Trump Media & Technology Group Corp. (DJT) Next Earnings Date & Expected ±10.9% Move

$5.78 -3.18% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $5.74

Trump Media & Technology Group Corp. (DJT) carries a Roarable Rating of D- (Sell) with 39/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE D- • RED ALERT Cap $1.61B
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $5.74 (-0.76%)🧬 Dilution Drag (+1.36% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 8/20 (D-) • 385.2% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (39/100 · D-) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-7.6% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERRED ALERT • D-
025507510039
3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D- · Rk D-
Cash (8)Whales (7)SEC (7)Macro (10)CEO (7)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-8.5% Base Target
$18 Bull$5 Base$4 Bear
📬 FREE DJT RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for DJT)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±10.9%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (39/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY DJT SCORES 39/100 (D-) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+10/20 pts (26% of score)

FRED Regime × Technicals: 3% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 21.7 (OVERSOLD (<32))

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+8/20 pts (21% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 385.2% FCF Margin ($14.2M FCF) & 54.5% Gross Margin

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution7/20 pts (-13 pt drag)

Dilution Drag (+1.36% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 13 pts from alignment

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
47
Grade D$8.11-13.8% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
44
Grade D$6.99-8.4% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
42
Grade D$6.40-9.7% Next Q
Current
39
Grade D-$5.78-7.6% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: D (47) → D- (39)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a DJT Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While DJT currently carries a cautious 39/100 (D-) rating due to Insider Conviction & Share Dilution (7/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Technology with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($8.29) and Max Pain ($6.07) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $17.94.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Dilution Drag (+1.36% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $DJT• $4.8M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “DJT Beats Next Quarterly Revenue & EPS Consensus + Hyperscaler AI CapEx Holds Record Pace”
NEXT EST. WINDOW: Dec 30, 2026 (~58 DAYS)

Historical OHLCV Volatility ±10.9% Swing Band

±$0.63 Expected Swing
$5.15 (-10.9%)Spot $5.78$6.41 (+10.9%)
MODEL EARNINGS SETUP GAUGE

DJT Quantitative Pre-Earnings Setup: 39/100

Trailing EPS: $4.25 • YoY Revenue Growth: 1.8%

Model Bullish Setup (39/100)Model Risk Weight (61/100)
Derived deterministically from RQD cash-flow quality, SEC accrual safety, and institutional flow (not a community poll).
LOG YOUR PERSONAL PRE-EARNINGS STANCE (SAVED LOCALLY IN BROWSER):

Recent SEC Reported Revenue, Net Profit & Diluted EPS Cadence

PeriodFiledRevenueNet ProfitFree Cash FlowGross Margin
FY 20252025-12-31$3.7M$0$14.2M54.5%
FY 20242024-12-31$3.6M-$400.9M-$66.0M82.9%
FY 20232023-12-31$4.1M-$58.2M-$9.7M54.5%
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring DJT)

  • ✓Walkthrough of DJT's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
  • ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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DJT // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -36.83%▼ SUPPORT BREAKDOWN
2026-10-30O $5.57H $5.78L $5.40C $5.78VOL 5.25M
RES: $11.74SUP: $7.94SMA50: $8.29SMA200: $9.31
$14.20$11.81$9.43$7.04$4.66RES $11.74SUP $7.94$5.782026-04-302026-06-152026-07-312026-09-162026-10-30
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

DJT Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +1.8% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on DJT today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for DJT. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for DJT today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (DJT)

Technology Rank #554 of 714 ⚔️ WB vs DJT Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Technology Peer Comparison (DJT vs. WB, DV, GRND, TRIP)

Industry: Computer Software: Programming Data Processing (72 Tracked Issuers)

Across 714 tracked Technology securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Trump Media & Technology Group Corp. (DJT) ranks #554 by composite RQD confidence (39/100, grade D-) and #315 by equity capitalization ($1.61B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, GRND leads on earnings valuation at 23.7x trailing P/E, while GRND leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 29.7% ROIC and — gross margin. GRND currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 76/100 (B+) compared with DJT at 39/100 (D-).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
DJT ACTIVE
Trump Media & Technology Group Corp.
D- 39/100 — 54.5% -29.9% -3.18% $1.61B Benchmark Subject
WB
Weibo Corporation
C 64/100 — — 22.6% +1.94% $1.55B /wb-vs-djt →
DV
DoubleVerify Holdings Inc.
B- 70/100 41.5x 82.2% 7.2% +0.30% $2.10B /dv-vs-djt →
GRND
Grindr Inc.
B+ 76/100 23.7x — 29.7% -0.54% $2.24B /grnd-vs-djt →
TRIP
TripAdvisor Inc.
D+ 57/100 27.0x 92.3% 13.0% +3.13% $1.08B /trip-vs-djt →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001849635

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Trump Media & Technology Group Corp. (DJT) reported GAAP revenue of $3.7M (+1.8% vs. FY2024 revenue of $3.6M , and -10.9% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $0, operating cash flow of $14.8M, and free cash flow of $14.2M (+121.5% YoY). On the balance sheet, DJT closed FY2025 with $2.63B in total assets against $442.6K in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 0.20, Piotroski F-Score: 5/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $3.7M $0 $14.8M $14.2M $2.63B $442.6K
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $3.6M -$400.9M -$61.0M -$66.0M $938.3M —
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $4.1M -$58.2M -$9.7M -$9.7M — —

3. DJT Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is DJT stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-01, Trump Media & Technology Group Corp. (NASDAQ: DJT) is rated D- (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 39/100 at a spot price of $5.78 (-3.18% 1D, market cap $1.61B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 8/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 7/20, Executive Insider Alignment 7/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 10/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 7/20. Across 714 tracked Technology issuers, DJT ranks #554 in composite RQD confidence.

How does DJT compare to WB and DV in the Technology sector?

Within the Technology sector (Computer Software: Programming Data Processing), DJT carries a Roarable D- (39/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 54.5%, and ROIC of -29.9%. By comparison, WB (Weibo Corporation) holds a C grade (64/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC 22.6%, cap $1.55B) and DV (DoubleVerify Holdings Inc.) posts a B- grade (70/100 RQD, P/E 41.5x, ROIC 7.2%, cap $2.10B). Among the 5-stock peer group, GRND leads on earnings multiple (23.7x) while GRND leads on capital efficiency (29.7% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for DJT?

Per DJT's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001849635), Trump Media & Technology Group Corp. generated $3.7M in revenue (+1.8% YoY), $0 in net income, and $14.2M in free cash flow against $2.63B in total assets and $442.6K in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Technology with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is DJT trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

DJT last traded at $5.78 (-3.18% on volume of 5,439,822 shares), positioning the stock -30.28% below its 50-day simple moving average ($8.29) and -37.92% below its 200-day simple moving average ($9.31). Across its 52-week range of $5.40 to $17.09, DJT sits at the 3.3% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 21.7 (OVERSOLD (<32)) and an implied next-earnings move of ±10.9% ($5.15 to $6.41).

DJT Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

When is DJT's next earnings date?

Based on SEC filing cadence, Trump Media & Technology Group Corp. (DJT)'s next quarterly reporting window is estimated around Dec 30, 2026.

How much is DJT stock expected to move on earnings?

Volatility modeling currently projects a ±10.9% event move for DJT, spanning a range between $5.15 and $6.41.

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