Stock Ratings / Technology / HAWK / earnings

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HawkEye 360 Inc. (HAWK) Next Earnings Date & Expected ±12.2% Move

$14.21 +7.08% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $14.36

HawkEye 360 Inc. (HAWK) carries a Roarable Rating of C- (Hold) with 60/100 RQD Confidence. The composite score sits in the neutral Hold band (59–69), meaning current holders don’t need to panic-sell while prospective buyers can wait for a move into the 70+ Buy zone.

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 60/100 (C-) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+0.4% avg 90D alpha vs SPY) →

ROARABLE C- • HOLD / WATCH Cap $1.39B

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

⚡ INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW • $0 FREE TIER Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on HAWK Below — or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude

🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is HAWK stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

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As of 2026-11-01, HawkEye 360 Inc. (NYSE: HAWK) is rated C- (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 60/100 at a spot price of $14.21 (+7.08% 1D, market cap $1.39B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 10/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 13/20, Executive Insider Alignment 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 15/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 9/20. Across 714 tracked Technology issuers, HAWK ranks #247 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does HAWK compare to WRD and INOD in the Technology sector?

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Within the Technology sector (EDP Services), HAWK carries a Roarable C- (60/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of —. By comparison, WRD (WeRide Inc.) holds a D grade (49/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $1.46B) and INOD (Innodata Inc.) posts a B grade (75/100 RQD, P/E 49.3x, ROIC 39.7%, cap $1.59B). Among the 5-stock peer group, GDRX leads on earnings multiple (39.7x) while INOD leads on capital efficiency (39.7% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for HAWK?

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Per HAWK's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001750704), HawkEye 360 Inc. generated $0 in revenue, $0 in net income, and $0 in free cash flow against $489.9M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Technology with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $14.36 (+1.08%)🧬 Disciplined Float (-0.40% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 10/20 (D) • 1% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 60/100 (C-) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+0.4% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 53.5% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERHOLD / WATCH • C-

JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D+ · Rk B-

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE+0.9% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for HAWK)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±12.2%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (60/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY HAWK SCORES 60/100 (C-) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+15/20 pts (25% of score)

FRED Regime × Technicals: 12% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 46.8 (NEUTRAL RANGE)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Whale & Options Positioning+13/20 pts (22% of score)

20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (±12.2% realized swing band)

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution9/20 pts (-11 pt drag)

Disciplined Float (-0.40% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 11 pts from alignment

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade C-$13.70-9.2% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade C$12.44-1.3% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade C$12.28+15.7% Next Q

Current

Grade C-$14.21+0.4% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: C- (52) → C- (60)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the HAWK Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 60/100 (C-) score, HAWK faces multiple-compression risk if current valuation multiples re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Disciplined Float (-0.40% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 49.5% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($15.62) or 200D SMA ($20.86) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($14.34) toward Bear Floor ($11.19).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $HAWK• $4.8M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “HAWK Beats Next Quarterly Revenue & EPS Consensus + Hyperscaler AI CapEx Holds Record Pace”

YES 60%NO 40%Trade / Inspect Odds →

NEXT EST. WINDOW: Dec 30, 2026 (~58 DAYS)

Historical OHLCV Volatility ±12.2% Swing Band

±$1.73 Expected Swing

MODEL EARNINGS SETUP GAUGE

HAWK Quantitative Pre-Earnings Setup: 60/100

Trailing EPS: $4.25 • YoY Revenue Growth: 12.4%

Model Bullish Setup (60/100)Model Risk Weight (40/100)

Derived deterministically from RQD cash-flow quality, SEC accrual safety, and institutional flow (not a community poll).

LOG YOUR PERSONAL PRE-EARNINGS STANCE (SAVED LOCALLY IN BROWSER):

Recent SEC Reported Revenue, Net Profit & Diluted EPS Cadence

Period	Filed	Revenue	Net Profit	Free Cash Flow	Gross Margin
FY 2025	2025-12-31	$0	$0	$0	52%

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher + Options & Swing Structure Desk

Whale Flow & Momentum Playbook: Evaluating HAWK & AI Leaders Without Chasing Tops

✓Institutional whale strikes & implied earnings move audit on HAWK
✓How disciplined traders manage risk using pre-published trigger & invalidation levels
✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on tracked leaders

RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED

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HAWK // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -58.21%⚡ TESTING RESISTANCE

2026-10-30O $13.82H $14.21L $13.34C $14.21VOL 1.82M

RES: $16.08SUP: $10.80SMA50: $15.62SMA200: $20.86

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

HAWK Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 HAWK Butterfly Map → + Track HAWK →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)

8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +6.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on HAWK today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for HAWK. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for HAWK today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (HAWK)

Technology Rank #247 of 714 ⚔️ WRD vs HAWK Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Technology Peer Comparison (HAWK vs. WRD, INOD, GDRX, MGRT)

Industry: EDP Services (163 Tracked Issuers)

Across 714 tracked Technology securities in the Roarable RQD universe, HawkEye 360 Inc. (HAWK) ranks #247 by composite RQD confidence (60/100, grade C-) and #329 by equity capitalization ($1.39B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, GDRX leads on earnings valuation at 39.7x trailing P/E, while INOD leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 39.7% ROIC and 39.5% gross margin. INOD currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 75/100 (B) compared with HAWK at 60/100 (C-).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
HAWK ACTIVE HawkEye 360 Inc.	C-	60/100	—	—	—	+7.08%	$1.39B	Benchmark Subject
WRD WeRide Inc.	D	49/100	—	—	—	-3.54%	$1.46B	/wrd-vs-hawk →
INOD Innodata Inc.	B	75/100	49.3x	39.5%	39.7%	-3.11%	$1.59B	/inod-vs-hawk →
GDRX GoodRx Holdings Inc. (Class A)	D+	52/100	39.7x	—	8.3%	+2.02%	$1.21B	/gdrx-vs-hawk →
MGRT Mega Fortune Company Limited	D	48/100	—	50.7%	—	+0.34%	$1.65B	/mgrt-vs-hawk →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2025–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001750704

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), HawkEye 360 Inc. (HAWK) reported GAAP revenue of $0 , GAAP net income of $0, operating cash flow of $0, and free cash flow of $0 . On the balance sheet, HAWK closed FY2025 with $489.9M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: N/A).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2025-12-31	$0	$0	—	—	$489.9M	—

3. HAWK Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is HAWK stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

How does HAWK compare to WRD and INOD in the Technology sector?

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for HAWK?

Where is HAWK trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

HAWK last traded at $14.21 (+7.08% on volume of 2,513,787 shares), positioning the stock -9.03% below its 50-day simple moving average ($15.62) and -31.88% below its 200-day simple moving average ($20.86). Across its 52-week range of $11.25 to $35.73, HAWK sits at the 12.1% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 46.8 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±12.2% ($12.48 to $15.94).

HAWK Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

When is HAWK's next earnings date?

Based on SEC filing cadence, HawkEye 360 Inc. (HAWK)'s next quarterly reporting window is estimated around Dec 30, 2026.

How much is HAWK stock expected to move on earnings?

Volatility modeling currently projects a ±12.2% event move for HAWK, spanning a range between $12.48 and $15.94.

Direct Sub-Reports: HAWK RQD Cockpit HAWK 12M Forecast HAWK Earnings & Move HAWK Dividends & DRIP HAWK Insiders & 13F HAWK Whale Options HAWK Profit Sankey HAWK News & Why