MARKET WIREReuters • 2h ago
Iran's IRGC Navy says two tankers 'exploded' after hitting mines in Hormuz - ReutersIran's IRGC Navy says two tankers 'exploded' after hitting mines in Hormuz Reuters
Why HAWK Stock surged +7.08% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
$14.21 +7.08% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot)
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $14.36
HawkEye 360 Inc. (HAWK) carries a Roarable Rating of C- (Hold) with 60/100 RQD Confidence. The composite score sits in the neutral Hold band (59–69), meaning current holders don’t need to panic-sell while prospective buyers can wait for a move into the 70+ Buy zone.
ROARABLE C- • HOLD / WATCH
Cap $1.39B
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $14.36 (+1.08%)🧬 Disciplined Float (-0.40% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 10/20 (D) • 1% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 60/100 (C-) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+0.4% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 53.5% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).
Audit Bucket Track Record →RQD QUANT TACHOMETERHOLD / WATCH • C-
JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)
Cash
SEC
Whale
Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer
5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D+ · Rk B-
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE+0.9% Base Target
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for HAWK)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±12.2%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (60/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY HAWK SCORES 60/100 (C-) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+15/20 pts (25% of score)
FRED Regime × Technicals: 12% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 46.8 (NEUTRAL RANGE)
▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Whale & Options Positioning+13/20 pts (22% of score)
20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (±12.2% realized swing band)
▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution9/20 pts (-11 pt drag)
Disciplined Float (-0.40% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 11 pts from alignment
📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)Grade C-$13.70-9.2% Next Q
52
Q2 (-2Q)Grade C$12.44-1.3% Next Q
55
Q3 (-1Q)Grade C$12.28+15.7% Next Q
57
CurrentGrade C-$14.21+0.4% Hist 90D α
60
Trajectory: C- (52) → C- (60)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER
⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the HAWK Bull Thesis Could Fail
Even with a 60/100 (C-) score, HAWK faces multiple-compression risk if current valuation multiples re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.
⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1
Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.
⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2
Dilution & Margin Drag: Disciplined Float (-0.40% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 49.5% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.
⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3
Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($15.62) or 200D SMA ($20.86) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($14.34) toward Bear Floor ($11.19).
🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $HAWK• $4.8M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “HAWK Beats Next Quarterly Revenue & EPS Consensus + Hyperscaler AI CapEx Holds Record Pace”
AUTOMATED RQD QUANT DESK MOVER BRIEFINGFull Market News Desk →
Why HAWK Stock surged +7.08% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
HawkEye 360 Inc. (HAWK) surged +7.08% to $14.21, trading at 12% of its 52-week range ($11.25 – $35.73). Solid steady margins (steady margins), mixed timing at current multiples—hold if owned, no rush to chase.
- ▸Technical Tape: Trading at 12% of its 52-week range ($11.25 – $35.73) with RSI-14 at 46.8 (NEUTRAL RANGE).
- ▸Volatility Profile: Historical 20-day realized swing band of ±12.2% around $14.21 (no active unusual options sweep snapshot on file).
- ▸Fundamental Anchor: Roarable C- (Hold) backed by 52% gross margin and $39.0M annual free cash flow.
Live HAWK Headlines & Catalysts
MARKET WIRECNBC • 4h ago
Here are 3 big things we're watching in the stock market in the week aheadThe market could use a few victories in the days ahead, which will be filled with more earnings, an election, and jobs data.
MARKET WIRECNBC • 4h ago
Democratic Rep. Stevens endorses Rogers over El-Sayed in Michigan Senate electionHaley Stevens had lost the Democratic nomination for Senate in Michigan to Abdul El-Sayed earlier this year.
RISK WATCHReuters • 6h ago
Israeli strikes kill eight people in Gaza - medics say - ReutersIsraeli strikes kill eight people in Gaza - medics say Reuters
MARKET WIREReuters • 7h ago
Russia's FSB says minor detained over park attack threat after US tip-off - ReutersRussia's FSB says minor detained over park attack threat after US tip-off Reuters
MARKET WIREReuters • 8h ago
Iran, Qatari mediators hold third day of talks to end US-Iran war - ReutersIran, Qatari mediators hold third day of talks to end US-Iran war Reuters
CATALYSTReuters • 8h ago
Qatar surges, bucking Gulf market slide on Iran war concerns - ReutersQatar surges, bucking Gulf market slide on Iran war concerns Reuters
MARKET WIREReuters • 9h ago
OPEC+ keeps December oil output targets steady ahead of tougher call for 2027 - ReutersOPEC+ keeps December oil output targets steady ahead of tougher call for 2027 Reuters
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Quantitative Research Desk
Scheduled RQD Strong Buys & Whale Accumulation Briefing (HAWK Tape Review)
- ✓Breakdown of the highest-scoring RQD Green-Light breakouts across our 5,200+ rated universe
- ✓Forensic Red-Light accounting & dilution traps to review on your watchlist
- ✓Includes downloadable .ics calendar invite & nightly RQD rating-change email alerts
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
Want Custom AI PineScript / Python Indicators & Priority Rating-Change Alerts?
HAWK // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -58.21%⚡ TESTING RESISTANCE
2026-10-30O $13.82H $14.21L $13.34C $14.21VOL 1.82M
RES: $16.08SUP: $10.80SMA50: $15.62SMA200: $20.86
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK
HAWK Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure
Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)
Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).
Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth
vs. +6.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).
Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)
No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on HAWK today. View full Setup Ledger →
🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections
Open Graph →
No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for HAWK. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.
AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for HAWK today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK
📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (HAWK)
Technology Rank #247 of 714
⚔️ WRD vs HAWK Full Matrix →
1. Head-to-Head Technology Peer Comparison (HAWK vs. WRD, INOD, GDRX, MGRT)
Industry: EDP Services (163 Tracked Issuers)Across 714 tracked Technology securities in the Roarable RQD universe, HawkEye 360 Inc. (HAWK) ranks #247 by composite RQD confidence (60/100, grade C-) and #329 by equity capitalization ($1.39B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, GDRX leads on earnings valuation at 39.7x trailing P/E, while INOD leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 39.7% ROIC and 39.5% gross margin. INOD currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 75/100 (B) compared with HAWK at 60/100 (C-).
| Ticker / Company | Roarable Grade | RQD Score | Trailing P/E | Gross Margin | ROIC | 1D Change | Market Cap | Head-to-Head |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| HAWK
ACTIVE
HawkEye 360 Inc. | C- | 60/100 | — | — | — | +7.08% | $1.39B | Benchmark Subject |
| WRD WeRide Inc. | D | 49/100 | — | — | — | -3.54% | $1.46B | /wrd-vs-hawk → |
| INOD Innodata Inc. | B | 75/100 | 49.3x | 39.5% | 39.7% | -3.11% | $1.59B | /inod-vs-hawk → |
| GDRX GoodRx Holdings Inc. (Class A) | D+ | 52/100 | 39.7x | — | 8.3% | +2.02% | $1.21B | /gdrx-vs-hawk → |
| MGRT Mega Fortune Company Limited | D | 48/100 | — | 50.7% | — | +0.34% | $1.65B | /mgrt-vs-hawk → |
2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2025–FY2025)
SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001750704In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), HawkEye 360 Inc. (HAWK) reported GAAP revenue of $0 , GAAP net income of $0, operating cash flow of $0, and free cash flow of $0 . On the balance sheet, HAWK closed FY2025 with $489.9M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: N/A).
| Fiscal Period | Filing Date | Revenue | Net Income | Operating Cash Flow | Free Cash Flow | Total Assets | Total Debt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2025 (FY) | 2025-12-31 | $0 | $0 | — | — | $489.9M | — |
3. HAWK Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)
✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLEDIs HAWK stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
As of 2026-11-01, HawkEye 360 Inc. (NYSE: HAWK) is rated C- (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 60/100 at a spot price of $14.21 (+7.08% 1D, market cap $1.39B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 10/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 13/20, Executive Insider Alignment 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 15/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 9/20. Across 714 tracked Technology issuers, HAWK ranks #247 in composite RQD confidence.
How does HAWK compare to WRD and INOD in the Technology sector?
Within the Technology sector (EDP Services), HAWK carries a Roarable C- (60/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of —. By comparison, WRD (WeRide Inc.) holds a D grade (49/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $1.46B) and INOD (Innodata Inc.) posts a B grade (75/100 RQD, P/E 49.3x, ROIC 39.7%, cap $1.59B). Among the 5-stock peer group, GDRX leads on earnings multiple (39.7x) while INOD leads on capital efficiency (39.7% ROIC).
What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for HAWK?
Per HAWK's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001750704), HawkEye 360 Inc. generated $0 in revenue, $0 in net income, and $0 in free cash flow against $489.9M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Technology with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
Where is HAWK trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?
HAWK last traded at $14.21 (+7.08% on volume of 2,513,787 shares), positioning the stock -9.03% below its 50-day simple moving average ($15.62) and -31.88% below its 200-day simple moving average ($20.86). Across its 52-week range of $11.25 to $35.73, HAWK sits at the 12.1% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 46.8 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±12.2% ($12.48 to $15.94).
HAWK Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index
100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FREDWhy is HAWK stock moving today?
Why HAWK Stock surged +7.08% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash. Solid steady margins (steady margins), mixed timing at current multiples—hold if owned, no rush to chase.