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HighPeak Energy Inc. (HPK) Options Positioning, Max Pain & Unusual Sweeps

$10.45 -4.83% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot)

HighPeak Energy Inc. (HPK) carries a Roarable Rating of D (Sell) with 44/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE D • SELL / AVOID Cap $1.32B

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D

2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D- · Rk D+

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE-6.3% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for HPK)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±12.5%

CALL VS. PUT WHALE SHARE

— (No Active Options Snapshot)

Put/Call Ratio: — (No Active Options Snapshot)

MAX-PAIN EXPIRATION MAGNET

— (No Active Options Snapshot)

No active options chain max-pain snapshot on file

HISTORICAL 20D VOLATILITY SWING

±12.5%

Derived from 20D OHLCV bars (No Active Options Snapshot)

Active Strike Call vs. Put Concentration Ladder (HPK)

— (No Active Options Snapshot) — No unusual CBOE strike concentration anomalies recorded in the current database snapshot for HPK.

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Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring HPK)

✓Walkthrough of HPK's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
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HPK // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +54.13%▲ ASCENDING CHANNEL

2026-10-30O $10.55H $10.60L $10.17C $10.45VOL 671.7K

RES: $12.25SUP: $7.90SMA50: $8.91SMA200: $7.08

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

HPK Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 HPK Butterfly Map → + Track HPK →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)

12.5%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. -22.7% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on HPK today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for HPK. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for HPK today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (HPK)

Energy Rank #174 of 211 ⚔️ PDS vs HPK Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Energy Peer Comparison (HPK vs. PDS, BORR, NBR, REPX)

Industry: Oil & Gas Production (106 Tracked Issuers)

Across 211 tracked Energy securities in the Roarable RQD universe, HighPeak Energy Inc. (HPK) ranks #174 by composite RQD confidence (44/100, grade D) and #133 by equity capitalization ($1.32B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, NBR leads on earnings valuation at 5.2x trailing P/E, while NBR leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 21.1% ROIC and — gross margin. REPX currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 68/100 (C+) compared with HPK at 44/100 (D).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
HPK ACTIVE HighPeak Energy Inc.	D	44/100	—	—	4.6%	-4.83%	$1.32B	Benchmark Subject
PDS Precision Drilling Corporation	D+	58/100	—	—	—	+2.10%	$1.35B	/pds-vs-hpk →
BORR Borr Drilling Limited	D+	53/100	27.8x	—	8.9%	-7.52%	$1.25B	/borr-vs-hpk →
NBR Nabors Industries Ltd.	D	44/100	5.2x	—	21.1%	-1.43%	$1.48B	/nbr-vs-hpk →
REPX Riley Exploration Permian Inc.	C+	68/100	7.2x	—	12.2%	-0.02%	$1.15B	/repx-vs-hpk →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001792849

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), HighPeak Energy Inc. (HPK) reported GAAP revenue of $863.4M (-22.7% vs. FY2024 revenue of $1.12B , and -23.7% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $18.96B, operating cash flow of $511.6M, and free cash flow of $511.6M (-25.9% YoY). On the balance sheet, HPK closed FY2025 with $3.21B in total assets against $1.13B in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 5/9).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2025-12-31	$863.4M	$18.96B	$511.6M	$511.6M	$3.21B	$1.13B
FY2024 (FY)	2024-12-31	$1.12B	$95.07B	$690.4M	$690.4M	$3.06B	$928.4M
FY2023 (FY)	2023-12-31	$1.13B	$215.87B	$756.4M	$756.4M	—	—

3. HPK Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is HPK stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-01, HighPeak Energy Inc. (NASDAQ: HPK) is rated D (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 44/100 at a spot price of $10.45 (-4.83% 1D, market cap $1.32B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 8/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 4/20, Executive Insider Alignment 12/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 11/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 9/20. Across 211 tracked Energy issuers, HPK ranks #174 in composite RQD confidence.

How does HPK compare to PDS and BORR in the Energy sector?

Within the Energy sector (Oil & Gas Production), HPK carries a Roarable D (44/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 4.6%. By comparison, PDS (Precision Drilling Corporation) holds a D+ grade (58/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $1.35B) and BORR (Borr Drilling Limited) posts a D+ grade (53/100 RQD, P/E 27.8x, ROIC 8.9%, cap $1.25B). Among the 5-stock peer group, NBR leads on earnings multiple (5.2x) while NBR leads on capital efficiency (21.1% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for HPK?

Per HPK's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001792849), HighPeak Energy Inc. generated $863.4M in revenue (-22.7% YoY), $18.96B in net income, and $511.6M in free cash flow against $3.21B in total assets and $1.13B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Energy with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is HPK trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

HPK last traded at $10.45 (-4.83% on volume of 477,550 shares), positioning the stock +17.28% above its 50-day simple moving average ($8.91) and +47.60% above its 200-day simple moving average ($7.08). Across its 52-week range of $3.85 to $12.03, HPK sits at the 80.7% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 53.4 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±12.5% ($9.14 to $11.76).

HPK Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

What is HPK's options positioning and volatility profile?

Roarable tracks verified CBOE unusual options sweeps, put/call ratios, and OHLCV realized volatility bands for HPK.

Direct Sub-Reports: HPK RQD Cockpit HPK 12M Forecast HPK Earnings & Move HPK Dividends & DRIP HPK Insiders & 13F HPK Whale Options HPK Profit Sankey HPK News & Why