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Trump Media & Technology Group Corp. (DJT) — RQD Stock Rating Cockpit

Q: Should I buy, hold, or sell DJT stock right now?

Trump Media & Technology Group Corp. (DJT) currently earns a Roarable Rating of D- (Sell — SELL) with 39/100 RQD Confidence. Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (-30% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.

Q: What is DJT's 12-month price target and RQD AI Jury consensus?

DJT's 12-month base price target is $5.29 (range $4.13 to $17.94), backed by transparent SEC XBRL cash-flow, Form 4 insider, and CBOE options flow analysis.

$5.78 -3.18% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $5.74

Trump Media & Technology Group Corp. (DJT) carries a Roarable Rating of D- (Sell) with 39/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (39/100 · D-) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows →

ROARABLE D- • RED ALERT Cap $1.61B

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $5.74 (-0.76%)🧬 Dilution Drag (+1.36% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 8/20 (D-) • 385.2% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (39/100 · D-) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-7.6% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERRED ALERT • D-

3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D- · Rk D-

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE-8.5% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for DJT)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±10.9%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (39/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY DJT SCORES 39/100 (D-) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+10/20 pts (26% of score)

FRED Regime × Technicals: 3% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 21.7 (OVERSOLD (<32))

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+8/20 pts (21% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 385.2% FCF Margin ($14.2M FCF) & 54.5% Gross Margin

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution7/20 pts (-13 pt drag)

Dilution Drag (+1.36% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 13 pts from alignment

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade D$8.11-13.8% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade D$6.99-8.4% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade D$6.40-9.7% Next Q

Current

Grade D-$5.78-7.6% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: D (47) → D- (39)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a DJT Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While DJT currently carries a cautious 39/100 (D-) rating due to Insider Conviction & Share Dilution (7/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Technology with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($8.29) and Max Pain ($6.07) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $17.94.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Dilution Drag (+1.36% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $DJT• $4.8M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “DJT Beats Next Quarterly Revenue & EPS Consensus + Hyperscaler AI CapEx Holds Record Pace”

YES 39%NO 61%Trade / Inspect Odds →

RSI-14 MOMENTUMOVERSOLD (<32)

21.730 Oversold · 70 Hot

ALTMAN-Z SHIELDDISTRESS RISK (<1.8)

0.20>3.0 Fortress Safe

PIOTROSKI F-SCORESOLID CORE (5–6)

5 / 99-Pt Accounting

52-WEEK LASER RANGE3% OF RANGE

L: $5$5.78H: $17

1. Money & Cash Health● WEAK

Are profits real cash in the bank?

Weak cash conversion or heavy valuation strain compared to actual cash earned.

Factor Grade: D-RQD 8 / 20

2. Big Money & Insiders● TRIMMING

Are whales & executives buying or selling?

Insiders and big institutional desks have been trimming shares rather than stepping up to buy.

Factor Grade: D-RQD 14 / 40

3. Hidden Risks & Market Weather● WARNING

SEC fine-print scan & interest-rate fit

High sensitivity to tight interest rates or new risk warnings added to recent SEC annual filings.

Factor Grade: D-RQD 17 / 40

MULTI-MODEL JEV QUANT JURY DELIBERATION

3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning on DJT

Cash & Moat Bull AI

ROIC & Free Cash Flow Model

BEARISH (40)

-29.9% ROIC with 54.5% gross margin and 0.88% FCF yield.

SEC Forensic Auditor AI

10-K Accruals & Altman-Z Guard

BEARISH (35)

Altman-Z 0.20 and Piotroski 5/9 pass balance-sheet audit.

Whale & Macro Hawk AI

Options Skew, 13F & Fed NetLiq

BEARISH (40)

14/40 institutional & smart-money positioning score with 10/20 macro alignment.

Bull Case: Why Buyers Like DJT

✓Established market leader in Technology with deep daily trading liquidity.

Bear Case: What Could Go Wrong

!Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.
!Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.
!Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins.

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring DJT)

✓Walkthrough of DJT's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks

RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED

Want Custom AI PineScript / Python Indicators & Priority Rating-Change Alerts?

Join Founding VIP Waitlist (No Card Required) →$100K Arena

DJT // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -36.83%▼ SUPPORT BREAKDOWN

2026-10-30O $5.57H $5.78L $5.40C $5.78VOL 5.25M

RES: $11.74SUP: $7.94SMA50: $8.29SMA200: $9.31

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

DJT Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 DJT Butterfly Map → + Track DJT →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)

8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +1.8% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on DJT today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for DJT. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for DJT today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (DJT)

Technology Rank #554 of 714 ⚔️ WB vs DJT Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Technology Peer Comparison (DJT vs. WB, DV, GRND, TRIP)

Industry: Computer Software: Programming Data Processing (72 Tracked Issuers)

Across 714 tracked Technology securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Trump Media & Technology Group Corp. (DJT) ranks #554 by composite RQD confidence (39/100, grade D-) and #315 by equity capitalization ($1.61B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, GRND leads on earnings valuation at 23.7x trailing P/E, while GRND leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 29.7% ROIC and — gross margin. GRND currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 76/100 (B+) compared with DJT at 39/100 (D-).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
DJT ACTIVE Trump Media & Technology Group Corp.	D-	39/100	—	54.5%	-29.9%	-3.18%	$1.61B	Benchmark Subject
WB Weibo Corporation	C	64/100	—	—	22.6%	+1.94%	$1.55B	/wb-vs-djt →
DV DoubleVerify Holdings Inc.	B-	70/100	41.5x	82.2%	7.2%	+0.30%	$2.10B	/dv-vs-djt →
GRND Grindr Inc.	B+	76/100	23.7x	—	29.7%	-0.54%	$2.24B	/grnd-vs-djt →
TRIP TripAdvisor Inc.	D+	57/100	27.0x	92.3%	13.0%	+3.13%	$1.08B	/trip-vs-djt →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001849635

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Trump Media & Technology Group Corp. (DJT) reported GAAP revenue of $3.7M (+1.8% vs. FY2024 revenue of $3.6M , and -10.9% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $0, operating cash flow of $14.8M, and free cash flow of $14.2M (+121.5% YoY). On the balance sheet, DJT closed FY2025 with $2.63B in total assets against $442.6K in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 0.20, Piotroski F-Score: 5/9).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2025-12-31	$3.7M	$0	$14.8M	$14.2M	$2.63B	$442.6K
FY2024 (FY)	2024-12-31	$3.6M	-$400.9M	-$61.0M	-$66.0M	$938.3M	—
FY2023 (FY)	2023-12-31	$4.1M	-$58.2M	-$9.7M	-$9.7M	—	—

3. DJT Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is DJT stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-01, Trump Media & Technology Group Corp. (NASDAQ: DJT) is rated D- (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 39/100 at a spot price of $5.78 (-3.18% 1D, market cap $1.61B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 8/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 7/20, Executive Insider Alignment 7/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 10/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 7/20. Across 714 tracked Technology issuers, DJT ranks #554 in composite RQD confidence.

How does DJT compare to WB and DV in the Technology sector?

Within the Technology sector (Computer Software: Programming Data Processing), DJT carries a Roarable D- (39/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 54.5%, and ROIC of -29.9%. By comparison, WB (Weibo Corporation) holds a C grade (64/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC 22.6%, cap $1.55B) and DV (DoubleVerify Holdings Inc.) posts a B- grade (70/100 RQD, P/E 41.5x, ROIC 7.2%, cap $2.10B). Among the 5-stock peer group, GRND leads on earnings multiple (23.7x) while GRND leads on capital efficiency (29.7% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for DJT?

Per DJT's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001849635), Trump Media & Technology Group Corp. generated $3.7M in revenue (+1.8% YoY), $0 in net income, and $14.2M in free cash flow against $2.63B in total assets and $442.6K in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Technology with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is DJT trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

DJT last traded at $5.78 (-3.18% on volume of 5,439,822 shares), positioning the stock -30.28% below its 50-day simple moving average ($8.29) and -37.92% below its 200-day simple moving average ($9.31). Across its 52-week range of $5.40 to $17.09, DJT sits at the 3.3% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 21.7 (OVERSOLD (<32)) and an implied next-earnings move of ±10.9% ($5.15 to $6.41).

DJT Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

Should I buy, hold, or sell DJT stock right now?

Trump Media & Technology Group Corp. (DJT) currently earns a Roarable Rating of D- (Sell — SELL) with 39/100 RQD Confidence. Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (-30% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.

What is DJT's 12-month price target and RQD AI Jury consensus?

DJT's 12-month base price target is $5.29 (range $4.13 to $17.94), backed by transparent SEC XBRL cash-flow, Form 4 insider, and CBOE options flow analysis.

Direct Sub-Reports: DJT RQD Cockpit DJT 12M Forecast DJT Earnings & Move DJT Dividends & DRIP DJT Insiders & 13F DJT Whale Options DJT Profit Sankey DJT News & Why