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Blue Owl Technology Finance Corp. (OTF) — RQD Stock Rating Cockpit

$9.62 +2.78% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $9.65

Blue Owl Technology Finance Corp. (OTF) carries a Roarable Rating of D (Sell) with 50/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 50/100 (D) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (-1.4% avg 90D alpha vs SPY) →

ROARABLE D • SELL / AVOID Cap $4.41B

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $9.65 (+0.31%)🧬 Dilution Drag (+1.36% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 7/20 (D-) • 0% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 50/100 (D) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (-1.4% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 49.3% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D

2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D · Rk D+

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE-3.6% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for OTF)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±5.6%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (50/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY OTF SCORES 50/100 (D) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Whale & Options Positioning+14/20 pts (28% of score)

20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (±5.6% realized swing band)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+12/20 pts (24% of score)

FRED Regime × Technicals: 14% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 49.5 (NEUTRAL RANGE)

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution7/20 pts (-13 pt drag)

Dilution Drag (+1.36% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 13 pts from alignment

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade D$9.36-2.5% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade D$9.13-0.1% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade D$9.12+5.5% Next Q

Current

Grade D$9.62-1.4% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: D (42) → D (50)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a OTF Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While OTF currently carries a cautious 50/100 (D) rating due to Insider Conviction & Share Dilution (7/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Industrials with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($10.15) and Max Pain ($10.10) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $15.75.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Dilution Drag (+1.36% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $OTF• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “OTF Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”

YES 50%NO 50%Trade / Inspect Odds →

RSI-14 MOMENTUMNEUTRAL RANGE

49.530 Oversold · 70 Hot

ALTMAN-Z SHIELDFORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)

3.80>3.0 Fortress Safe

PIOTROSKI F-SCOREWEAK QUALITY (1–4)

2 / 99-Pt Accounting

52-WEEK LASER RANGE14% OF RANGE

L: $9$9.62H: $15

1. Money & Cash Health● WEAK

Are profits real cash in the bank?

Weak cash conversion or heavy valuation strain compared to actual cash earned.

Factor Grade: D-RQD 7 / 20

2. Big Money & Insiders● TRIMMING

Are whales & executives buying or selling?

Insiders and big institutional desks have been trimming shares rather than stepping up to buy.

Factor Grade: D+RQD 21 / 40

3. Hidden Risks & Market Weather● WATCH

SEC fine-print scan & interest-rate fit

No major SEC filing blowups, though current interest rates and Fed liquidity call for normal position sizing.

Factor Grade: D+RQD 22 / 40

MULTI-MODEL JEV QUANT JURY DELIBERATION

2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning on OTF

Cash & Moat Bull AI

ROIC & Free Cash Flow Model

BEARISH (35)

9.0% ROIC with 42.0% gross margin and -20.78% FCF yield.

SEC Forensic Auditor AI

10-K Accruals & Altman-Z Guard

BEARISH (50)

Altman-Z 4.20 and Piotroski 2/9 pass balance-sheet audit.

Whale & Macro Hawk AI

Options Skew, 13F & Fed NetLiq

NEUTRAL (55)

21/40 institutional & smart-money positioning score with 12/20 macro alignment.

Bull Case: Why Buyers Like OTF

✓Established market leader in Industrials with deep daily trading liquidity.

Bear Case: What Could Go Wrong

!Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.
!Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins.

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring OTF)

✓Walkthrough of OTF's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks

RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED

Want Custom AI PineScript / Python Indicators & Priority Rating-Change Alerts?

Join Founding VIP Waitlist (No Card Required) →$100K Arena

OTF // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -15.47%📐 HORIZONTAL RANGE

2026-10-30O $9.67H $9.67L $9.45C $9.62VOL 3.15M

RES: $11.75SUP: $8.64SMA50: $10.15SMA200: $11.14

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

OTF Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 OTF Butterfly Map → + Track OTF →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)

-10.5%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +6.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on OTF today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for OTF. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for OTF today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (OTF)

Industrials Rank #297 of 485 ⚔️ GEF vs OTF Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Industrials Peer Comparison (OTF vs. GEF, OGC, BELFB, ARIS)

Industry: Diversified Equities (43 Tracked Issuers)

Across 485 tracked Industrials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Blue Owl Technology Finance Corp. (OTF) ranks #297 by composite RQD confidence (50/100, grade D) and #157 by equity capitalization ($4.41B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, GEF leads on earnings valuation at 4.5x trailing P/E, while BELFB leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 15.5% ROIC and 39.1% gross margin. BELFB currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 61/100 (C-) compared with OTF at 50/100 (D).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
OTF ACTIVE Blue Owl Technology Finance Corp.	D	50/100	6.1x	—	9.0%	+2.78%	$4.41B	Benchmark Subject
GEF Greif Inc. (Class A)	D+	56/100	4.5x	22.2%	3.9%	-0.31%	$3.79B	/gef-vs-otf →
OGC OceanaGold Corporation	D+	56/100	—	—	—	-2.81%	$5.67B	/ogc-vs-otf →
BELFB Bel Fuse Inc.	C-	61/100	45.9x	39.1%	15.5%	+3.50%	$3.40B	/belfb-vs-otf →
ARIS Aris Mining Corporation	D+	56/100	—	—	—	-3.41%	$3.28B	/aris-vs-otf →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001747777

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Blue Owl Technology Finance Corp. (OTF) reported GAAP revenue of $0 (N/A vs. FY2024 revenue of $0 ) , GAAP net income of $720.4M, operating cash flow of -$916.0M, and free cash flow of -$916.0M (-1527.8% YoY). On the balance sheet, OTF closed FY2025 with $14.72B in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 2/9).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2025-12-31	$0	$720.4M	-$916.0M	-$916.0M	$14.72B	—
FY2024 (FY)	2024-12-31	$0	$319.2M	$64.2M	$64.2M	$6.72B	—
FY2023 (FY)	2023-12-31	$0	$369.1M	$708.4M	$708.4M	—	—

3. OTF Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is OTF stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-01, Blue Owl Technology Finance Corp. (NYSE: OTF) is rated D (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 50/100 at a spot price of $9.62 (+2.78% 1D, market cap $4.41B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 7/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 14/20, Executive Insider Alignment 10/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 12/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 7/20. Across 485 tracked Industrials issuers, OTF ranks #297 in composite RQD confidence.

How does OTF compare to GEF and OGC in the Industrials sector?

Within the Industrials sector (Diversified Equities), OTF carries a Roarable D (50/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 6.1x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 9.0%. By comparison, GEF (Greif Inc. (Class A)) holds a D+ grade (56/100 RQD, P/E 4.5x, ROIC 3.9%, cap $3.79B) and OGC (OceanaGold Corporation) posts a D+ grade (56/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $5.67B). Among the 5-stock peer group, GEF leads on earnings multiple (4.5x) while BELFB leads on capital efficiency (15.5% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for OTF?

Per OTF's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001747777), Blue Owl Technology Finance Corp. generated $0 in revenue, $720.4M in net income, and -$916.0M in free cash flow against $14.72B in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Industrials with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is OTF trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

OTF last traded at $9.62 (+2.78% on volume of 2,446,517 shares), positioning the stock -5.22% below its 50-day simple moving average ($10.15) and -13.64% below its 200-day simple moving average ($11.14). Across its 52-week range of $8.76 to $15.00, OTF sits at the 13.8% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 49.5 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±5.6% ($9.08 to $10.16).

OTF Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

Should I buy, hold, or sell OTF stock right now?

Blue Owl Technology Finance Corp. (OTF) currently earns a Roarable Rating of D (Sell — SELL) with 50/100 RQD Confidence. Stretched risk/reward at 6x P/E (9% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.

What is OTF's 12-month price target and RQD AI Jury consensus?

OTF's 12-month base price target is $9.27 (range $7.23 to $15.75), backed by transparent SEC XBRL cash-flow, Form 4 insider, and CBOE options flow analysis.

Direct Sub-Reports: OTF RQD Cockpit OTF 12M Forecast OTF Earnings & Move OTF Dividends & DRIP OTF Insiders & 13F OTF Whale Options OTF Profit Sankey OTF News & Why