HawkEye 360 Inc. (HAWK) Insider, 13F Hedge Fund & Politician Buy/Sell Thermometer

$14.21 +7.08% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $14.36

HawkEye 360 Inc. (HAWK) carries a Roarable Rating of C- (Hold) with 60/100 RQD Confidence. The composite score sits in the neutral Hold band (59–69), meaning current holders don’t need to panic-sell while prospective buyers can wait for a move into the 70+ Buy zone.

ROARABLE C- • HOLD / WATCH Cap $1.39B
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $14.36 (+1.08%)🧬 Disciplined Float (-0.40% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 10/20 (D) • 1% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 60/100 (C-) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+0.4% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 53.5% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERHOLD / WATCH • C-
025507510060
JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D+ · Rk B-
Cash (10)Whales (13)SEC (13)Macro (15)CEO (9)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE+0.9% Base Target
$38 Bull$14 Base$11 Bear
📬 FREE HAWK RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for HAWK)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±12.2%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (60/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY HAWK SCORES 60/100 (C-) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+15/20 pts (25% of score)

FRED Regime × Technicals: 12% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 46.8 (NEUTRAL RANGE)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Whale & Options Positioning+13/20 pts (22% of score)

20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (±12.2% realized swing band)

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution9/20 pts (-11 pt drag)

Disciplined Float (-0.40% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 11 pts from alignment

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
52
Grade C-$13.70-9.2% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
55
Grade C$12.44-1.3% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
57
Grade C$12.28+15.7% Next Q
Current
60
Grade C-$14.21+0.4% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: C- (52) → C- (60)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the HAWK Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 60/100 (C-) score, HAWK faces multiple-compression risk if current valuation multiples re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Disciplined Float (-0.40% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 49.5% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($15.62) or 200D SMA ($20.86) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($14.34) toward Bear Floor ($11.19).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $HAWK• $4.8M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “HAWK Beats Next Quarterly Revenue & EPS Consensus + Hyperscaler AI CapEx Holds Record Pace”
SEC FORM 4 × 13F HEDGE FUNDS × CONGRESSIONAL STOCK ACT

HAWK Smart-Money Thermometer: BALANCED INSTITUTIONAL POSITIONING

Explore All 13F & Congress Whales →
▲ Disclosed Buys: 0 ($0)▼ Disclosed Sales: 0 ($0)

Wide-Open SEC Form 4, 13F & Congressional Disclosure Ledger (HAWK)

No recent open-market Form 4 cluster sales or emergency dumps flagged on HAWK. Visit the Global 13F & Congressional Whale Ledger for cross-market smart-money filings.

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Quantitative Research Desk

Scheduled RQD Strong Buys & Whale Accumulation Briefing (HAWK Tape Review)

  • ✓Breakdown of the highest-scoring RQD Green-Light breakouts across our 5,200+ rated universe
  • ✓Forensic Red-Light accounting & dilution traps to review on your watchlist
  • ✓Includes downloadable .ics calendar invite & nightly RQD rating-change email alerts
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
Want Custom AI PineScript / Python Indicators & Priority Rating-Change Alerts?
HAWK // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -58.21%⚡ TESTING RESISTANCE
2026-10-30O $13.82H $14.21L $13.34C $14.21VOL 1.82M
RES: $16.08SUP: $10.80SMA50: $15.62SMA200: $20.86
$37.44$30.34$23.25$16.15$9.05RES $16.08SUP $10.80$14.212026-05-072026-06-222026-08-052026-09-172026-10-30
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

HAWK Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +6.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on HAWK today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for HAWK. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for HAWK today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (HAWK)

Technology Rank #247 of 714 ⚔️ WRD vs HAWK Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Technology Peer Comparison (HAWK vs. WRD, INOD, GDRX, MGRT)

Industry: EDP Services (163 Tracked Issuers)

Across 714 tracked Technology securities in the Roarable RQD universe, HawkEye 360 Inc. (HAWK) ranks #247 by composite RQD confidence (60/100, grade C-) and #329 by equity capitalization ($1.39B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, GDRX leads on earnings valuation at 39.7x trailing P/E, while INOD leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 39.7% ROIC and 39.5% gross margin. INOD currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 75/100 (B) compared with HAWK at 60/100 (C-).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
HAWK ACTIVE
HawkEye 360 Inc.
C- 60/100 — — — +7.08% $1.39B Benchmark Subject
WRD
WeRide Inc.
D 49/100 — — — -3.54% $1.46B /wrd-vs-hawk →
INOD
Innodata Inc.
B 75/100 49.3x 39.5% 39.7% -3.11% $1.59B /inod-vs-hawk →
GDRX
GoodRx Holdings Inc. (Class A)
D+ 52/100 39.7x — 8.3% +2.02% $1.21B /gdrx-vs-hawk →
MGRT
Mega Fortune Company Limited
D 48/100 — 50.7% — +0.34% $1.65B /mgrt-vs-hawk →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2025–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001750704

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), HawkEye 360 Inc. (HAWK) reported GAAP revenue of $0 , GAAP net income of $0, operating cash flow of $0, and free cash flow of $0 . On the balance sheet, HAWK closed FY2025 with $489.9M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: N/A).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $0 $0 — — $489.9M —

3. HAWK Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is HAWK stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-01, HawkEye 360 Inc. (NYSE: HAWK) is rated C- (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 60/100 at a spot price of $14.21 (+7.08% 1D, market cap $1.39B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 10/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 13/20, Executive Insider Alignment 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 15/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 9/20. Across 714 tracked Technology issuers, HAWK ranks #247 in composite RQD confidence.

How does HAWK compare to WRD and INOD in the Technology sector?

Within the Technology sector (EDP Services), HAWK carries a Roarable C- (60/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of —. By comparison, WRD (WeRide Inc.) holds a D grade (49/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $1.46B) and INOD (Innodata Inc.) posts a B grade (75/100 RQD, P/E 49.3x, ROIC 39.7%, cap $1.59B). Among the 5-stock peer group, GDRX leads on earnings multiple (39.7x) while INOD leads on capital efficiency (39.7% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for HAWK?

Per HAWK's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001750704), HawkEye 360 Inc. generated $0 in revenue, $0 in net income, and $0 in free cash flow against $489.9M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Technology with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is HAWK trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

HAWK last traded at $14.21 (+7.08% on volume of 2,513,787 shares), positioning the stock -9.03% below its 50-day simple moving average ($15.62) and -31.88% below its 200-day simple moving average ($20.86). Across its 52-week range of $11.25 to $35.73, HAWK sits at the 12.1% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 46.8 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±12.2% ($12.48 to $15.94).

HAWK Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

Are HAWK insiders and hedge funds buying or selling?

Roarable's SEC Form 4 and 13F Whale Thermometer currently classifies HAWK leadership and institutional positioning as: BALANCED INSTITUTIONAL POSITIONING.

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