MARKET WIREReuters • 3h ago
Iran's IRGC Navy says two tankers 'exploded' after hitting mines in Hormuz - ReutersIran's IRGC Navy says two tankers 'exploded' after hitting mines in Hormuz Reuters
Why FUN Stock advanced +1.86% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
$7.68 +1.86% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot)
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $7.69
Six Flags Entertainment Corporation (FUN) carries a Roarable Rating of D (Sell) with 48/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.
ROARABLE D • SELL / AVOID
Cap $785.8M
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $7.69 (+0.14%)🧬 Disciplined Float (+0.72% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 12/20 (C-) • 10.6% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (48/100 · D) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-5.6% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record →RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D
2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning
Cash
SEC
Whale
Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer
5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D · Rk D
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-4.6% Base Target
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for FUN)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±12.5%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (48/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY FUN SCORES 48/100 (D) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Whale & Options Positioning+13/20 pts (27% of score)
20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (±12.5% realized swing band)
▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+12/20 pts (25% of score)
SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 10.6% FCF Margin ($327.5M FCF) & 91.3% Gross Margin
▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution5/20 pts (-15 pt drag)
Disciplined Float (+0.72% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 15 pts from alignment
📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)Grade C$11.41-28.9% Next Q
56
Q2 (-2Q)Grade C-$8.11-16.5% Next Q
53
Q3 (-1Q)Grade C-$6.77+13.4% Next Q
51
CurrentGrade D$7.68-5.6% Hist 90D α
48
Trajectory: C (56) → D (48)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER
⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a FUN Turnaround Squeeze
While FUN currently carries a cautious 48/100 (D) rating due to Insider Conviction & Share Dilution (5/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.
🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1
Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity.
🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2
Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($11.84) and Max Pain ($8.06) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $27.59.
🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3
Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Disciplined Float (+0.72% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.
🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $FUN• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “FUN Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
AUTOMATED RQD QUANT DESK MOVER BRIEFINGFull Market News Desk →
Why FUN Stock advanced +1.86% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
Six Flags Entertainment Corporation (FUN) advanced +1.86% to $7.68, trading at 5% of its 52-week range ($6.6 – $26.28). Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (-19% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.
- ▸Technical Tape: Trading at 5% of its 52-week range ($6.6 – $26.28) with RSI-14 at 31.6 (OVERSOLD (<32)).
- ▸Volatility Profile: Historical 20-day realized swing band of ±12.5% around $7.68 (no active unusual options sweep snapshot on file).
- ▸Fundamental Anchor: Roarable D (Sell) backed by 91.3% gross margin and $327.5M annual free cash flow.
Live FUN Headlines & Catalysts
MARKET WIRECNBC • 5h ago
Here are 3 big things we're watching in the stock market in the week aheadThe market could use a few victories in the days ahead, which will be filled with more earnings, an election, and jobs data.
MARKET WIRECNBC • 5h ago
Democratic Rep. Stevens endorses Rogers over El-Sayed in Michigan Senate electionHaley Stevens had lost the Democratic nomination for Senate in Michigan to Abdul El-Sayed earlier this year.
RISK WATCHReuters • 6h ago
Israeli strikes kill eight people in Gaza - medics say - ReutersIsraeli strikes kill eight people in Gaza - medics say Reuters
MARKET WIREReuters • 8h ago
Russia's FSB says minor detained over park attack threat after US tip-off - ReutersRussia's FSB says minor detained over park attack threat after US tip-off Reuters
MARKET WIREReuters • 8h ago
Iran, Qatari mediators hold third day of talks to end US-Iran war - ReutersIran, Qatari mediators hold third day of talks to end US-Iran war Reuters
CATALYSTReuters • 9h ago
Qatar surges, bucking Gulf market slide on Iran war concerns - ReutersQatar surges, bucking Gulf market slide on Iran war concerns Reuters
MARKET WIREReuters • 10h ago
OPEC+ keeps December oil output targets steady ahead of tougher call for 2027 - ReutersOPEC+ keeps December oil output targets steady ahead of tougher call for 2027 Reuters
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk
Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring FUN)
- ✓Walkthrough of FUN's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
- ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
- ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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FUN // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -59.11%🛡️ HOLDING TREND SUPPORT
2026-10-30O $7.67H $7.73L $7.31C $7.68VOL 4.16M
SUP: $6.00SMA50: $11.84SMA200: $16.94
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK
FUN Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure
Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)
Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).
Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth
vs. +14.4% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).
Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)
No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on FUN today. View full Setup Ledger →
🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections
Open Graph →
No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for FUN. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.
AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for FUN today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK
📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (FUN)
Consumer Discretionary Rank #683 of 1011
⚔️ ACEL vs FUN Full Matrix →
1. Head-to-Head Consumer Discretionary Peer Comparison (FUN vs. ACEL, FBYD, RSVR, BUUU)
Industry: Services-Misc. Amusement & Recreation (51 Tracked Issuers)Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Six Flags Entertainment Corporation (FUN) ranks #683 by composite RQD confidence (48/100, grade D) and #536 by equity capitalization ($785.8M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, ACEL leads on earnings valuation at 17.8x trailing P/E, while ACEL leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 15.7% ROIC and — gross margin. ACEL currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 64/100 (C) compared with FUN at 48/100 (D).
| Ticker / Company | Roarable Grade | RQD Score | Trailing P/E | Gross Margin | ROIC | 1D Change | Market Cap | Head-to-Head |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FUN
ACTIVE
Six Flags Entertainment Corporation | D | 48/100 | — | 91.3% | -19.3% | +1.86% | $785.8M | Benchmark Subject |
| ACEL Accel Entertainment Inc. | C | 64/100 | 17.8x | — | 15.7% | +1.89% | $917.5M | /acel-vs-fun → |
| FBYD Falcon's Beyond Global Inc. (Class A) | D- | 37/100 | — | — | -22.8% | -0.39% | $930.1M | /fbyd-vs-fun → |
| RSVR Reservoir Media Inc. | C | 62/100 | 80.8x | 64.7% | 3.8% | +0.31% | $632.3M | /rsvr-vs-fun → |
| BUUU BUUU Group Limited Class A Ordinary Share | D | 49/100 | — | 31.0% | — | -1.02% | $1.10B | /buuu-vs-fun → |
2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)
SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001999001In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Six Flags Entertainment Corporation (FUN) reported GAAP revenue of $3.10B (+14.4% vs. FY2024 revenue of $2.71B , and +72.4% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$1.55B, operating cash flow of $327.5M, and free cash flow of $327.5M (-12.3% YoY). On the balance sheet, FUN closed FY2025 with $7.80B in total assets against $5.17B in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 5/9).
| Fiscal Period | Filing Date | Revenue | Net Income | Operating Cash Flow | Free Cash Flow | Total Assets | Total Debt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2025 (FY) | 2025-12-31 | $3.10B | -$1.55B | $327.5M | $327.5M | $7.80B | $5.17B |
| FY2024 (FY) | 2024-12-31 | $2.71B | -$206.7M | $373.4M | $373.4M | $9.13B | $4.72B |
| FY2023 (FY) | 2023-12-31 | $1.80B | $124.6M | $325.7M | $325.7M | — | — |
3. FUN Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)
✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLEDIs FUN stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
As of 2026-11-01, Six Flags Entertainment Corporation (NYSE: FUN) is rated D (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 48/100 at a spot price of $7.68 (+1.86% 1D, market cap $785.8M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 12/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 13/20, Executive Insider Alignment 9/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 9/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 5/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, FUN ranks #683 in composite RQD confidence.
How does FUN compare to ACEL and FBYD in the Consumer Discretionary sector?
Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Services-Misc. Amusement & Recreation), FUN carries a Roarable D (48/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 91.3%, and ROIC of -19.3%. By comparison, ACEL (Accel Entertainment Inc.) holds a C grade (64/100 RQD, P/E 17.8x, ROIC 15.7%, cap $917.5M) and FBYD (Falcon's Beyond Global Inc. (Class A)) posts a D- grade (37/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -22.8%, cap $930.1M). Among the 5-stock peer group, ACEL leads on earnings multiple (17.8x) while ACEL leads on capital efficiency (15.7% ROIC).
What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for FUN?
Per FUN's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001999001), Six Flags Entertainment Corporation generated $3.10B in revenue (+14.4% YoY), -$1.55B in net income, and $327.5M in free cash flow against $7.80B in total assets and $5.17B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
Where is FUN trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?
FUN last traded at $7.68 (+1.86% on volume of 3,848,671 shares), positioning the stock -35.14% below its 50-day simple moving average ($11.84) and -54.66% below its 200-day simple moving average ($16.94). Across its 52-week range of $6.60 to $26.28, FUN sits at the 5.5% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 31.6 (OVERSOLD (<32)) and an implied next-earnings move of ±12.5% ($6.72 to $8.64).
FUN Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index
100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FREDWhy is FUN stock moving today?
Why FUN Stock advanced +1.86% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash. Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (-19% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.