Stock Ratings / Consumer Discretionary / HCMA / financials

CVEO (42) PUSA (39) BALY (24) MSC (42) ⌘ Pro Terminal →

HCM III Acquisition Corp. Class A Ordinary Share (HCMA) Revenue-to-Profit Sankey Flow & SEC XBRL Financials

$10.32 0.00% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot)

HCM III Acquisition Corp. Class A Ordinary Share (HCMA) carries a Roarable Rating of D+ (Sell) with 56/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE D+ • SELL / AVOID Cap $400.5M

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

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RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D+

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SEC

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Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D · Rk B-

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE-0.9% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for HCMA)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±1.8%

VISUAL REVENUE-TO-PROFIT SANKEY WATERFALL • FY 2025 (10-K)

How HCMA Turns Every Dollar of Sales Into Real Bottom-Line Profit

Free Cash Flow:$11.2M (0.3% FCF Margin)

Multi-Year SEC EDGAR XBRL Revenue, Net Profit & Free Cash Flow Trajectory

■ Revenue■ Net Profit■ Free Cash Flow

FY25

Rev $4.00B

Fiscal Year	Revenue	Gross Margin	Op Margin	Net Profit	Free Cash Flow	ROIC %
FY 2025	$4.00B	52%	0%	$0	$0	15%

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Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring HCMA)

✓Walkthrough of HCMA's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
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HCMA // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +1.67%⚡ TESTING RESISTANCE

2026-10-30O $10.31H $10.32L $10.31C $10.32VOL 353.5K

RES: $10.32SUP: $10.28SMA50: $10.30SMA200: $10.22

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

HCMA Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 HCMA Butterfly Map → + Track HCMA →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)

8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +6.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on HCMA today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for HCMA. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

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DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (HCMA)

Consumer Discretionary Rank #517 of 1011 ⚔️ CVEO vs HCMA Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Consumer Discretionary Peer Comparison (HCMA vs. CVEO, PUSA, BALY, MSC)

Industry: Hotels/Resorts (35 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, HCM III Acquisition Corp. Class A Ordinary Share (HCMA) ranks #517 by composite RQD confidence (56/100, grade D+) and #614 by equity capitalization ($400.5M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, HCMA leads on earnings valuation at N/A trailing P/E, while MSC leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 2.3% ROIC and — gross margin. HCMA currently leads its immediate peer cohort in composite quantitative strength at 56/100 (D+).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
HCMA ACTIVE HCM III Acquisition Corp. Class A Ordinary Share	D+	56/100	—	—	—	0.00%	$400.5M	Benchmark Subject
CVEO Civeo Corporation (Canada)	D-	42/100	—	23.7%	0.9%	+1.09%	$315.8M	/cveo-vs-hcma →
PUSA Powerus Corporation	D-	39/100	—	—	-22.8%	+0.56%	$305.6M	/pusa-vs-hcma →
BALY Bally's Corporation	E	24/100	—	—	-4.7%	+0.22%	$681.3M	/baly-vs-hcma →
MSC Studio City International Holdings Limited each representing four (Class A)	D-	42/100	—	—	2.3%	-0.63%	$165.4M	/msc-vs-hcma →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2025–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0002069856

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), HCM III Acquisition Corp. Class A Ordinary Share (HCMA) reported GAAP revenue of $0 , GAAP net income of $0, operating cash flow of $0, and free cash flow of $0 . On the balance sheet, HCMA closed FY2025 with $258.4M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: N/A).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2025-12-31	$0	$0	—	—	$258.4M	—

3. HCMA Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is HCMA stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-01, HCM III Acquisition Corp. Class A Ordinary Share (NASDAQ: HCMA) is rated D+ (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 56/100 at a spot price of $10.32 (0.00% 1D, market cap $400.5M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 10/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 9/20, Executive Insider Alignment 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 15/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 9/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, HCMA ranks #517 in composite RQD confidence.

How does HCMA compare to CVEO and PUSA in the Consumer Discretionary sector?

Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Hotels/Resorts), HCMA carries a Roarable D+ (56/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of —. By comparison, CVEO (Civeo Corporation (Canada)) holds a D- grade (42/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC 0.9%, cap $315.8M) and PUSA (Powerus Corporation) posts a D- grade (39/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -22.8%, cap $305.6M). Among the 5-stock peer group, HCMA leads on earnings multiple (N/A) while MSC leads on capital efficiency (2.3% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for HCMA?

Per HCMA's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0002069856), HCM III Acquisition Corp. Class A Ordinary Share generated $0 in revenue, $0 in net income, and $0 in free cash flow against $258.4M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is HCMA trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

HCMA last traded at $10.32 (0.00% on volume of 61 shares), positioning the stock +0.19% above its 50-day simple moving average ($10.30) and +0.98% above its 200-day simple moving average ($10.22). Across its 52-week range of $10.03 to $10.33, HCMA sits at the 96.7% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 63.5 (BULLISH MOMENTUM) and an implied next-earnings move of ±1.8% ($10.13 to $10.51).