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OceanaGold Corporation (OGC) — RQD Stock Rating Cockpit

$25.27 -2.81% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $25.09

OceanaGold Corporation (OGC) carries a Roarable Rating of D+ (Sell) with 56/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 56/100 (D+) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (-0.4% avg 90D alpha vs SPY) →

ROARABLE D+ • SELL / AVOID Cap $5.67B

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $25.09 (-0.70%)🧬 Disciplined Float (-0.40% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 12/20 (C-) • 4% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 56/100 (D+) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (-0.4% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 51.8% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D+

JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D · Rk B-

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE-0.9% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for OGC)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±7.4%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (56/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY OGC SCORES 56/100 (D+) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+15/20 pts (27% of score)

FRED Regime × Technicals: 22% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 35.6 (NEUTRAL RANGE)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+13/20 pts (23% of score)

Altman Z-Score 3.80 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 7/9

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning7/20 pts (-13 pt drag)

Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-13 pts vs max)

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade C+$27.60-2.1% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade C$27.03-8.4% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade C$24.76+2.1% Next Q

Current

Grade D+$25.27-0.4% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: C+ (64) → D+ (56)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the OGC Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 56/100 (D+) score, OGC faces multiple-compression risk if current valuation multiples re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Disciplined Float (-0.40% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 49.5% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($28.00) or 200D SMA ($30.24) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($25.04) toward Bear Floor ($19.53).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $OGC• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “OGC Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Upcoming Quarter) & Holds Above 200D SMA”

YES 56%NO 44%Trade / Inspect Odds →

RSI-14 MOMENTUMNEUTRAL RANGE

35.630 Oversold · 70 Hot

ALTMAN-Z SHIELDFORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)

3.80>3.0 Fortress Safe

PIOTROSKI F-SCOREHIGH QUALITY (7–9)

7 / 99-Pt Accounting

52-WEEK LASER RANGE22% OF RANGE

L: $20$25.27H: $43

1. Money & Cash Health● MIXED

Are profits real cash in the bank?

Decent core business (steady margins), though cash flow growth is moderate rather than explosive right now.

Factor Grade: C-RQD 12 / 20

2. Big Money & Insiders● TRIMMING

Are whales & executives buying or selling?

Insiders and big institutional desks have been trimming shares rather than stepping up to buy.

Factor Grade: D-RQD 16 / 40

3. Hidden Risks & Market Weather● ALL CLEAR

SEC fine-print scan & interest-rate fit

Clean SEC fine-print check with low hidden accounting risk and favorable interest-rate weather.

Factor Grade: B-RQD 28 / 40

MULTI-MODEL JEV QUANT JURY DELIBERATION

JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground) on OGC

Cash & Moat Bull AI

ROIC & Free Cash Flow Model

NEUTRAL (60)

14.0% ROIC with 42.0% gross margin and 2.80% FCF yield.

SEC Forensic Auditor AI

10-K Accruals & Altman-Z Guard

NEUTRAL (65)

Altman-Z 4.20 and Piotroski 7/9 pass balance-sheet audit.

Whale & Macro Hawk AI

Options Skew, 13F & Fed NetLiq

NEUTRAL (52)

16/40 institutional & smart-money positioning score with 15/20 macro alignment.

Bull Case: Why Buyers Like OGC

✓Established market leader in Industrials with deep daily trading liquidity.

Bear Case: What Could Go Wrong

!Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring OGC)

✓Walkthrough of OGC's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks

RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED

Want Custom AI PineScript / Python Indicators & Priority Rating-Change Alerts?

Join Founding VIP Waitlist (No Card Required) →$100K Arena

OGC // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -18.17%▼ SUPPORT BREAKDOWN

2026-10-30O $24.25H $25.27L $23.76C $25.27VOL 630.6K

RES: $34.68SUP: $28.00SMA50: $28.00SMA200: $30.24

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

OGC Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 OGC Butterfly Map → + Track OGC →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)

8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +6.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on OGC today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for OGC. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for OGC today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (OGC)

Industrials Rank #226 of 485 ⚔️ OTF vs OGC Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Industrials Peer Comparison (OGC vs. OTF, GEF, BELFB, ARIS)

Industry: Diversified Equities (43 Tracked Issuers)

Across 485 tracked Industrials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, OceanaGold Corporation (OGC) ranks #226 by composite RQD confidence (56/100, grade D+) and #136 by equity capitalization ($5.67B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, GEF leads on earnings valuation at 4.5x trailing P/E, while BELFB leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 15.5% ROIC and 39.1% gross margin. BELFB currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 61/100 (C-) compared with OGC at 56/100 (D+).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
OGC ACTIVE OceanaGold Corporation	D+	56/100	—	—	—	-2.81%	$5.67B	Benchmark Subject
OTF Blue Owl Technology Finance Corp.	D	50/100	6.1x	—	9.0%	+2.78%	$4.41B	/otf-vs-ogc →
GEF Greif Inc. (Class A)	D+	56/100	4.5x	22.2%	3.9%	-0.31%	$3.79B	/gef-vs-ogc →
BELFB Bel Fuse Inc.	C-	61/100	45.9x	39.1%	15.5%	+3.50%	$3.40B	/belfb-vs-ogc →
ARIS Aris Mining Corporation	D+	56/100	—	—	—	-3.41%	$3.28B	/aris-vs-ogc →

2. OGC Fundamental Profitability, Capital Efficiency & Balance-Sheet Forensics

TRAILING 12M & FORWARD QUANTITATIVE SNAPSHOT

OceanaGold Corporation (OGC) operates in Diversified Equities (Industrials) with an equity capitalization of $5.67B, trailing P/E of N/A, forward P/E of N/A, and EV/EBITDA of N/A. Operating profitability registers a gross margin of —, operating margin of —, net profit margin of —, ROIC of —, and free cash flow yield of —, alongside an Altman Z-Score of N/A and Piotroski F-Score of N/A.

3. OGC Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is OGC stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-01, OceanaGold Corporation (NYSE: OGC) is rated D+ (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 56/100 at a spot price of $25.27 (-2.81% 1D, market cap $5.67B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 12/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 7/20, Executive Insider Alignment 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 15/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 9/20. Across 485 tracked Industrials issuers, OGC ranks #226 in composite RQD confidence.

How does OGC compare to OTF and GEF in the Industrials sector?

Within the Industrials sector (Diversified Equities), OGC carries a Roarable D+ (56/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of —. By comparison, OTF (Blue Owl Technology Finance Corp.) holds a D grade (50/100 RQD, P/E 6.1x, ROIC 9.0%, cap $4.41B) and GEF (Greif Inc. (Class A)) posts a D+ grade (56/100 RQD, P/E 4.5x, ROIC 3.9%, cap $3.79B). Among the 5-stock peer group, GEF leads on earnings multiple (4.5x) while BELFB leads on capital efficiency (15.5% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for OGC?

For OceanaGold Corporation (OGC), key quantitative strengths include Established market leader in Industrials with deep daily trading liquidity. and sector rank #226 in Industrials, while primary risk factors center on Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. and implied 5-year growth hurdle of 8.0%/yr. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is OGC trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

OGC last traded at $25.27 (-2.81% on volume of 268,250 shares), positioning the stock -9.75% below its 50-day simple moving average ($28.00) and -16.44% below its 200-day simple moving average ($30.24). Across its 52-week range of $20.18 to $43.33, OGC sits at the 22.0% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 35.6 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±7.4% ($23.40 to $27.14).

OGC Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

Should I buy, hold, or sell OGC stock right now?

OceanaGold Corporation (OGC) currently earns a Roarable Rating of D+ (Sell — SELL) with 56/100 RQD Confidence. Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (steady margins) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.

What is OGC's 12-month price target and RQD AI Jury consensus?

OGC's 12-month base price target is $25.04 (range $19.53 to $45.5), backed by transparent SEC XBRL cash-flow, Form 4 insider, and CBOE options flow analysis.

Direct Sub-Reports: OGC RQD Cockpit OGC 12M Forecast OGC Earnings & Move OGC Dividends & DRIP OGC Insiders & 13F OGC Whale Options OGC Profit Sankey OGC News & Why