Hilton Grand Vacations Inc. (HGV) carries a Roarable Rating of D+ (Sell) with 56/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.
Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer
SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 70% Net Buy • Cannibal Buyback (-1.80% YoY Shares)
Altman Z-Score 3.80 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 5/9
Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-11 pts vs max)
Even with a 56/100 (D+) score, HGV faces multiple-compression risk if 34.3x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.
Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.
Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-1.80% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 49.5% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.
Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($37.74) or 200D SMA ($44.60) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($35.39) toward Bear Floor ($27.60).
Hilton Grand Vacations Inc. (HGV) advanced +0.51% to $35.71, trading at 8% of its 52-week range ($33.99 – $55.4). Stretched risk/reward at 34x P/E (6% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.
Hilton Grand Vacations (NYSE:HGV) promoted Mike Riley to EVP, chief sales & marketing officer, signaling a senior leadership shift. Riley moves into the role after a long tenure at the business, where he has worked on bu
JP Morgan analyst Daniel Politzer maintains Hilton Grand Vacations (NYSE:HGV) with a Neutral and lowers the price target from $39 to $38.
Goldman Sachs analyst Lizzie Dove maintains Hilton Grand Vacations (NYSE:HGV) with a Neutral and lowers the price target from $40 to $35.
Hilton Grand Vacations (HGV) said Friday that it has signed an accelerated share buyback agreement w
ORLANDO, Fla., October 30, 2026--Hilton Grand Vacations Inc. (NYSE:HGV) ("HGV" or "the Company") today announced that it has entered into an accelerated share repurchase (ASR) agreement with Deutsche Bank AG, London Bran
Hilton Grand Vacations (NYSE:HGV) reported third-quarter results that fell short of its prior expectations as contract sales declined 11% and sales-conversion challenges persisted across its Legacy and Bluegreen operatio
Hilton Grand Vacations Inc. (NYSE:HGV) ("HGV" or "the Company") today announced that it has entered into an accelerated share repurchase (ASR) agreement with Deutsche Bank AG, London Branch for $200
Moby summary of Hilton Grand Vacations Inc.'s Q3 2026 earnings call
Consumer headwinds and sales challenges offset gains in financing and club revenue.
Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).
vs. +1.1% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).
No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on HGV today. View full Setup Ledger →
No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for HGV. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.
Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Hilton Grand Vacations Inc. (HGV) ranks #507 by composite RQD confidence (56/100, grade D+) and #375 by equity capitalization ($2.78B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, HGV leads on earnings valuation at 34.3x trailing P/E, while OSW leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 10.6% ROIC and — gross margin. OSW currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 75/100 (B) compared with HGV at 56/100 (D+).
| Ticker / Company | Roarable Grade | RQD Score | Trailing P/E | Gross Margin | ROIC | 1D Change | Market Cap | Head-to-Head |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| HGV
ACTIVE
Hilton Grand Vacations Inc. | D+ | 56/100 | 34.3x | — | 6.3% | +0.51% | $2.78B | Benchmark Subject |
| OSW OneSpaWorld Holdings Limited | B | 75/100 | 42.7x | — | 10.6% | +7.23% | $3.06B | /osw-vs-hgv → |
| SHO Sunstone Hotel Investors Inc. Sunstone Hotel Investors Inc. | C+ | 67/100 | — | — | — | +1.41% | $2.41B | /sho-vs-hgv → |
| PK Park Hotels & Resorts Inc. | D- | 39/100 | — | — | -0.9% | +1.02% | $3.39B | /pk-vs-hgv → |
| PENN PENN Entertainment Inc. | D+ | 57/100 | — | — | -13.3% | +4.14% | $2.06B | /penn-vs-hgv → |
In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Hilton Grand Vacations Inc. (HGV) reported GAAP revenue of $4.51B (+1.1% vs. FY2024 revenue of $4.46B , and +25.6% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $81.0M, operating cash flow of $300.0M, and free cash flow of $230.0M (-13.9% YoY). On the balance sheet, HGV closed FY2025 with $11.54B in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 5/9).
| Fiscal Period | Filing Date | Revenue | Net Income | Operating Cash Flow | Free Cash Flow | Total Assets | Total Debt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2025 (FY) | 2025-12-31 | $4.51B | $81.0M | $300.0M | $230.0M | $11.54B | — |
| FY2024 (FY) | 2024-12-31 | $4.46B | $47.0M | $309.0M | $267.0M | $11.44B | — |
| FY2023 (FY) | 2023-12-31 | $3.59B | $313.0M | $312.0M | $312.0M | — | — |
As of 2026-11-01, Hilton Grand Vacations Inc. (NYSE: HGV) is rated D+ (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 56/100 at a spot price of $35.71 (+0.51% 1D, market cap $2.78B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 10/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 9/20, Executive Insider Alignment 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 10/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 14/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, HGV ranks #507 in composite RQD confidence.
Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Hotels/Resorts), HGV carries a Roarable D+ (56/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 34.3x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 6.3%. By comparison, OSW (OneSpaWorld Holdings Limited) holds a B grade (75/100 RQD, P/E 42.7x, ROIC 10.6%, cap $3.06B) and SHO (Sunstone Hotel Investors Inc. Sunstone Hotel Investors Inc.) posts a C+ grade (67/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $2.41B). Among the 5-stock peer group, HGV leads on earnings multiple (34.3x) while OSW leads on capital efficiency (10.6% ROIC).
Per HGV's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001674168), Hilton Grand Vacations Inc. generated $4.51B in revenue (+1.1% YoY), $81.0M in net income, and $230.0M in free cash flow against $11.54B in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction.. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
HGV last traded at $35.71 (+0.51% on volume of 1,841,183 shares), positioning the stock -5.38% below its 50-day simple moving average ($37.74) and -19.93% below its 200-day simple moving average ($44.60). Across its 52-week range of $33.99 to $55.40, HGV sits at the 8.0% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 62.5 (BULLISH MOMENTUM) and an implied next-earnings move of ±7.7% ($32.96 to $38.46).
Why HGV Stock advanced +0.51% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash. Stretched risk/reward at 34x P/E (6% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.