Stock Ratings / Consumer Discretionary / HLLY / dividends

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Holley Inc. (HLLY) Dividend Safety Gauge & 10-Year DRIP Compounder

Q: Where is HLLY trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

HLLY last traded at $2.66 (+0.76% on volume of 568,233 shares), positioning the stock +1.53% above its 50-day simple moving average ($2.62) and -11.33% below its 200-day simple moving average ($3.00). Across its 52-week range of $2.25 to $4.48, HLLY sits at the 18.4% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 56.4 (BULLISH MOMENTUM) and an implied next-earnings move of ±10.2% ($2.39 to $2.93).

Q: Does HLLY pay a dividend and is it safe?

Holley Inc. (HLLY) offers a 0% cash dividend yield ($0.00 annualized) and 1.8% total shareholder yield including buybacks. Roarable rates its payout coverage as REINVESTING IN GROWTH + BUYBACKS.

$2.66 +0.76% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $2.66

Holley Inc. (HLLY) carries a Roarable Rating of D+ (Sell) with 52/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 52/100 (D+) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (-1.1% avg 90D alpha vs SPY) →

ROARABLE D+ • SELL / AVOID Cap $322.5M

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

⚡ INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW • $0 FREE TIER Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on HLLY Below — or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude

🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is HLLY stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

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As of 2026-11-02, Holley Inc. (NYSE: HLLY) is rated D+ (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 52/100 at a spot price of $2.66 (+0.76% 1D, market cap $322.5M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 8/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 8/20, Executive Insider Alignment 10/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 9/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 17/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, HLLY ranks #529 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does HLLY compare to CPS and STRT in the Consumer Discretionary sector?

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Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Auto Parts:O.E.M.), HLLY carries a Roarable D+ (52/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 16.8x, gross margin of 43.4%, and ROIC of 7.0%. By comparison, CPS (Cooper-Standard Holdings Inc.) holds a D grade (44/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC 85.0%, cap $369.8M) and STRT (STRATTEC SECURITY CORPORATION) posts a D+ grade (56/100 RQD, P/E 12.5x, ROIC 15.2%, cap $256.6M). Among the 5-stock peer group, STRT leads on earnings multiple (12.5x) while CPS leads on capital efficiency (85.0% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for HLLY?

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Per HLLY's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001822928), Holley Inc. generated $613.5M in revenue (+1.9% YoY), $19.2M in net income, and $33.9M in free cash flow against $1.16B in total assets and $516.1M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction.. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $2.66 (-0.05%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-2.64% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 8/20 (D-) • 5.5% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 52/100 (D+) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (-1.1% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 50.1% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D+

2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D+ · Rk D

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE-2.6% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for HLLY)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±10.2%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (52/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY HLLY SCORES 52/100 (D+) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution+17/20 pts (33% of score)

SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 85% Net Buy • Cannibal Buyback (-2.64% YoY Shares)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+10/20 pts (19% of score)

Altman Z-Score 1.32 (DISTRESS RISK (<1.8)) • Piotroski F-Score 7/9

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning8/20 pts (-12 pt drag)

Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-12 pts vs max)

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade D$2.46+1.2% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade D$2.49+2.8% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade D$2.56+3.9% Next Q

Current

Grade D+$2.66-1.1% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: D (44) → D+ (52)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a HLLY Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While HLLY currently carries a cautious 52/100 (D+) rating due to Whale & Options Positioning (8/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($2.62) and Max Pain ($2.79) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $4.70.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Cannibal Buyback (-2.64% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $HLLY• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “HLLY Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”

YES 52%NO 48%Trade / Inspect Odds →

CASH DIVIDEND + BUYBACK YIELD

1.8% Total Yield

0% Cash ($0.00/yr) + 1.8% Buybacks

PAYOUT SAFETY SPEEDOMETER

74/100 • REINVESTING IN GROWTH + BUYBACKS

FREE CASH FLOW PAYOUT RATIO

0% (100% Reinvested)

Retains cash flow for R&D and share repurchases

INTERACTIVE DRIP & SHAREHOLDER-YIELD COMPOUNDER (5.5% EST. ANNUAL)

$10,000 Compounded Over 10 Years → $17,081

Est. Year-10 Shareholder Yield: $307/yr

Starting Investment: $10,000

Compounding Horizon: 10 Years

$10.6K

Yr 1

$11.1K

Yr 2

$11.7K

Yr 3

$12.4K

Yr 4

$13.1K

Yr 5

$13.8K

Yr 6

$14.5K

Yr 7

$15.3K

Yr 8

$16.2K

Yr 9

$17.1K

Yr 10

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring HLLY)

✓Walkthrough of HLLY's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks

RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED

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HLLY // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -18.15%📐 HORIZONTAL RANGE

2026-11-02O $2.64H $2.66L $2.64C $2.66VOL 568.2K

RES: $3.58SUP: $2.23SMA50: $2.62SMA200: $3.00

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

HLLY Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 HLLY Butterfly Map → + Track HLLY →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)

9.6%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +1.9% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on HLLY today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for HLLY. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for HLLY today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (HLLY)

Consumer Discretionary Rank #529 of 1011 ⚔️ CPS vs HLLY Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Consumer Discretionary Peer Comparison (HLLY vs. CPS, STRT, MPAA, SRI)

Industry: Auto Parts:O.E.M. (36 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Holley Inc. (HLLY) ranks #529 by composite RQD confidence (52/100, grade D+) and #639 by equity capitalization ($322.5M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, STRT leads on earnings valuation at 12.5x trailing P/E, while CPS leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 85.0% ROIC and 11.9% gross margin. STRT currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 56/100 (D+) compared with HLLY at 52/100 (D+).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
HLLY ACTIVE Holley Inc.	D+	52/100	16.8x	43.4%	7.0%	+0.76%	$322.5M	Benchmark Subject
CPS Cooper-Standard Holdings Inc.	D	44/100	—	11.9%	85.0%	-1.70%	$369.8M	/cps-vs-hlly →
STRT STRATTEC SECURITY CORPORATION	D+	56/100	12.5x	16.5%	15.2%	+0.63%	$256.6M	/strt-vs-hlly →
MPAA Motorcar Parts of America Inc.	D+	56/100	16.3x	20.2%	21.6%	-3.29%	$195.0M	/mpaa-vs-hlly →
SRI Stoneridge Inc.	D-	43/100	—	19.9%	-24.1%	+0.83%	$174.0M	/sri-vs-hlly →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001822928

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Holley Inc. (HLLY) reported GAAP revenue of $613.5M (+1.9% vs. FY2024 revenue of $602.2M , and -7.0% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $19.2M, operating cash flow of $46.2M, and free cash flow of $33.9M (-15.5% YoY). On the balance sheet, HLLY closed FY2025 with $1.16B in total assets against $516.1M in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 1.32, Piotroski F-Score: 7/9).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2025-12-31	$613.5M	$19.2M	$46.2M	$33.9M	$1.16B	$516.1M
FY2024 (FY)	2024-12-31	$602.2M	-$23.2M	$46.9M	$40.1M	$1.13B	$545.4M
FY2023 (FY)	2023-12-31	$659.7M	$19.2M	$88.1M	$88.1M	—	—

3. HLLY Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is HLLY stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

How does HLLY compare to CPS and STRT in the Consumer Discretionary sector?

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for HLLY?

Where is HLLY trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

HLLY last traded at $2.66 (+0.76% on volume of 568,233 shares), positioning the stock +1.53% above its 50-day simple moving average ($2.62) and -11.33% below its 200-day simple moving average ($3.00). Across its 52-week range of $2.25 to $4.48, HLLY sits at the 18.4% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 56.4 (BULLISH MOMENTUM) and an implied next-earnings move of ±10.2% ($2.39 to $2.93).

HLLY Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

Does HLLY pay a dividend and is it safe?

Holley Inc. (HLLY) offers a 0% cash dividend yield ($0.00 annualized) and 1.8% total shareholder yield including buybacks. Roarable rates its payout coverage as REINVESTING IN GROWTH + BUYBACKS.

Direct Sub-Reports: HLLY RQD Cockpit HLLY 12M Forecast HLLY Earnings & Move HLLY Dividends & DRIP HLLY Insiders & 13F HLLY Whale Options HLLY Profit Sankey HLLY News & Why