Grindr Inc. (GRND) Options Positioning, Max Pain & Unusual Sweeps

$12.90 -0.54% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $12.92

Grindr Inc. (GRND) earns a Roarable Rating of B+ (Buy) with 76/100 RQD Confidence. High-quality cash engine (steady margins, 30% return on capital) with steady institutional support. The company’s underlying cash engine and institutional positioning keep the composite score in the Green Buy zone.

ROARABLE B+ • BUY Cap $2.24B
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $12.92 (+0.14%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-3.20% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 19/20 (A+) • 32% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 76/100 (B+) historically ranked in the Top 11% of excess returns over the next 90 days (+7.6% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 70.0% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERBUY • B+
025507510076
3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bullish
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw B+ · Rk B-
Cash (19)Whales (10)SEC (14)Macro (14)CEO (19)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE+8.1% Base Target
$19 Bull$14 Base$11 Bear
📬 FREE GRND RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for GRND)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±9.3%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (76/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY GRND SCORES 76/100 (B+) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+19/20 pts (25% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 32% FCF Margin ($140.8M FCF) & 52% Gross Margin

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution+19/20 pts (25% of score)

SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 86% Net Buy • Cannibal Buyback (-3.20% YoY Shares)

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning10/20 pts (-10 pt drag)

Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-10 pts vs max)

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
84
Grade A$15.03-6.3% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
81
Grade A-$14.09-2.9% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
79
Grade A-$13.68-5.7% Next Q
Current
76
Grade B+$12.90+7.6% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: A (84) → B+ (76)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the GRND Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 76/100 (B+) score, GRND faces multiple-compression risk if 23.7x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-3.20% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 49.5% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($14.88) or 200D SMA ($13.63) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($13.94) toward Bear Floor ($10.58).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $GRND• $4.8M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “GRND Beats Next Quarterly Revenue & EPS Consensus + Hyperscaler AI CapEx Holds Record Pace”
CALL VS. PUT WHALE SHARE
— (No Active Options Snapshot)
Put/Call Ratio: — (No Active Options Snapshot)
MAX-PAIN EXPIRATION MAGNET
— (No Active Options Snapshot)
No active options chain max-pain snapshot on file
HISTORICAL 20D VOLATILITY SWING
±9.3%
Derived from 20D OHLCV bars (No Active Options Snapshot)

Active Strike Call vs. Put Concentration Ladder (GRND)

— (No Active Options Snapshot) — No unusual CBOE strike concentration anomalies recorded in the current database snapshot for GRND.

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ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher + Options & Swing Structure Desk

Whale Flow & Momentum Playbook: Evaluating GRND & AI Leaders Without Chasing Tops

  • ✓Institutional whale strikes & implied earnings move audit on GRND
  • ✓How disciplined traders manage risk using pre-published trigger & invalidation levels
  • ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on tracked leaders
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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GRND // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -3.52%🛡️ HOLDING TREND SUPPORT
2026-10-30O $12.92H $12.97L $12.56C $12.90VOL 1.30M
RES: $15.29SUP: $12.27SMA50: $14.88SMA200: $13.63
$19.07$16.70$14.32$11.94$9.56RES $15.29SUP $12.27$12.902026-04-302026-06-152026-07-312026-09-162026-10-30
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

GRND Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
17.5%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +27.6% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on GRND today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for GRND. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for GRND today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (GRND)

Technology Rank #38 of 714 ⚔️ DV vs GRND Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Technology Peer Comparison (GRND vs. DV, CSQR, PPLI, RUM)

Industry: Computer Software: Programming Data Processing (72 Tracked Issuers)

Across 714 tracked Technology securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Grindr Inc. (GRND) ranks #38 by composite RQD confidence (76/100, grade B+) and #283 by equity capitalization ($2.24B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, GRND leads on earnings valuation at 23.7x trailing P/E, while GRND leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 29.7% ROIC and — gross margin. GRND currently leads its immediate peer cohort in composite quantitative strength at 76/100 (B+).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
GRND ACTIVE
Grindr Inc.
B+ 76/100 23.7x — 29.7% -0.54% $2.24B Benchmark Subject
DV
DoubleVerify Holdings Inc.
B- 70/100 41.5x 82.2% 7.2% +0.30% $2.10B /dv-vs-grnd →
CSQR
Csquare Inc.
D 49/100 — — — -2.86% $2.49B /csqr-vs-grnd →
PPLI
People Incorporated
D 47/100 — 66.2% -1.5% +0.36% $2.67B /ppli-vs-grnd →
RUM
RUM Group Inc. (Class A)
D- 38/100 — -6.7% -35.0% -3.11% $2.78B /rum-vs-grnd →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001820144

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Grindr Inc. (GRND) reported GAAP revenue of $439.9M (+27.6% vs. FY2024 revenue of $344.6M , and +69.4% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $94.8M, operating cash flow of $141.5M, and free cash flow of $140.8M (+49.7% YoY). On the balance sheet, GRND closed FY2025 with $531.0M in total assets against $375.9M in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 4.32, Piotroski F-Score: 8/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $439.9M $94.8M $141.5M $140.8M $531.0M $375.9M
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $344.6M -$131.0M $95.0M $94.0M $479.1M $275.6M
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $259.7M -$55.8M $36.1M $36.1M — —

3. GRND Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is GRND stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-01, Grindr Inc. (NYSE: GRND) is rated B+ (Buy / BUY) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 76/100 at a spot price of $12.90 (-0.54% 1D, market cap $2.24B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 19/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 10/20, Executive Insider Alignment 14/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 14/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 19/20. Across 714 tracked Technology issuers, GRND ranks #38 in composite RQD confidence.

How does GRND compare to DV and CSQR in the Technology sector?

Within the Technology sector (Computer Software: Programming Data Processing), GRND carries a Roarable B+ (76/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 23.7x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 29.7%. By comparison, DV (DoubleVerify Holdings Inc.) holds a B- grade (70/100 RQD, P/E 41.5x, ROIC 7.2%, cap $2.10B) and CSQR (Csquare Inc.) posts a D grade (49/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $2.49B). Among the 5-stock peer group, GRND leads on earnings multiple (23.7x) while GRND leads on capital efficiency (29.7% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for GRND?

Per GRND's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001820144), Grindr Inc. generated $439.9M in revenue (+27.6% YoY), $94.8M in net income, and $140.8M in free cash flow against $531.0M in total assets and $375.9M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Strong cash generator (steady margins)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks.. Primary risk factors monitored: Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is GRND trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

GRND last traded at $12.90 (-0.54% on volume of 2,687,121 shares), positioning the stock -13.31% below its 50-day simple moving average ($14.88) and -5.36% below its 200-day simple moving average ($13.63). Across its 52-week range of $9.73 to $18.50, GRND sits at the 36.1% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 31.0 (OVERSOLD (<32)) and an implied next-earnings move of ±9.3% ($11.70 to $14.10).

GRND Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

What is GRND's options positioning and volatility profile?

Roarable tracks verified CBOE unusual options sweeps, put/call ratios, and OHLCV realized volatility bands for GRND.

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