gross margin. SPB currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 66/100 (C+) compared with HSAI at 40/100 (D-).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
HSAI ACTIVE Hesai Group	D-	40/100	32.7x	41.8%	1.8%	-6.22%	$2.04B	Benchmark Subject
NN NextNav Inc.	E	27/100	—	—	-35.0%	-3.59%	$2.04B	/nn-vs-hsai →
MFP Midera Food Processing Inc.	D+	52/100	—	—	—	-0.83%	$1.88B	/mfp-vs-hsai →
SPB Spectrum Brands Holdings Inc.	C+	66/100	18.8x	36.7%	4.2%	+2.32%	$1.87B	/spb-vs-hsai →
ATS ATS Corporation	D+	58/100	—	—	—	-0.42%	$1.85B	/ats-vs-hsai →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001861737

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Hesai Group (HSAI) reported GAAP revenue of $432.9M (+52.1% vs. FY2024 revenue of $284.6M , and +63.8% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $62.3M, operating cash flow of $16.7M, and free cash flow of -$27.5M (-2.4% YoY). On the balance sheet, HSAI closed FY2025 with $1.61B in total assets against $39.9M in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 4.21, Piotroski F-Score: 7/9).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2025-12-31	$432.9M	$62.3M	$16.7M	-$27.5M	$1.61B	$39.9M
FY2024 (FY)	2024-12-31	$284.6M	-$14.0M	$8.7M	-$26.9M	$820.6M	$36.9M
FY2023 (FY)	2023-12-31	$264.4M	-$67.0M	$8.1M	$8.1M	—	—

3. HSAI Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is HSAI stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-01, Hesai Group (NASDAQ: HSAI) is rated D- (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 40/100 at a spot price of $12.97 (-6.22% 1D, market cap $2.04B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 6/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 4/20, Executive Insider Alignment 14/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 10/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 6/20. Across 485 tracked Industrials issuers, HSAI ranks #374 in composite RQD confidence.

How does HSAI compare to NN and MFP in the Industrials sector?

Within the Industrials sector (Industrial Machinery/Components), HSAI carries a Roarable D- (40/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 32.7x, gross margin of 41.8%, and ROIC of 1.8%. By comparison, NN (NextNav Inc.) holds a E grade (27/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $2.04B) and MFP (Midera Food Processing Inc.) posts a D+ grade (52/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $1.88B). Among the 5-stock peer group, SPB leads on earnings multiple (18.8x) while SPB leads on capital efficiency (4.2% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for HSAI?

Per HSAI's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001861737), Hesai Group generated $432.9M in revenue (+52.1% YoY), $62.3M in net income, and -$27.5M in free cash flow against $1.61B in total assets and $39.9M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Industrials with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is HSAI trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

HSAI last traded at $12.97 (-6.22% on volume of 1,375,379 shares), positioning the stock -18.12% below its 50-day simple moving average ($15.84) and -34.63% below its 200-day simple moving average ($19.84). Across its 52-week range of $12.00 to $29.35, HSAI sits at the 5.6% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 36.9 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±9.0% ($11.80 to $14.14).

HSAI Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

When is HSAI's next earnings date?

Based on SEC filing cadence, Hesai Group (HSAI)'s next quarterly reporting window is estimated around Dec 30, 2026.

How much is HSAI stock expected to move on earnings?

Volatility modeling currently projects a ±9% event move for HSAI, spanning a range between $11.8 and $14.14.

Direct Sub-Reports: HSAI RQD Cockpit HSAI 12M Forecast HSAI Earnings & Move HSAI Dividends & DRIP HSAI Insiders & 13F HSAI Whale Options HSAI Profit Sankey HSAI News & Why