MARKET WIREReuters • 2h ago
Russia's FSB says minor detained over park attack threat after US tip-off - ReutersRussia's FSB says minor detained over park attack threat after US tip-off Reuters
Why GEF Stock slipped -0.31% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
$82.19 -0.31% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot)
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $81.99
Greif Inc. (Class A) (GEF) carries a Roarable Rating of D+ (Sell) with 56/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.
ROARABLE D+ • SELL / AVOID
Cap $3.79B
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Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on GEF Below — or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude
🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief)
Is GEF stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-01, Greif Inc. (Class A) (NYSE: GEF) is rated D+ (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 56/100 at a spot price of $82.19 (-0.31% 1D, market cap $3.79B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 5/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 10/20, Executive Insider Alignment 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 15/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 13/20. Across 485 tracked Industrials issuers, GEF ranks #230 in composite RQD confidence.
✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief)
How does GEF compare to BELFB and ARIS in the Industrials sector?
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Within the Industrials sector (Diversified Equities), GEF carries a Roarable D+ (56/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 4.5x, gross margin of 22.2%, and ROIC of 3.9%. By comparison, BELFB (Bel Fuse Inc.) holds a C- grade (61/100 RQD, P/E 45.9x, ROIC 15.5%, cap $3.40B) and ARIS (Aris Mining Corporation) posts a D+ grade (56/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $3.28B). Among the 5-stock peer group, GEF leads on earnings multiple (4.5x) while BELFB leads on capital efficiency (15.5% ROIC).
✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief)
What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for GEF?
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Per GEF's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-09-30, CIK 0000043920), Greif Inc. (Class A) generated $3.93B in revenue (-9.7% YoY), $840.0M in net income, and $58.6M in free cash flow against $5.50B in total assets and $655.1M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Industrials with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $81.98 (-0.25%)🧬 Disciplined Float (-0.32% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 5/20 (E) • 1.5% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 56/100 (D+) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (-0.4% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 51.8% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).
Audit Bucket Track Record →RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D+
JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)
Cash
SEC
Whale
Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer
5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D · Rk B-
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-0.9% Base Target
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for GEF)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±6%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (56/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY GEF SCORES 56/100 (D+) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+15/20 pts (27% of score)
FRED Regime × Technicals: 76% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 50 (NEUTRAL RANGE)
▲ #2 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+13/20 pts (23% of score)
Altman Z-Score 3.80 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 6/9
▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Cash Engine Quality5/20 pts (-15 pt drag)
Capital intensity & 4.3% operating margin leave 15 pts on the table
📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)Grade D$81.82+0.4% Next Q
48
Q2 (-2Q)Grade C-$82.12+0.2% Next Q
51
Q3 (-1Q)Grade C-$82.27-0.1% Next Q
53
CurrentGrade D+$82.19-0.4% Hist 90D α
56
Trajectory: D (48) → D+ (56)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER
⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the GEF Bull Thesis Could Fail
Even with a 56/100 (D+) score, GEF faces multiple-compression risk if 4.5x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.
⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1
Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.
⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2
Dilution & Margin Drag: Disciplined Float (-0.32% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 19.7% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.
⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3
Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($82.67) or 200D SMA ($74.49) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($81.45) toward Bear Floor ($63.53).
🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $GEF• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “GEF Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 29, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
AUTOMATED RQD QUANT DESK MOVER BRIEFINGFull Market News Desk →
Why GEF Stock slipped -0.31% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
Greif Inc. (Class A) (GEF) slipped -0.31% to $82.19, trading at 76% of its 52-week range ($55.75 – $90.57). Stretched risk/reward at 5x P/E (4% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.
- ▸Technical Tape: Trading at 76% of its 52-week range ($55.75 – $90.57) with RSI-14 at 50 (NEUTRAL RANGE).
- ▸Volatility Profile: Historical 20-day realized swing band of ±6% around $82.19 (no active unusual options sweep snapshot on file).
- ▸Fundamental Anchor: Roarable D+ (Sell) backed by 22.2% gross margin and $58.6M annual free cash flow.
Live GEF Headlines & Catalysts
MARKET WIREReuters • 3h ago
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MARKET WIREReuters • 4h ago
Nine people dead in Learjet crash in south Florida, officials say - ReutersNine people dead in Learjet crash in south Florida, officials say Reuters
MARKET WIREReuters • 6h ago
Iran's IRGC Navy says two tankers 'exploded' after hitting mines in Hormuz - ReutersIran's IRGC Navy says two tankers 'exploded' after hitting mines in Hormuz Reuters
MARKET WIRECNBC • 8h ago
Here are 3 big things we're watching in the stock market in the week aheadThe market could use a few victories in the days ahead, which will be filled with more earnings, an election, and jobs data.
MARKET WIRECNBC • 8h ago
Democratic Rep. Stevens endorses Rogers over El-Sayed in Michigan Senate electionHaley Stevens had lost the Democratic nomination for Senate in Michigan to Abdul El-Sayed earlier this year.
RISK WATCHReuters • 9h ago
Israeli strikes kill eight people in Gaza - medics say - ReutersIsraeli strikes kill eight people in Gaza - medics say Reuters
MARKET WIREReuters • 11h ago
Iran, Qatari mediators hold third day of talks to end US-Iran war - ReutersIran, Qatari mediators hold third day of talks to end US-Iran war Reuters
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Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring GEF)
- ✓Walkthrough of GEF's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
- ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
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GEF // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +25.98%📐 WEDGE COMPRESSION COIL
2026-10-30O $82.81H $83.43L $80.95C $82.19VOL 339.9K
RES: $88.36SUP: $79.22SMA50: $82.67SMA200: $74.49
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK
GEF Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure
Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)
Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).
Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
-15.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth
vs. +6.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).
Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)
No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on GEF today. View full Setup Ledger →
🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections
Open Graph →
No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for GEF. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.
AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for GEF today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK
📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (GEF)
Industrials Rank #230 of 485
⚔️ BELFB vs GEF Full Matrix →
1. Head-to-Head Industrials Peer Comparison (GEF vs. BELFB, ARIS, OTF, AAUC)
Industry: Diversified Equities (43 Tracked Issuers)Across 485 tracked Industrials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Greif Inc. (Class A) (GEF) ranks #230 by composite RQD confidence (56/100, grade D+) and #169 by equity capitalization ($3.79B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, GEF leads on earnings valuation at 4.5x trailing P/E, while BELFB leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 15.5% ROIC and 39.1% gross margin. BELFB currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 61/100 (C-) compared with GEF at 56/100 (D+).
| Ticker / Company | Roarable Grade | RQD Score | Trailing P/E | Gross Margin | ROIC | 1D Change | Market Cap | Head-to-Head |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| GEF
ACTIVE
Greif Inc. (Class A) | D+ | 56/100 | 4.5x | 22.2% | 3.9% | -0.31% | $3.79B | Benchmark Subject |
| BELFB Bel Fuse Inc. | C- | 61/100 | 45.9x | 39.1% | 15.5% | +3.50% | $3.40B | /belfb-vs-gef → |
| ARIS Aris Mining Corporation | D+ | 56/100 | — | — | — | -3.41% | $3.28B | /aris-vs-gef → |
| OTF Blue Owl Technology Finance Corp. | D | 50/100 | 6.1x | — | 9.0% | +2.78% | $4.41B | /otf-vs-gef → |
| AAUC Allied Gold Corporation | D | 50/100 | — | — | — | -2.67% | $2.74B | /aauc-vs-gef → |
2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)
SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-09-30 • CIK 0000043920In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-09-30), Greif Inc. (Class A) (GEF) reported GAAP revenue of $3.93B (-9.7% vs. FY2024 revenue of $4.35B ) , GAAP net income of $840.0M, operating cash flow of $58.6M, and free cash flow of $58.6M (-83.5% YoY). On the balance sheet, GEF closed FY2025 with $5.50B in total assets against $655.1M in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 6/9).
| Fiscal Period | Filing Date | Revenue | Net Income | Operating Cash Flow | Free Cash Flow | Total Assets | Total Debt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2025 (FY) | 2025-09-30 | $3.93B | $840.0M | $58.6M | $58.6M | $5.50B | $655.1M |
| FY2024 (FY) | 2024-10-31 | $4.35B | $268.8M | $356.0M | $356.0M | $6.59B | $2.42B |
| FY2023 (FY) | 2023-10-31 | $0 | $359.2M | $649.5M | $649.5M | — | — |
3. GEF Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)
✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLEDIs GEF stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
As of 2026-11-01, Greif Inc. (Class A) (NYSE: GEF) is rated D+ (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 56/100 at a spot price of $82.19 (-0.31% 1D, market cap $3.79B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 5/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 10/20, Executive Insider Alignment 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 15/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 13/20. Across 485 tracked Industrials issuers, GEF ranks #230 in composite RQD confidence.
How does GEF compare to BELFB and ARIS in the Industrials sector?
Within the Industrials sector (Diversified Equities), GEF carries a Roarable D+ (56/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 4.5x, gross margin of 22.2%, and ROIC of 3.9%. By comparison, BELFB (Bel Fuse Inc.) holds a C- grade (61/100 RQD, P/E 45.9x, ROIC 15.5%, cap $3.40B) and ARIS (Aris Mining Corporation) posts a D+ grade (56/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $3.28B). Among the 5-stock peer group, GEF leads on earnings multiple (4.5x) while BELFB leads on capital efficiency (15.5% ROIC).
What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for GEF?
Per GEF's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-09-30, CIK 0000043920), Greif Inc. (Class A) generated $3.93B in revenue (-9.7% YoY), $840.0M in net income, and $58.6M in free cash flow against $5.50B in total assets and $655.1M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Industrials with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
Where is GEF trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?
GEF last traded at $82.19 (-0.31% on volume of 392,612 shares), positioning the stock -0.58% below its 50-day simple moving average ($82.67) and +10.34% above its 200-day simple moving average ($74.49). Across its 52-week range of $55.75 to $90.57, GEF sits at the 75.9% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 50.0 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±6.0% ($77.26 to $87.12).
GEF Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index
100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FREDWhy is GEF stock moving today?
Why GEF Stock slipped -0.31% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash. Stretched risk/reward at 5x P/E (4% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.