MARKET WIRECNBC • 2h ago
Here are 3 big things we're watching in the stock market in the week aheadThe market could use a few victories in the days ahead, which will be filled with more earnings, an election, and jobs data.
Why GTY Stock advanced +1.89% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
$28.07 +1.89% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot)
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $28.23
Getty Realty Corporation (GTY) earns a Roarable Rating of B (Buy) with 74/100 RQD Confidence. High-quality cash engine (steady margins, 9% return on capital) with steady institutional support. The company’s underlying cash engine and institutional positioning keep the composite score in the Green Buy zone.
ROARABLE B • BUY
Cap $1.88B
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $28.23 (+0.58%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-2.36% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 13/20 (C) • 57.5% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 74/100 (B) historically ranked in the Top 12% of excess returns over the next 90 days (+7.3% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 69.4% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record →RQD QUANT TACHOMETERBUY • B
2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bullish
Cash
SEC
Whale
Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer
5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw C+ · Rk A-
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE+7.2% Base Target
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for GTY)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±4.4%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (74/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY GTY SCORES 74/100 (B) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+18/20 pts (24% of score)
FRED Regime × Technicals: 12% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 43.5 (NEUTRAL RANGE)
▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution+16/20 pts (22% of score)
SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 80% Net Buy • Cannibal Buyback (-2.36% YoY Shares)
▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning12/20 pts (-8 pt drag)
Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-8 pts vs max)
📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)Grade B-$27.86+1.9% Next Q
66
Q2 (-2Q)Grade B-$28.38-1.3% Next Q
69
Q3 (-1Q)Grade B$28.01+0.2% Next Q
71
CurrentGrade B$28.07+7.3% Hist 90D α
74
Trajectory: B- (66) → B (74)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER
⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the GTY Bull Thesis Could Fail
Even with a 74/100 (B) score, GTY faces multiple-compression risk if 23.8x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.
⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1
Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.
⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2
Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-2.36% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 49.5% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.
⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3
Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($29.81) or 200D SMA ($32.14) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($30.09) toward Bear Floor ($23.02).
🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $GTY• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “GTY Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
AUTOMATED RQD QUANT DESK MOVER BRIEFINGFull Market News Desk →
Why GTY Stock advanced +1.89% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
Getty Realty Corporation (GTY) advanced +1.89% to $28.07, trading at 12% of its 52-week range ($26.91 – $36.83). High-quality cash engine (steady margins, 9% return on capital) with steady institutional support.
- ▸Technical Tape: Trading at 12% of its 52-week range ($26.91 – $36.83) with RSI-14 at 43.5 (NEUTRAL RANGE).
- ▸Volatility Profile: Historical 20-day realized swing band of ±4.4% around $28.07 (no active unusual options sweep snapshot on file).
- ▸Fundamental Anchor: Roarable B (Buy) backed by 52% gross margin and $127.4M annual free cash flow.
Live GTY Headlines & Catalysts
MARKET WIRECNBC • 3h ago
Democratic Rep. Stevens endorses Rogers over El-Sayed in Michigan Senate electionHaley Stevens had lost the Democratic nomination for Senate in Michigan to Abdul El-Sayed earlier this year.
RISK WATCHReuters • 4h ago
Israeli strikes kill eight people in Gaza - medics say - ReutersIsraeli strikes kill eight people in Gaza - medics say Reuters
MARKET WIREReuters • 5h ago
Russia's FSB says minor detained over park attack threat after US tip-off - ReutersRussia's FSB says minor detained over park attack threat after US tip-off Reuters
MARKET WIREReuters • 6h ago
Iran, Qatari mediators hold third day of talks to end US-Iran war - ReutersIran, Qatari mediators hold third day of talks to end US-Iran war Reuters
CATALYSTReuters • 7h ago
Qatar surges, bucking Gulf market slide on Iran war concerns - ReutersQatar surges, bucking Gulf market slide on Iran war concerns Reuters
MARKET WIREReuters • 7h ago
OPEC+ keeps December oil output targets steady ahead of tougher call for 2027 - ReutersOPEC+ keeps December oil output targets steady ahead of tougher call for 2027 Reuters
MARKET WIREReuters • 7h ago
German ministers pledge tough action after rioters damage stores in Frankfurt - ReutersGerman ministers pledge tough action after rioters damage stores in Frankfurt Reuters
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Quantitative Research Desk
Scheduled RQD Strong Buys & Whale Accumulation Briefing (GTY Tape Review)
- ✓Breakdown of the highest-scoring RQD Green-Light breakouts across our 5,200+ rated universe
- ✓Forensic Red-Light accounting & dilution traps to review on your watchlist
- ✓Includes downloadable .ics calendar invite & nightly RQD rating-change email alerts
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
Want Custom AI PineScript / Python Indicators & Priority Rating-Change Alerts?
GTY // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -15.25%📐 HORIZONTAL RANGE
2026-10-30O $28.26H $28.30L $27.89C $28.07VOL 476.8K
RES: $33.34SUP: $26.51SMA50: $29.81SMA200: $32.14
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK
GTY Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure
Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)
Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).
Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
17.6%/yr Implied 5Y Growth
vs. +9.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).
Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)
No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on GTY today. View full Setup Ledger →
🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections
Open Graph →
No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for GTY. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.
AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for GTY today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK
📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (GTY)
Financials Rank #57 of 1096
⚔️ OPEN vs GTY Full Matrix →
1. Head-to-Head Financials Peer Comparison (GTY vs. OPEN, NMRK, BXDC, EFC)
Industry: Real Estate (54 Tracked Issuers)Across 1096 tracked Financials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Getty Realty Corporation (GTY) ranks #57 by composite RQD confidence (74/100, grade B) and #435 by equity capitalization ($1.88B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, EFC leads on earnings valuation at 10.1x trailing P/E, while NMRK leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 9.7% ROIC and — gross margin. GTY currently leads its immediate peer cohort in composite quantitative strength at 74/100 (B).
| Ticker / Company | Roarable Grade | RQD Score | Trailing P/E | Gross Margin | ROIC | 1D Change | Market Cap | Head-to-Head |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| GTY
ACTIVE
Getty Realty Corporation | B | 74/100 | 23.8x | — | 9.4% | +1.89% | $1.88B | Benchmark Subject |
| OPEN Opendoor Technologies Inc | D | 44/100 | — | — | -35.0% | -0.52% | $1.85B | /open-vs-gty → |
| NMRK Newmark Group Inc. (Class A) | C | 64/100 | 16.3x | — | 9.7% | -5.64% | $2.06B | /nmrk-vs-gty → |
| BXDC Blackstone Digital Infrastructure Trust Inc. | C | 62/100 | — | — | — | +0.37% | $1.63B | /bxdc-vs-gty → |
| EFC Ellington Financial Inc. | D | 51/100 | 10.1x | — | 8.2% | +0.77% | $1.52B | /efc-vs-gty → |
2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)
SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001052752In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Getty Realty Corporation (GTY) reported GAAP revenue of $221.7M (+9.0% vs. FY2024 revenue of $203.4M , and +19.3% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $79.2M, operating cash flow of $127.4M, and free cash flow of $127.4M (-2.3% YoY). On the balance sheet, GTY closed FY2025 with $2.17B in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 7/9).
| Fiscal Period | Filing Date | Revenue | Net Income | Operating Cash Flow | Free Cash Flow | Total Assets | Total Debt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2025 (FY) | 2025-12-31 | $221.7M | $79.2M | $127.4M | $127.4M | $2.17B | — |
| FY2024 (FY) | 2024-12-31 | $203.4M | $71.1M | $130.5M | $130.5M | $1.97B | — |
| FY2023 (FY) | 2023-12-31 | $185.8M | $60.2M | $105.3M | $105.3M | — | — |
3. GTY Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)
✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLEDIs GTY stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
As of 2026-11-01, Getty Realty Corporation (NYSE: GTY) is rated B (Buy / BUY) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 74/100 at a spot price of $28.07 (+1.89% 1D, market cap $1.88B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 13/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 12/20, Executive Insider Alignment 15/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 18/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 16/20. Across 1096 tracked Financials issuers, GTY ranks #57 in composite RQD confidence.
How does GTY compare to OPEN and NMRK in the Financials sector?
Within the Financials sector (Real Estate), GTY carries a Roarable B (74/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 23.8x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 9.4%. By comparison, OPEN (Opendoor Technologies Inc) holds a D grade (44/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $1.85B) and NMRK (Newmark Group Inc. (Class A)) posts a C grade (64/100 RQD, P/E 16.3x, ROIC 9.7%, cap $2.06B). Among the 5-stock peer group, EFC leads on earnings multiple (10.1x) while NMRK leads on capital efficiency (9.7% ROIC).
What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for GTY?
Per GTY's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001052752), Getty Realty Corporation generated $221.7M in revenue (+9.0% YoY), $79.2M in net income, and $127.4M in free cash flow against $2.17B in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction.. Primary risk factors monitored: Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
Where is GTY trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?
GTY last traded at $28.07 (+1.89% on volume of 378,539 shares), positioning the stock -5.84% below its 50-day simple moving average ($29.81) and -12.66% below its 200-day simple moving average ($32.14). Across its 52-week range of $26.91 to $36.83, GTY sits at the 11.7% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 43.5 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±4.4% ($26.83 to $29.31).
GTY Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index
100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FREDWhy is GTY stock moving today?
Why GTY Stock advanced +1.89% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash. High-quality cash engine (steady margins, 9% return on capital) with steady institutional support.