Stock Ratings / Industrials / GEF / financials

BELFB (61) ARIS (56) OTF (50) AAUC (50) ⌘ Pro Terminal →

Greif Inc. (Class A) (GEF) Revenue-to-Profit Sankey Flow & SEC XBRL Financials

$82.19 -0.31% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $81.99

Greif Inc. (Class A) (GEF) carries a Roarable Rating of D+ (Sell) with 56/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 56/100 (D+) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (-0.4% avg 90D alpha vs SPY) →

ROARABLE D+ • SELL / AVOID Cap $3.79B

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $81.98 (-0.25%)🧬 Disciplined Float (-0.32% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 5/20 (E) • 1.5% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 56/100 (D+) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (-0.4% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 51.8% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D+

JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D · Rk B-

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE-0.9% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for GEF)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±6%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (56/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY GEF SCORES 56/100 (D+) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+15/20 pts (27% of score)

FRED Regime × Technicals: 76% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 50 (NEUTRAL RANGE)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+13/20 pts (23% of score)

Altman Z-Score 3.80 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 6/9

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Cash Engine Quality5/20 pts (-15 pt drag)

Capital intensity & 4.3% operating margin leave 15 pts on the table

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade D$81.82+0.4% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade C-$82.12+0.2% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade C-$82.27-0.1% Next Q

Current

Grade D+$82.19-0.4% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: D (48) → D+ (56)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the GEF Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 56/100 (D+) score, GEF faces multiple-compression risk if 4.5x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Disciplined Float (-0.32% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 19.7% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($82.67) or 200D SMA ($74.49) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($81.45) toward Bear Floor ($63.53).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $GEF• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “GEF Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 29, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”

YES 56%NO 44%Trade / Inspect Odds →

VISUAL REVENUE-TO-PROFIT SANKEY WATERFALL • FY 2025 (10-K)

How GEF Turns Every Dollar of Sales Into Real Bottom-Line Profit

Free Cash Flow:$58.6M (1.5% FCF Margin)

Multi-Year SEC EDGAR XBRL Revenue, Net Profit & Free Cash Flow Trajectory

■ Revenue■ Net Profit■ Free Cash Flow

FY23

Rev $3.93B

FY24

Rev $4.35B

FY25

Rev $3.93B

Fiscal Year	Revenue	Gross Margin	Op Margin	Net Profit	Free Cash Flow	ROIC %
FY 2025	$3.93B	22.2%	4.3%	$840.0M	$58.6M	3.9%
FY 2024	$4.35B	20.6%	7.8%	$268.8M	$356.0M	6.3%
FY 2023	$3.93B	22.2%	10.9%	$359.2M	$649.5M	3.9%

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring GEF)

✓Walkthrough of GEF's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks

RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED

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GEF // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +25.98%📐 WEDGE COMPRESSION COIL

2026-10-30O $82.81H $83.43L $80.95C $82.19VOL 339.9K

RES: $88.36SUP: $79.22SMA50: $82.67SMA200: $74.49

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

GEF Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 GEF Butterfly Map → + Track GEF →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)

-15.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +6.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on GEF today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for GEF. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for GEF today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (GEF)

Industrials Rank #230 of 485 ⚔️ BELFB vs GEF Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Industrials Peer Comparison (GEF vs. BELFB, ARIS, OTF, AAUC)

Industry: Diversified Equities (43 Tracked Issuers)

Across 485 tracked Industrials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Greif Inc. (Class A) (GEF) ranks #230 by composite RQD confidence (56/100, grade D+) and #169 by equity capitalization ($3.79B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, GEF leads on earnings valuation at 4.5x trailing P/E, while BELFB leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 15.5% ROIC and 39.1% gross margin. BELFB currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 61/100 (C-) compared with GEF at 56/100 (D+).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
GEF ACTIVE Greif Inc. (Class A)	D+	56/100	4.5x	22.2%	3.9%	-0.31%	$3.79B	Benchmark Subject
BELFB Bel Fuse Inc.	C-	61/100	45.9x	39.1%	15.5%	+3.50%	$3.40B	/belfb-vs-gef →
ARIS Aris Mining Corporation	D+	56/100	—	—	—	-3.41%	$3.28B	/aris-vs-gef →
OTF Blue Owl Technology Finance Corp.	D	50/100	6.1x	—	9.0%	+2.78%	$4.41B	/otf-vs-gef →
AAUC Allied Gold Corporation	D	50/100	—	—	—	-2.67%	$2.74B	/aauc-vs-gef →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-09-30 • CIK 0000043920

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-09-30), Greif Inc. (Class A) (GEF) reported GAAP revenue of $3.93B (-9.7% vs. FY2024 revenue of $4.35B ) , GAAP net income of $840.0M, operating cash flow of $58.6M, and free cash flow of $58.6M (-83.5% YoY). On the balance sheet, GEF closed FY2025 with $5.50B in total assets against $655.1M in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 6/9).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2025-09-30	$3.93B	$840.0M	$58.6M	$58.6M	$5.50B	$655.1M
FY2024 (FY)	2024-10-31	$4.35B	$268.8M	$356.0M	$356.0M	$6.59B	$2.42B
FY2023 (FY)	2023-10-31	$0	$359.2M	$649.5M	$649.5M	—	—

3. GEF Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is GEF stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-01, Greif Inc. (Class A) (NYSE: GEF) is rated D+ (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 56/100 at a spot price of $82.19 (-0.31% 1D, market cap $3.79B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 5/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 10/20, Executive Insider Alignment 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 15/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 13/20. Across 485 tracked Industrials issuers, GEF ranks #230 in composite RQD confidence.

How does GEF compare to BELFB and ARIS in the Industrials sector?

Within the Industrials sector (Diversified Equities), GEF carries a Roarable D+ (56/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 4.5x, gross margin of 22.2%, and ROIC of 3.9%. By comparison, BELFB (Bel Fuse Inc.) holds a C- grade (61/100 RQD, P/E 45.9x, ROIC 15.5%, cap $3.40B) and ARIS (Aris Mining Corporation) posts a D+ grade (56/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $3.28B). Among the 5-stock peer group, GEF leads on earnings multiple (4.5x) while BELFB leads on capital efficiency (15.5% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for GEF?

Per GEF's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-09-30, CIK 0000043920), Greif Inc. (Class A) generated $3.93B in revenue (-9.7% YoY), $840.0M in net income, and $58.6M in free cash flow against $5.50B in total assets and $655.1M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Industrials with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is GEF trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

GEF last traded at $82.19 (-0.31% on volume of 392,612 shares), positioning the stock -0.58% below its 50-day simple moving average ($82.67) and +10.34% above its 200-day simple moving average ($74.49). Across its 52-week range of $55.75 to $90.57, GEF sits at the 75.9% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 50.0 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±6.0% ($77.26 to $87.12).