Hilton Grand Vacations Inc. (HGV) Options Positioning, Max Pain & Unusual Sweeps

$35.71 +0.51% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot)

Hilton Grand Vacations Inc. (HGV) carries a Roarable Rating of D+ (Sell) with 56/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE D+ • SELL / AVOID Cap $2.78B
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
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RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D+
025507510056
JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D+ · Rk D+
Cash (10)Whales (9)SEC (13)Macro (10)CEO (14)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-0.9% Base Target
$58 Bull$35 Base$28 Bear
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WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for HGV)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±7.7%
CALL VS. PUT WHALE SHARE
— (No Active Options Snapshot)
Put/Call Ratio: — (No Active Options Snapshot)
MAX-PAIN EXPIRATION MAGNET
— (No Active Options Snapshot)
No active options chain max-pain snapshot on file
HISTORICAL 20D VOLATILITY SWING
±7.7%
Derived from 20D OHLCV bars (No Active Options Snapshot)

Active Strike Call vs. Put Concentration Ladder (HGV)

— (No Active Options Snapshot) — No unusual CBOE strike concentration anomalies recorded in the current database snapshot for HGV.

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  • ✓Walkthrough of HGV's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
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HGV // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -23.97%📐 HORIZONTAL RANGE
2026-10-30O $36.47H $38.58L $35.22C $35.71VOL 1.88M
RES: $52.63SUP: $32.02SMA50: $37.74SMA200: $44.60
$56.90$50.69$44.48$38.27$32.06RES $52.63SUP $32.02$35.712026-04-302026-06-152026-07-312026-09-162026-10-30
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

HGV Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
26.5%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +1.1% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on HGV today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for HGV. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for HGV today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (HGV)

Consumer Discretionary Rank #507 of 1011 ⚔️ OSW vs HGV Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Consumer Discretionary Peer Comparison (HGV vs. OSW, SHO, PK, PENN)

Industry: Hotels/Resorts (35 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Hilton Grand Vacations Inc. (HGV) ranks #507 by composite RQD confidence (56/100, grade D+) and #375 by equity capitalization ($2.78B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, HGV leads on earnings valuation at 34.3x trailing P/E, while OSW leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 10.6% ROIC and — gross margin. OSW currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 75/100 (B) compared with HGV at 56/100 (D+).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
HGV ACTIVE
Hilton Grand Vacations Inc.
D+ 56/100 34.3x — 6.3% +0.51% $2.78B Benchmark Subject
OSW
OneSpaWorld Holdings Limited
B 75/100 42.7x — 10.6% +7.23% $3.06B /osw-vs-hgv →
SHO
Sunstone Hotel Investors Inc. Sunstone Hotel Investors Inc.
C+ 67/100 — — — +1.41% $2.41B /sho-vs-hgv →
PK
Park Hotels & Resorts Inc.
D- 39/100 — — -0.9% +1.02% $3.39B /pk-vs-hgv →
PENN
PENN Entertainment Inc.
D+ 57/100 — — -13.3% +4.14% $2.06B /penn-vs-hgv →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001674168

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Hilton Grand Vacations Inc. (HGV) reported GAAP revenue of $4.51B (+1.1% vs. FY2024 revenue of $4.46B , and +25.6% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $81.0M, operating cash flow of $300.0M, and free cash flow of $230.0M (-13.9% YoY). On the balance sheet, HGV closed FY2025 with $11.54B in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 5/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $4.51B $81.0M $300.0M $230.0M $11.54B —
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $4.46B $47.0M $309.0M $267.0M $11.44B —
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $3.59B $313.0M $312.0M $312.0M — —

3. HGV Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is HGV stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-01, Hilton Grand Vacations Inc. (NYSE: HGV) is rated D+ (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 56/100 at a spot price of $35.71 (+0.51% 1D, market cap $2.78B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 10/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 9/20, Executive Insider Alignment 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 10/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 14/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, HGV ranks #507 in composite RQD confidence.

How does HGV compare to OSW and SHO in the Consumer Discretionary sector?

Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Hotels/Resorts), HGV carries a Roarable D+ (56/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 34.3x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 6.3%. By comparison, OSW (OneSpaWorld Holdings Limited) holds a B grade (75/100 RQD, P/E 42.7x, ROIC 10.6%, cap $3.06B) and SHO (Sunstone Hotel Investors Inc. Sunstone Hotel Investors Inc.) posts a C+ grade (67/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $2.41B). Among the 5-stock peer group, HGV leads on earnings multiple (34.3x) while OSW leads on capital efficiency (10.6% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for HGV?

Per HGV's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001674168), Hilton Grand Vacations Inc. generated $4.51B in revenue (+1.1% YoY), $81.0M in net income, and $230.0M in free cash flow against $11.54B in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction.. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is HGV trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

HGV last traded at $35.71 (+0.51% on volume of 1,841,183 shares), positioning the stock -5.38% below its 50-day simple moving average ($37.74) and -19.93% below its 200-day simple moving average ($44.60). Across its 52-week range of $33.99 to $55.40, HGV sits at the 8.0% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 62.5 (BULLISH MOMENTUM) and an implied next-earnings move of ±7.7% ($32.96 to $38.46).

HGV Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

What is HGV's options positioning and volatility profile?

Roarable tracks verified CBOE unusual options sweeps, put/call ratios, and OHLCV realized volatility bands for HGV.

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