Oceanagold (OGC) shows strong value, profitability and balance-sheet health on the Decent Value screen, though slower growth remains a key risk.
Why OGC Stock dropped -2.81% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
OceanaGold Corporation (OGC) carries a Roarable Rating of D+ (Sell) with 56/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.
🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief)
Is OGC stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-01, OceanaGold Corporation (NYSE: OGC) is rated D+ (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 56/100 at a spot price of $25.27 (-2.81% 1D, market cap $5.67B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 12/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 7/20, Executive Insider Alignment 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 15/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 9/20. Across 485 tracked Industrials issuers, OGC ranks #226 in composite RQD confidence.
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief)
How does OGC compare to OTF and GEF in the Industrials sector?
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Within the Industrials sector (Diversified Equities), OGC carries a Roarable D+ (56/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of —. By comparison, OTF (Blue Owl Technology Finance Corp.) holds a D grade (50/100 RQD, P/E 6.1x, ROIC 9.0%, cap $4.41B) and GEF (Greif Inc. (Class A)) posts a D+ grade (56/100 RQD, P/E 4.5x, ROIC 3.9%, cap $3.79B). Among the 5-stock peer group, GEF leads on earnings multiple (4.5x) while BELFB leads on capital efficiency (15.5% ROIC).
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief)
What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for OGC?
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For OceanaGold Corporation (OGC), key quantitative strengths include Established market leader in Industrials with deep daily trading liquidity. and sector rank #226 in Industrials, while primary risk factors center on Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. and implied 5-year growth hurdle of 8.0%/yr. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer
FRED Regime × Technicals: 22% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 35.6 (NEUTRAL RANGE)
Altman Z-Score 3.80 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 7/9
Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-13 pts vs max)
⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the OGC Bull Thesis Could Fail
Even with a 56/100 (D+) score, OGC faces multiple-compression risk if current valuation multiples re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.
Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.
Dilution & Margin Drag: Disciplined Float (-0.40% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 49.5% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.
Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($28.00) or 200D SMA ($30.24) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($25.04) toward Bear Floor ($19.53).
Why OGC Stock dropped -2.81% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
OceanaGold Corporation (OGC) dropped -2.81% to $25.27, trading at 22% of its 52-week range ($20.18 – $43.33). Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (steady margins) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.
- ▸Technical Tape: Trading at 22% of its 52-week range ($20.18 – $43.33) with RSI-14 at 35.6 (NEUTRAL RANGE).
- ▸Volatility Profile: Historical 20-day realized swing band of ±7.4% around $25.27 (no active unusual options sweep snapshot on file).
- ▸Fundamental Anchor: Roarable D+ (Sell) backed by 52% gross margin and $158.6M annual free cash flow.
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OceanaGold is rated Buy, driven by production growth, a net cash balance sheet, and discounted valuation versus peers. Click for this OGC stock update.
Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring OGC)
- ✓Walkthrough of OGC's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
- ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
- ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
OGC Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure
Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).
vs. +6.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).
No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on OGC today. View full Setup Ledger →
No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for OGC. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.
📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (OGC)
1. Head-to-Head Industrials Peer Comparison (OGC vs. OTF, GEF, BELFB, ARIS)
Industry: Diversified Equities (43 Tracked Issuers)Across 485 tracked Industrials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, OceanaGold Corporation (OGC) ranks #226 by composite RQD confidence (56/100, grade D+) and #136 by equity capitalization ($5.67B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, GEF leads on earnings valuation at 4.5x trailing P/E, while BELFB leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 15.5% ROIC and 39.1% gross margin. BELFB currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 61/100 (C-) compared with OGC at 56/100 (D+).
| Ticker / Company | Roarable Grade | RQD Score | Trailing P/E | Gross Margin | ROIC | 1D Change | Market Cap | Head-to-Head |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGC
ACTIVE
OceanaGold Corporation | D+ | 56/100 | — | — | — | -2.81% | $5.67B | Benchmark Subject |
| OTF Blue Owl Technology Finance Corp. | D | 50/100 | 6.1x | — | 9.0% | +2.78% | $4.41B | /otf-vs-ogc → |
| GEF Greif Inc. (Class A) | D+ | 56/100 | 4.5x | 22.2% | 3.9% | -0.31% | $3.79B | /gef-vs-ogc → |
| BELFB Bel Fuse Inc. | C- | 61/100 | 45.9x | 39.1% | 15.5% | +3.50% | $3.40B | /belfb-vs-ogc → |
| ARIS Aris Mining Corporation | D+ | 56/100 | — | — | — | -3.41% | $3.28B | /aris-vs-ogc → |
2. OGC Fundamental Profitability, Capital Efficiency & Balance-Sheet Forensics
TRAILING 12M & FORWARD QUANTITATIVE SNAPSHOTOceanaGold Corporation (OGC) operates in Diversified Equities (Industrials) with an equity capitalization of $5.67B, trailing P/E of N/A, forward P/E of N/A, and EV/EBITDA of N/A. Operating profitability registers a gross margin of —, operating margin of —, net profit margin of —, ROIC of —, and free cash flow yield of —, alongside an Altman Z-Score of N/A and Piotroski F-Score of N/A.
3. OGC Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)
✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLEDIs OGC stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
As of 2026-11-01, OceanaGold Corporation (NYSE: OGC) is rated D+ (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 56/100 at a spot price of $25.27 (-2.81% 1D, market cap $5.67B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 12/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 7/20, Executive Insider Alignment 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 15/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 9/20. Across 485 tracked Industrials issuers, OGC ranks #226 in composite RQD confidence.
How does OGC compare to OTF and GEF in the Industrials sector?
Within the Industrials sector (Diversified Equities), OGC carries a Roarable D+ (56/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of —. By comparison, OTF (Blue Owl Technology Finance Corp.) holds a D grade (50/100 RQD, P/E 6.1x, ROIC 9.0%, cap $4.41B) and GEF (Greif Inc. (Class A)) posts a D+ grade (56/100 RQD, P/E 4.5x, ROIC 3.9%, cap $3.79B). Among the 5-stock peer group, GEF leads on earnings multiple (4.5x) while BELFB leads on capital efficiency (15.5% ROIC).
What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for OGC?
For OceanaGold Corporation (OGC), key quantitative strengths include Established market leader in Industrials with deep daily trading liquidity. and sector rank #226 in Industrials, while primary risk factors center on Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. and implied 5-year growth hurdle of 8.0%/yr. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
Where is OGC trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?
OGC last traded at $25.27 (-2.81% on volume of 268,250 shares), positioning the stock -9.75% below its 50-day simple moving average ($28.00) and -16.44% below its 200-day simple moving average ($30.24). Across its 52-week range of $20.18 to $43.33, OGC sits at the 22.0% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 35.6 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±7.4% ($23.40 to $27.14).
OGC Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index
100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FREDWhy is OGC stock moving today?
Why OGC Stock dropped -2.81% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash. Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (steady margins) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.