Getty Realty Corporation (GTY) Next Earnings Date & Expected ±4.4% Move

$28.07 +1.89% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $28.23

Getty Realty Corporation (GTY) earns a Roarable Rating of B (Buy) with 74/100 RQD Confidence. High-quality cash engine (steady margins, 9% return on capital) with steady institutional support. The company’s underlying cash engine and institutional positioning keep the composite score in the Green Buy zone.

ROARABLE B • BUY Cap $1.88B
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $28.23 (+0.58%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-2.36% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 13/20 (C) • 57.5% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 74/100 (B) historically ranked in the Top 12% of excess returns over the next 90 days (+7.3% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 69.4% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERBUY • B
025507510074
2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bullish
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw C+ · Rk A-
Cash (13)Whales (12)SEC (15)Macro (18)CEO (16)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE+7.2% Base Target
$39 Bull$30 Base$23 Bear
📬 FREE GTY RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for GTY)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±4.4%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (74/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY GTY SCORES 74/100 (B) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+18/20 pts (24% of score)

FRED Regime × Technicals: 12% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 43.5 (NEUTRAL RANGE)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution+16/20 pts (22% of score)

SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 80% Net Buy • Cannibal Buyback (-2.36% YoY Shares)

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning12/20 pts (-8 pt drag)

Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-8 pts vs max)

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
66
Grade B-$27.86+1.9% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
69
Grade B-$28.38-1.3% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
71
Grade B$28.01+0.2% Next Q
Current
74
Grade B$28.07+7.3% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: B- (66) → B (74)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the GTY Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 74/100 (B) score, GTY faces multiple-compression risk if 23.8x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-2.36% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 49.5% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($29.81) or 200D SMA ($32.14) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($30.09) toward Bear Floor ($23.02).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $GTY• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “GTY Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
NEXT EST. WINDOW: Dec 30, 2026 (~58 DAYS)

Historical OHLCV Volatility ±4.4% Swing Band

±$1.24 Expected Swing
$26.83 (-4.4%)Spot $28.07$29.31 (+4.4%)
MODEL EARNINGS SETUP GAUGE

GTY Quantitative Pre-Earnings Setup: 74/100

Trailing EPS: $1.18 • YoY Revenue Growth: 9%

Model Bullish Setup (74/100)Model Risk Weight (26/100)
Derived deterministically from RQD cash-flow quality, SEC accrual safety, and institutional flow (not a community poll).
LOG YOUR PERSONAL PRE-EARNINGS STANCE (SAVED LOCALLY IN BROWSER):

Recent SEC Reported Revenue, Net Profit & Diluted EPS Cadence

PeriodFiledRevenueNet ProfitFree Cash FlowGross Margin
FY 20252025-12-31$221.7M$79.2M$127.4M52%
FY 20242024-12-31$203.4M$71.1M$130.5M52%
FY 20232023-12-31$185.8M$60.2M$105.3M52%
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher + Options & Swing Structure Desk

Whale Flow & Momentum Playbook: Evaluating GTY & AI Leaders Without Chasing Tops

  • ✓Institutional whale strikes & implied earnings move audit on GTY
  • ✓How disciplined traders manage risk using pre-published trigger & invalidation levels
  • ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on tracked leaders
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
Want Custom AI PineScript / Python Indicators & Priority Rating-Change Alerts?
GTY // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -15.25%📐 HORIZONTAL RANGE
2026-10-30O $28.26H $28.30L $27.89C $28.07VOL 476.8K
RES: $33.34SUP: $26.51SMA50: $29.81SMA200: $32.14
$37.50$34.73$31.96$29.20$26.43RES $33.34SUP $26.51$28.072026-04-302026-06-152026-07-312026-09-162026-10-30
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

GTY Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
17.6%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +9.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on GTY today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for GTY. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for GTY today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (GTY)

Financials Rank #57 of 1096 ⚔️ OPEN vs GTY Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Financials Peer Comparison (GTY vs. OPEN, NMRK, BXDC, EFC)

Industry: Real Estate (54 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1096 tracked Financials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Getty Realty Corporation (GTY) ranks #57 by composite RQD confidence (74/100, grade B) and #435 by equity capitalization ($1.88B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, EFC leads on earnings valuation at 10.1x trailing P/E, while NMRK leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 9.7% ROIC and — gross margin. GTY currently leads its immediate peer cohort in composite quantitative strength at 74/100 (B).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
GTY ACTIVE
Getty Realty Corporation
B 74/100 23.8x — 9.4% +1.89% $1.88B Benchmark Subject
OPEN
Opendoor Technologies Inc
D 44/100 — — -35.0% -0.52% $1.85B /open-vs-gty →
NMRK
Newmark Group Inc. (Class A)
C 64/100 16.3x — 9.7% -5.64% $2.06B /nmrk-vs-gty →
BXDC
Blackstone Digital Infrastructure Trust Inc.
C 62/100 — — — +0.37% $1.63B /bxdc-vs-gty →
EFC
Ellington Financial Inc.
D 51/100 10.1x — 8.2% +0.77% $1.52B /efc-vs-gty →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001052752

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Getty Realty Corporation (GTY) reported GAAP revenue of $221.7M (+9.0% vs. FY2024 revenue of $203.4M , and +19.3% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $79.2M, operating cash flow of $127.4M, and free cash flow of $127.4M (-2.3% YoY). On the balance sheet, GTY closed FY2025 with $2.17B in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 7/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $221.7M $79.2M $127.4M $127.4M $2.17B —
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $203.4M $71.1M $130.5M $130.5M $1.97B —
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $185.8M $60.2M $105.3M $105.3M — —

3. GTY Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is GTY stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-01, Getty Realty Corporation (NYSE: GTY) is rated B (Buy / BUY) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 74/100 at a spot price of $28.07 (+1.89% 1D, market cap $1.88B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 13/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 12/20, Executive Insider Alignment 15/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 18/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 16/20. Across 1096 tracked Financials issuers, GTY ranks #57 in composite RQD confidence.

How does GTY compare to OPEN and NMRK in the Financials sector?

Within the Financials sector (Real Estate), GTY carries a Roarable B (74/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 23.8x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 9.4%. By comparison, OPEN (Opendoor Technologies Inc) holds a D grade (44/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $1.85B) and NMRK (Newmark Group Inc. (Class A)) posts a C grade (64/100 RQD, P/E 16.3x, ROIC 9.7%, cap $2.06B). Among the 5-stock peer group, EFC leads on earnings multiple (10.1x) while NMRK leads on capital efficiency (9.7% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for GTY?

Per GTY's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001052752), Getty Realty Corporation generated $221.7M in revenue (+9.0% YoY), $79.2M in net income, and $127.4M in free cash flow against $2.17B in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction.. Primary risk factors monitored: Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is GTY trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

GTY last traded at $28.07 (+1.89% on volume of 378,539 shares), positioning the stock -5.84% below its 50-day simple moving average ($29.81) and -12.66% below its 200-day simple moving average ($32.14). Across its 52-week range of $26.91 to $36.83, GTY sits at the 11.7% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 43.5 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±4.4% ($26.83 to $29.31).

GTY Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

When is GTY's next earnings date?

Based on SEC filing cadence, Getty Realty Corporation (GTY)'s next quarterly reporting window is estimated around Dec 30, 2026.

How much is GTY stock expected to move on earnings?

Volatility modeling currently projects a ±4.4% event move for GTY, spanning a range between $26.83 and $29.31.

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