Global Indemnity Group LLC (Class A) (GBLI) Dividend Safety Gauge & 10-Year DRIP Compounder

$24.50 +1.03% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $24.50

Global Indemnity Group LLC (Class A) (GBLI) carries a Roarable Rating of D+ (Sell) with 55/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE D+ • SELL / AVOID Cap $358.7M
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $24.50 (+0.00%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-1.52% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 6/20 (E) • 2% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 55/100 (D+) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (-0.5% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 51.4% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D+
025507510055
2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D · Rk C
Cash (6)Whales (11)SEC (10)Macro (15)CEO (13)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-1.3% Base Target
$32 Bull$24 Base$19 Bear
📬 FREE GBLI RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for GBLI)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±5.2%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (55/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY GBLI SCORES 55/100 (D+) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+15/20 pts (27% of score)

FRED Regime × Technicals: 22% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 48.1 (NEUTRAL RANGE)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution+13/20 pts (24% of score)

SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 65% Net Buy • Cannibal Buyback (-1.52% YoY Shares)

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Cash Engine Quality6/20 pts (-14 pt drag)

Capital intensity & 0% operating margin leave 14 pts on the table

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
47
Grade D$24.46-0.9% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
50
Grade C-$24.25-0.5% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
52
Grade C-$24.13+1.5% Next Q
Current
55
Grade D+$24.50-0.5% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: D (47) → D+ (55)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the GBLI Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 55/100 (D+) score, GBLI faces multiple-compression risk if 14.2x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-1.52% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 49.5% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($26.16) or 200D SMA ($27.18) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($24.17) toward Bear Floor ($18.85).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $GBLI• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “GBLI Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
CASH DIVIDEND + BUYBACK YIELD
7.38% Total Yield
5.58% Cash ($1.37/yr) + 1.8% Buybacks
PAYOUT SAFETY SPEEDOMETER
41/100 • ELEVATED PAYOUT WATCH
FREE CASH FLOW PAYOUT RATIO
96% of FCF
8 consecutive years of payout growth
INTERACTIVE DRIP & SHAREHOLDER-YIELD COMPOUNDER (10.9% EST. ANNUAL)

$10,000 Compounded Over 10 Years → $28,139

Est. Year-10 Shareholder Yield: $2,077/yr
$11.1K
Yr 1
$12.3K
Yr 2
$13.6K
Yr 3
$15.1K
Yr 4
$16.8K
Yr 5
$18.6K
Yr 6
$20.6K
Yr 7
$22.9K
Yr 8
$25.4K
Yr 9
$28.1K
Yr 10
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring GBLI)

  • ✓Walkthrough of GBLI's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
  • ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
Want Custom AI PineScript / Python Indicators & Priority Rating-Change Alerts?
GBLI // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -12.50%📐 HORIZONTAL RANGE
2026-10-30O $24.02H $24.50L $24.02C $24.50VOL 6.7K
RES: $31.29SUP: $21.99SMA50: $26.16SMA200: $27.18
$31.04$28.81$26.59$24.36$22.14RES $31.29SUP $21.99$24.502026-04-302026-06-152026-07-312026-09-162026-10-30
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

GBLI Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
6.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +2.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on GBLI today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for GBLI. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for GBLI today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (GBLI)

Financials Rank #702 of 1096 ⚔️ NODK vs GBLI Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Financials Peer Comparison (GBLI vs. NODK, AMSF, KINS, KWY)

Industry: Property-Casualty Insurers (68 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1096 tracked Financials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Global Indemnity Group LLC (Class A) (GBLI) ranks #702 by composite RQD confidence (55/100, grade D+) and #777 by equity capitalization ($358.7M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, KINS leads on earnings valuation at 7.1x trailing P/E, while KINS leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 33.2% ROIC and — gross margin. KINS currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 73/100 (B) compared with GBLI at 55/100 (D+).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
GBLI ACTIVE
Global Indemnity Group LLC (Class A)
D+ 55/100 14.2x — 3.6% +1.03% $358.7M Benchmark Subject
NODK
NI Holdings Inc.
D- 35/100 — — -4.3% +1.55% $308.5M /nodk-vs-gbli →
AMSF
AMERISAFE Inc.
D 47/100 9.1x — 18.7% -8.73% $428.0M /amsf-vs-gbli →
KINS
Kingstone Companies Inc.
B 73/100 7.1x — 33.2% +1.73% $290.1M /kins-vs-gbli →
KWY
Kingsway Corporation
D- 40/100 — — -13.6% -0.41% $278.3M /kwy-vs-gbli →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001494904

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Global Indemnity Group LLC (Class A) (GBLI) reported GAAP revenue of $450.1M (+2.0% vs. FY2024 revenue of $441.2M , and -14.8% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $25.3M, operating cash flow of $9.1M, and free cash flow of $9.1M (-76.7% YoY). On the balance sheet, GBLI closed FY2025 with $1.72B in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 3/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $450.1M $25.3M $9.1M $9.1M $1.72B —
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $441.2M $43.2M $38.8M $38.8M $1.73B —
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $528.1M $25.4M $42.9M $42.9M — —

3. GBLI Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is GBLI stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-01, Global Indemnity Group LLC (Class A) (NASDAQ: GBLI) is rated D+ (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 55/100 at a spot price of $24.50 (+1.03% 1D, market cap $358.7M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 6/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 11/20, Executive Insider Alignment 10/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 15/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 13/20. Across 1096 tracked Financials issuers, GBLI ranks #702 in composite RQD confidence.

How does GBLI compare to NODK and AMSF in the Financials sector?

Within the Financials sector (Property-Casualty Insurers), GBLI carries a Roarable D+ (55/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 14.2x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 3.6%. By comparison, NODK (NI Holdings Inc.) holds a D- grade (35/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -4.3%, cap $308.5M) and AMSF (AMERISAFE Inc.) posts a D grade (47/100 RQD, P/E 9.1x, ROIC 18.7%, cap $428.0M). Among the 5-stock peer group, KINS leads on earnings multiple (7.1x) while KINS leads on capital efficiency (33.2% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for GBLI?

Per GBLI's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001494904), Global Indemnity Group LLC (Class A) generated $450.1M in revenue (+2.0% YoY), $25.3M in net income, and $9.1M in free cash flow against $1.72B in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Financials with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is GBLI trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

GBLI last traded at $24.50 (+1.03% on volume of 7,521 shares), positioning the stock -6.35% below its 50-day simple moving average ($26.16) and -9.86% below its 200-day simple moving average ($27.18). Across its 52-week range of $22.83 to $30.50, GBLI sits at the 21.8% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 48.1 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±5.2% ($23.23 to $25.77).

GBLI Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

Does GBLI pay a dividend and is it safe?

Global Indemnity Group LLC (Class A) (GBLI) offers a 5.58% cash dividend yield ($1.37 annualized) and 7.38% total shareholder yield including buybacks. Roarable rates its payout coverage as ELEVATED PAYOUT WATCH.

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