Stock Ratings / Technology / GRND / forecast

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Grindr Inc. (GRND) 12-Month Stock Forecast & Price Target Cone

Q: What is GRND's 12-month stock price target?

Grindr Inc. (GRND) carries a 12-month consensus base price target of $13.94 (+8.1% from $12.90), with a bull-case target of $19.43 and a bear-case floor of $10.58.

Q: Is GRND stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now?

Roarable's 5-Pillar RQD Quant Engine rates GRND B+ (Buy — BUY) with an RQD Confidence score of 76/100.

$12.90 -0.54% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $12.92

Grindr Inc. (GRND) earns a Roarable Rating of B+ (Buy) with 76/100 RQD Confidence. High-quality cash engine (steady margins, 30% return on capital) with steady institutional support. The company’s underlying cash engine and institutional positioning keep the composite score in the Green Buy zone.

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 76/100 (B+) historically ranked in the Top 11% of excess returns over the next 90 days (+7.6% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 70.0% hit rate) →

ROARABLE B+ • BUY Cap $2.24B

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $12.92 (+0.14%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-3.20% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 19/20 (A+) • 32% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 76/100 (B+) historically ranked in the Top 11% of excess returns over the next 90 days (+7.6% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 70.0% hit rate).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERBUY • B+

3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bullish

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw B+ · Rk B-

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE+8.1% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for GRND)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±9.3%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (76/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY GRND SCORES 76/100 (B+) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+19/20 pts (25% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 32% FCF Margin ($140.8M FCF) & 52% Gross Margin

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution+19/20 pts (25% of score)

SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 86% Net Buy • Cannibal Buyback (-3.20% YoY Shares)

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning10/20 pts (-10 pt drag)

Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-10 pts vs max)

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade A$15.03-6.3% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade A-$14.09-2.9% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade A-$13.68-5.7% Next Q

Current

Grade B+$12.90+7.6% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: A (84) → B+ (76)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the GRND Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 76/100 (B+) score, GRND faces multiple-compression risk if 23.7x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-3.20% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 49.5% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($14.88) or 200D SMA ($13.63) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($13.94) toward Bear Floor ($10.58).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $GRND• $4.8M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “GRND Beats Next Quarterly Revenue & EPS Consensus + Hyperscaler AI CapEx Holds Record Pace”

YES 76%NO 24%Trade / Inspect Odds →

INTERACTIVE 12-MONTH POSITION SIMULATOR

Drag to Test Your GRND Position Size: $10,000

Shares at $12.90: 775.2 sh

$1,000$10,000$25,000$50,000$100,000

12M Bear Case FloorTarget $10.58

$8,202

$-1,798 (-18.0%)

12M Consensus BaseTarget $13.94

$10,806

+$806 (+8.1%)

12M Bull Case BreakoutTarget $19.43

$15,062

+$5,062 (+50.6%)

Wall Street Analyst Breakdown & Historical Accuracy Audit (43 Desks)

Street Historical Accuracy: 64/100

● Strong Buy / Buy: 32● Hold: 9● Sell: 2

Wall Street Firm	Stance	12M Target	1Y Accuracy	Track Grade
Morgan StanleyInstitutional Equity Desk	OUTPERFORM	$14	74%	A
Goldman SachsSector Coverage Lead	STRONG BUY	$18	69%	B
JP MorganUS Large-Cap Research	HOLD	$12	58%	C

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Quantitative Research Desk

Scheduled RQD Strong Buys & Whale Accumulation Briefing (GRND Tape Review)

✓Breakdown of the highest-scoring RQD Green-Light breakouts across our 5,200+ rated universe
✓Forensic Red-Light accounting & dilution traps to review on your watchlist
✓Includes downloadable .ics calendar invite & nightly RQD rating-change email alerts

RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED

Want Custom AI PineScript / Python Indicators & Priority Rating-Change Alerts?

Join Founding VIP Waitlist (No Card Required) →$100K Arena

GRND // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -3.52%🛡️ HOLDING TREND SUPPORT

2026-10-30O $12.92H $12.97L $12.56C $12.90VOL 1.30M

RES: $15.29SUP: $12.27SMA50: $14.88SMA200: $13.63

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

GRND Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 GRND Butterfly Map → + Track GRND →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)

17.5%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +27.6% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on GRND today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for GRND. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for GRND today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (GRND)

Technology Rank #38 of 714 ⚔️ DV vs GRND Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Technology Peer Comparison (GRND vs. DV, CSQR, PPLI, RUM)

Industry: Computer Software: Programming Data Processing (72 Tracked Issuers)

Across 714 tracked Technology securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Grindr Inc. (GRND) ranks #38 by composite RQD confidence (76/100, grade B+) and #283 by equity capitalization ($2.24B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, GRND leads on earnings valuation at 23.7x trailing P/E, while GRND leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 29.7% ROIC and — gross margin. GRND currently leads its immediate peer cohort in composite quantitative strength at 76/100 (B+).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
GRND ACTIVE Grindr Inc.	B+	76/100	23.7x	—	29.7%	-0.54%	$2.24B	Benchmark Subject
DV DoubleVerify Holdings Inc.	B-	70/100	41.5x	82.2%	7.2%	+0.30%	$2.10B	/dv-vs-grnd →
CSQR Csquare Inc.	D	49/100	—	—	—	-2.86%	$2.49B	/csqr-vs-grnd →
PPLI People Incorporated	D	47/100	—	66.2%	-1.5%	+0.36%	$2.67B	/ppli-vs-grnd →
RUM RUM Group Inc. (Class A)	D-	38/100	—	-6.7%	-35.0%	-3.11%	$2.78B	/rum-vs-grnd →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001820144

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Grindr Inc. (GRND) reported GAAP revenue of $439.9M (+27.6% vs. FY2024 revenue of $344.6M , and +69.4% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $94.8M, operating cash flow of $141.5M, and free cash flow of $140.8M (+49.7% YoY). On the balance sheet, GRND closed FY2025 with $531.0M in total assets against $375.9M in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 4.32, Piotroski F-Score: 8/9).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2025-12-31	$439.9M	$94.8M	$141.5M	$140.8M	$531.0M	$375.9M
FY2024 (FY)	2024-12-31	$344.6M	-$131.0M	$95.0M	$94.0M	$479.1M	$275.6M
FY2023 (FY)	2023-12-31	$259.7M	-$55.8M	$36.1M	$36.1M	—	—

3. GRND Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is GRND stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-01, Grindr Inc. (NYSE: GRND) is rated B+ (Buy / BUY) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 76/100 at a spot price of $12.90 (-0.54% 1D, market cap $2.24B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 19/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 10/20, Executive Insider Alignment 14/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 14/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 19/20. Across 714 tracked Technology issuers, GRND ranks #38 in composite RQD confidence.

How does GRND compare to DV and CSQR in the Technology sector?

Within the Technology sector (Computer Software: Programming Data Processing), GRND carries a Roarable B+ (76/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 23.7x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 29.7%. By comparison, DV (DoubleVerify Holdings Inc.) holds a B- grade (70/100 RQD, P/E 41.5x, ROIC 7.2%, cap $2.10B) and CSQR (Csquare Inc.) posts a D grade (49/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $2.49B). Among the 5-stock peer group, GRND leads on earnings multiple (23.7x) while GRND leads on capital efficiency (29.7% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for GRND?

Per GRND's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001820144), Grindr Inc. generated $439.9M in revenue (+27.6% YoY), $94.8M in net income, and $140.8M in free cash flow against $531.0M in total assets and $375.9M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Strong cash generator (steady margins)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks.. Primary risk factors monitored: Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is GRND trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

GRND last traded at $12.90 (-0.54% on volume of 2,687,121 shares), positioning the stock -13.31% below its 50-day simple moving average ($14.88) and -5.36% below its 200-day simple moving average ($13.63). Across its 52-week range of $9.73 to $18.50, GRND sits at the 36.1% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 31.0 (OVERSOLD (<32)) and an implied next-earnings move of ±9.3% ($11.70 to $14.10).

GRND Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

What is GRND's 12-month stock price target?

Grindr Inc. (GRND) carries a 12-month consensus base price target of $13.94 (+8.1% from $12.90), with a bull-case target of $19.43 and a bear-case floor of $10.58.